Published artifact:
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Live trade history fetched live from Polymarket 2026-11-02 06:40 UTC — not part of the published run.
| Market | Outcome | State | Entry date | Avg Entry | Last trade / Close | Current / Close price | Current Value | Size | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.051 | 2026-11-02 | 0.636 | — | — | $62.34 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.616 | 2026-11-02 | 0.645 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.997 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.750 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $2.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.710 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $2.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.682 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $3.18 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.986 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.952 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.997 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.916 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.84 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.998 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.02 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.767 | 2026-11-02 | 0.785 | — | — | -$2.80 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.933 | 2026-11-02 | 0.835 | — | — | -$4.53 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.544 | 2026-11-02 | 0.590 | — | — | -$0.46 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.25 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.957 | 2026-11-02 | 0.950 | — | — | -$4.78 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.995 | 2026-11-02 | 0.961 | — | — | -$5.18 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.787 | 2026-11-02 | 0.753 | — | — | -$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.532 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.420 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.00 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be at least $399,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.952 | 2026-11-02 | 0.850 | — | — | -$12.98 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be at least $399,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.150 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $395,000 and $399,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.924 | 2026-11-02 | 0.840 | — | — | -$12.31 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $395,000 and $399,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.160 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $391,000 and $395,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.856 | 2026-11-02 | 0.855 | — | — | -$10.76 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $391,000 and $395,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.145 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $387,000 and $391,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.837 | 2026-11-02 | 0.775 | — | — | -$8.96 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $387,000 and $391,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.225 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $383,000 and $387,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.798 | 2026-11-02 | 0.715 | — | — | -$8.40 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $383,000 and $387,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.285 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $379,000 and $383,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.837 | 2026-11-02 | 0.785 | — | — | -$9.35 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be between $379,000 and $383,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.215 | — | — | $10.59 |
| Will the median home value in Dallas Metro be less than $379,000 on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.780 | 2026-11-02 | 0.750 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will Republicans win 6 or more Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.153 | 2026-11-02 | 0.018 | — | — | $53.79 |
| Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.104 | 2026-11-02 | 0.540 | — | — | $30.80 |
| Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.520 | 2026-11-02 | 0.555 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.598 | 2026-11-02 | 0.610 | — | — | -$32.79 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas Governor election and Democrats win the Texas Senate election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.163 | 2026-11-02 | 0.390 | — | — | $136.48 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.757 | 2026-11-02 | 0.770 | — | — | -$102.43 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.163 | 2026-11-02 | 0.230 | — | — | $145.23 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.654 | 2026-11-02 | 0.630 | — | — | -$4.72 |
| Will Democrats win the Texas Governor election and Republicans win the Texas Senate election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.999 | 2026-11-02 | 0.999 | — | — | -$51.33 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run ahead of Jocelyn Benson? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.998 | 2026-11-02 | 0.994 | — | — | -$17.35 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 0 to 3 points behind Jocelyn Benson? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.730 | 2026-11-02 | 0.705 | — | — | -$6.62 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.556 | 2026-11-02 | 0.655 | — | — | -$3.31 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 6 to 9 points behind Jocelyn Benson? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.973 | 2026-11-02 | 0.951 | — | — | -$16.81 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed run 9 or more points behind Jocelyn Benson? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.998 | 2026-11-02 | 0.966 | — | — | -$17.81 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.989 | 2026-11-02 | 0.942 | — | — | -$28.97 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be 4,750,000 or more? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.058 | — | — | $23.09 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.718 | 2026-11-02 | 0.860 | — | — | -$13.09 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,500,000 and 4,750,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.140 | — | — | $18.14 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.500 | 2026-11-02 | 0.485 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,250,000 and 4,500,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.515 | — | — | $20.24 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,000,000 and 4,250,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.913 | 2026-11-02 | 0.840 | — | — | -$24.53 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,000,000 and 4,250,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.160 | — | — | $19.22 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.993 | 2026-11-02 | 0.946 | — | — | -$29.60 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.054 | — | — | $24.70 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.982 | 2026-11-02 | 0.961 | — | — | -$28.78 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 3,250,000 and 3,500,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.040 | — | — | $25.32 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.992 | 2026-11-02 | 0.988 | — | — | -$28.70 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.131 | 2026-11-02 | 0.012 | — | — | $24.05 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 3,750,000 and 4,000,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.915 | 2026-11-02 | 0.943 | — | — | -$16.20 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be above 1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.927 | 2026-11-02 | 0.914 | — | — | -$2.56 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be above 1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.200 | 2026-11-02 | 0.086 | — | — | $1.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.988 | 2026-11-02 | 0.878 | — | — | -$2.93 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.200 | 2026-11-02 | 0.122 | — | — | $1.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.400 | 2026-11-02 | 0.500 | — | — | $0.60 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.200 | 2026-11-02 | 0.500 | — | — | $1.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.762 | 2026-11-02 | 0.760 | — | — | -$1.57 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.200 | 2026-11-02 | 0.240 | — | — | $1.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.873 | 2026-11-02 | 0.865 | — | — | -$2.24 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -4.5% and -3%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.200 | 2026-11-02 | 0.136 | — | — | $1.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be below -4.5%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.999 | 2026-11-02 | 0.999 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.656 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $76.21 |
| Will Seoul have between 70-85mm of precipitation in October? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.627 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $6.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.880 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 1? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.760 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.890 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | -$0.85 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.933 | 2026-11-02 | 0.925 | — | — | -$86.26 |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.005 | 2026-11-02 | 0.075 | — | — | $98.70 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.060 | 2026-11-02 | 0.065 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.972 | 2026-11-02 | 0.960 | — | — | -$587.40 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.089 | 2026-11-02 | 0.040 | — | — | $504.20 |
| Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.205 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $13.34 |
| Will UKMTO publish 8-11 notices between October 26-November 1? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.719 | 2026-11-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $24.16 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.314 | 2026-11-02 | 0.295 | — | — | $4.66 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.201 | 2026-11-02 | 0.705 | — | — | $7.48 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.931 | 2026-11-02 | 0.910 | — | — | -$10.77 |
| Will Democrats win the Michigan Senate seat, and Republicans win Texas? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.201 | 2026-11-02 | 0.090 | — | — | $7.48 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.955 | 2026-11-02 | 0.906 | — | — | -$11.37 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan Senate seat, and Democrats win Texas? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.201 | 2026-11-02 | 0.094 | — | — | $7.48 |
| Will Republicans win the Michigan and Texas Senate seats? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-01 | 0.802 | 2026-11-02 | 0.890 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.900 | 2026-11-02 | 0.824 | — | — | -$11.88 |
| Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.004 | 2026-11-02 | 0.176 | — | — | $14.72 |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.180 | — | — | $0.48 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.865 | 2026-11-02 | 0.870 | — | — | -$36.48 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.011 | 2026-11-02 | 0.130 | — | — | $48.92 |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.130 | 2026-11-02 | 0.135 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be 400,000 or more? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.111 | 2026-11-02 | 0.169 | — | — | $3.73 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-11-02 | 0.780 | 2026-11-02 | 0.785 | — | — | -$1.40 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Dakota be between 375,000 and 400,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.142 | 2026-11-02 | 0.215 | — | — | $1.79 |
Some rows predate the bounded trade scan, so their date cells show — — the exact date is older than the reachable window, and we never substitute a snapshot date for it.
Showing at most 100 rows, one per market and outcome, newest last trade first. Trade history is live Polymarket data, not part of the published run; the current values above belong to no published ranking. Methodology.