Questions by Whale Capital
One row per question, ranked by the capital whales have positioned in it: 200 questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. Questions no whale has touched are not listed.
Published artifact: 2026-10-10 19:10 UTC
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Whale here = an active position at or above its category's whale bar (default $2,500.00) — how the bars and “whale capital” are computed
Whale means an active position at or above its category's whale bar, which the sync derives per category (default $2,500.00): a category steps its bar down while it holds fewer than 25 whale positions, never below the floor. The bar each question was ranked against is named in its category hint. Below the default right now: Other $250.00, AI $1,250.00, Business $1,250.00. Methodology.
Whale capital counts each question's active positions at or above its category's whale bar (named in each row's category hint; the general default is $2,500.00). Dust, redeemable positions and positions without a disclosed cost basis never count. Methodology.
25 of the 657 questions this run fetched hit the page cap, so their holder counts and capital are lower bounds; every marked row states its own coverage in the hint on its question. Methodology.
| Rank | Question | Ask | Category | Whale Capital | Whale Holders | Largest Position | Outcomes USD | Outcomes N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank1 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 20,000 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.191No: 0.810 Yes 0.190/0.191 · No 0.809/0.810 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $26,891,452.52 Yes: $72,806.91No: $26,818,645.62 Yes $72,806.91 · No $26,818,645.62 | Whale Holders 241 Yes: 7No: 234 Yes 7 · No 234 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,007,025.00 wallet 0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $107,153.61No: $27,139,769.88 Total across all outcomes: $27,246,923.49 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,551No: 2,247 Total across all outcomes: 3,798 positions |
| Rank2 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 9,133 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.029No: 0.972 Yes 0.028/0.029 · No 0.971/0.972 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $6,973,602.98 Yes: $150,207.66No: $6,823,395.32 Yes $150,207.66 · No $6,823,395.32 | Whale Holders 187 Yes: 17No: 170 Yes 17 · No 170 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $1,149,927.89 wallet 0x07a9bf6d9a913df0e149bb2d652998b57fd832c8 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $210,048.40No: $7,168,166.61 Total across all outcomes: $7,378,215.01 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,224No: 2,408 Total across all outcomes: 3,632 positions |
| Rank3 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 17,341 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.031No: 0.970 Yes 0.030/0.031 · No 0.969/0.970 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryscience Whale bar for science: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $6,651,362.83 Yes: $137,395.35No: $6,513,967.48 Yes $137,395.35 · No $6,513,967.48 | Whale Holders 173 Yes: 18No: 155 Yes 18 · No 155 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $1,411,568.27 wallet 0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $218,370.22No: $6,934,260.29 Total across all outcomes: $7,152,630.51 | Outcomes N Yes: 2,014No: 4,557 Total across all outcomes: 6,571 positions |
| Rank4 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 18,498 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.170No: 0.840 Yes 0.160/0.170 · No 0.830/0.840 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $6,548,144.07 Yes: $971,816.77No: $5,576,327.30 Yes $971,816.77 · No $5,576,327.30 | Whale Holders 299 Yes: 47No: 253 Yes 47 · No 253 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $475,730.76 wallet 0x7f9e2d1df78614564a70becc7fa14aa9a6623a0e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,181,853.77No: $5,983,263.06 Total across all outcomes: $7,165,116.83 | Outcomes N Yes: 3,103No: 2,871 Total across all outcomes: 5,974 positions |
| Rank5 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 18,182 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.021No: 0.980 Yes 0.020/0.021 · No 0.979/0.980 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $5,141,221.27 Yes: $78,540.66No: $5,062,680.61 Yes $78,540.66 · No $5,062,680.61 | Whale Holders 158 Yes: 8No: 150 Yes 8 · No 150 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $542,544.95 wallet 0xc97b0b2a2547bb3ed57167092ef8a6e816c347e5 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $123,879.05No: $5,565,508.00 Total across all outcomes: $5,689,387.05 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,638No: 6,206 Total across all outcomes: 7,844 positions |
| Rank6 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 18,465 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.050No: 0.960 Yes 0.040/0.050 · No 0.950/0.960 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $4,175,554.59 Yes: $0.00No: $4,175,554.59 Yes $0.00 · No $4,175,554.59 | Whale Holders 146 Yes: 0No: 146 Yes 0 · No 146 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $564,880.34 wallet 0x8b4bca1d794779e66e023d44391b2a86c5ab541b on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $13,489.25No: $4,445,549.27 Total across all outcomes: $4,459,038.52 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,592No: 1,843 Total across all outcomes: 3,435 positions |
| Rank7 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 12,170 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.030No: 0.971 Yes 0.029/0.030 · No 0.970/0.971 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $3,750,637.36 Yes: $98,484.66No: $3,652,152.70 Yes $98,484.66 · No $3,652,152.70 | Whale Holders 170 Yes: 10No: 160 Yes 10 · No 160 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $324,126.52 wallet 0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $125,205.53No: $4,071,426.24 Total across all outcomes: $4,196,631.77 | Outcomes N Yes: 438No: 4,062 Total across all outcomes: 4,500 positions |
| Rank8 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 20,000 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.155No: 0.846 Yes 0.154/0.155 · No 0.845/0.846 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorypolitics Whale bar for politics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $3,383,259.65 Yes: $11,938.63No: $3,371,321.02 Yes $11,938.63 · No $3,371,321.02 | Whale Holders 45 Yes: 2No: 43 Yes 2 · No 43 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $648,520.48 wallet 0x3b1986d3aa1d9558630e9a432dd276843d4e0c96 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $35,821.18No: $3,551,399.64 Total across all outcomes: $3,587,220.82 | Outcomes N Yes: 229No: 1,745 Total across all outcomes: 1,974 positions |
| Rank9 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 10,471 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.179No: 0.822 Yes 0.178/0.179 · No 0.821/0.822 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorypolitics Whale bar for politics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,934,855.70 Yes: $713,015.71No: $1,221,840.00 Yes $713,015.71 · No $1,221,840.00 | Whale Holders 62 Yes: 48No: 25 Yes 48 · No 25 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $394,865.39 wallet 0x07046535ff9a910d7343a2c319a3e62234621858 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $847,648.03No: $1,322,212.35 Total across all outcomes: $2,169,860.38 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,533No: 704 Total across all outcomes: 2,237 positions |
| Rank10 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 9,621 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.085No: 0.916 Yes 0.084/0.085 · No 0.915/0.916 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,822,025.51 Yes: $260,190.89No: $1,561,834.62 Yes $260,190.89 · No $1,561,834.62 | Whale Holders 39 Yes: 27No: 20 Yes 27 · No 20 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $987,191.89 wallet 0x583582716cc49794789cacdf7aeffbdbd0b79404 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $374,555.29No: $1,607,296.02 Total across all outcomes: $1,981,851.31 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,514No: 404 Total across all outcomes: 1,918 positions |
| Rank11 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 12,830 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.087No: 0.914 Yes 0.086/0.087 · No 0.913/0.914 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,636,495.32 Yes: $260,239.34No: $1,376,255.97 Yes $260,239.34 · No $1,376,255.97 | Whale Holders 47 Yes: 32No: 25 Yes 32 · No 25 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $377,701.19 wallet 0x4b3347197b86addfd375abd2b95dcfc4275ad412 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $367,186.85No: $1,433,514.62 Total across all outcomes: $1,800,701.47 | Outcomes N Yes: 2,133No: 649 Total across all outcomes: 2,782 positions |
| Rank12 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 8,068 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.956No: 0.045 Yes 0.955/0.956 · No 0.044/0.045 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryfinance Whale bar for finance: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,546,130.39 Yes: $1,537,109.27No: $9,021.13 Yes $1,537,109.27 · No $9,021.13 | Whale Holders 61 Yes: 58No: 3 Yes 58 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $567,100.83 wallet 0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,708,500.03No: $34,431.39 Total across all outcomes: $1,742,931.42 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,131No: 512 Total across all outcomes: 1,643 positions |
| Rank13 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,937 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.610No: 0.392 Yes 0.608/0.610 · No 0.390/0.392 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,404,964.56 Yes: $1,169,056.64No: $235,907.92 Yes $1,169,056.64 · No $235,907.92 | Whale Holders 100 Yes: 71No: 30 Yes 71 · No 30 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $184,341.93 wallet 0x792f8e8bae0323abf8927c6820863fbe8a98328a on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,372,618.69No: $322,432.45 Total across all outcomes: $1,695,051.14 | Outcomes N Yes: 2,441No: 1,108 Total across all outcomes: 3,549 positions |
| Rank14 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,771 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.133No: 0.868 Yes 0.132/0.133 · No 0.867/0.868 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,204,138.48 Yes: $412,387.52No: $791,750.96 Yes $412,387.52 · No $791,750.96 | Whale Holders 51 Yes: 35No: 21 Yes 35 · No 21 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $242,900.00 wallet 0xdd225a03cd7ed89e3931906c67c75ab31cf89ef1 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $481,667.70No: $828,519.32 Total across all outcomes: $1,310,187.03 | Outcomes N Yes: 765No: 443 Total across all outcomes: 1,208 positions |
| Rank15 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 10,682 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.014No: 0.988 Yes 0.012/0.014 · No 0.986/0.988 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryweather Whale bar for weather: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $1,026,939.87 Yes: $0.00No: $1,026,939.87 Yes $0.00 · No $1,026,939.87 | Whale Holders 48 Yes: 0No: 48 Yes 0 · No 48 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $98,699.58 wallet 0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $14,036.89No: $1,104,366.05 Total across all outcomes: $1,118,402.94 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,098No: 1,426 Total across all outcomes: 2,524 positions |
| Rank16 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,486 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.965No: 0.036 Yes 0.964/0.965 · No 0.035/0.036 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $872,556.57 Yes: $872,556.57No: $0.00 Yes $872,556.57 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 54 Yes: 54No: 0 Yes 54 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $227,279.60 wallet 0x46ee4944d72cceaac9c19e08e0491cbad461ae61 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,062,276.62No: $4,540.10 Total across all outcomes: $1,066,816.72 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,865No: 161 Total across all outcomes: 2,026 positions |
| Rank17 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,368 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.018No: 0.983 Yes 0.017/0.018 · No 0.982/0.983 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $715,491.22 Yes: $48,170.15No: $667,321.08 Yes $48,170.15 · No $667,321.08 | Whale Holders 18 Yes: 4No: 16 Yes 4 · No 16 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $168,771.30 wallet 0x72f13795baf0bfc6714c3566fdf03ff95611595e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $59,470.75No: $709,026.46 Total across all outcomes: $768,497.22 | Outcomes N Yes: 145No: 829 Total across all outcomes: 974 positions |
| Rank18 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 14,905 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.014No: 0.987 Yes 0.013/0.014 · No 0.986/0.987 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryculture Whale bar for culture: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $687,768.15 Yes: $7,607.91No: $680,160.25 Yes $7,607.91 · No $680,160.25 | Whale Holders 41 Yes: 1No: 40 Yes 1 · No 40 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $205,021.73 wallet 0x9574537d031ac68f2fefd4780e930d448a860089 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $13,581.58No: $942,819.83 Total across all outcomes: $956,401.40 | Outcomes N Yes: 353No: 7,096 Total across all outcomes: 7,449 positions |
| Rank19 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,361 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.080No: 0.930 Yes 0.070/0.080 · No 0.920/0.930 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorygeopolitics Whale bar for geopolitics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $619,891.34 Yes: $28,581.49No: $591,309.85 Yes $28,581.49 · No $591,309.85 | Whale Holders 57 Yes: 6No: 51 Yes 6 · No 51 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $169,378.63 wallet 0xdfe3fedc5c7679be42c3d393e99d4b55247b73c4 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $57,425.01No: $709,673.29 Total across all outcomes: $767,098.30 | Outcomes N Yes: 532No: 783 Total across all outcomes: 1,315 positions |
| Rank20 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 5,184 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.317No: 0.691 Yes 0.309/0.317 · No 0.683/0.691 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $532,441.97 Yes: $374,034.60No: $158,407.37 Yes $374,034.60 · No $158,407.37 | Whale Holders 57 Yes: 44No: 13 Yes 44 · No 13 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $55,391.29 wallet 0x8b4255313643e1f57f3bdf0a1376765f9820063e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $544,065.18No: $212,735.02 Total across all outcomes: $756,800.20 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,887No: 450 Total across all outcomes: 2,337 positions |
| Rank21 | US recession by end of 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,321 rows held · Ends 2027-01-31 | Ask Yes: 0.070No: 0.940 Yes 0.060/0.070 · No 0.930/0.940 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryeconomy Whale bar for economy: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $507,854.62 Yes: $30,608.11No: $477,246.52 Yes $30,608.11 · No $477,246.52 | Whale Holders 50 Yes: 2No: 48 Yes 2 · No 48 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $37,268.05 wallet 0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $39,816.91No: $574,632.69 Total across all outcomes: $614,449.60 | Outcomes N Yes: 377No: 611 Total across all outcomes: 988 positions |
| Rank22 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,375 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.026No: 0.976 Yes 0.024/0.026 · No 0.974/0.976 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $429,100.19 Yes: $17,471.04No: $411,629.15 Yes $17,471.04 · No $411,629.15 | Whale Holders 35 Yes: 3No: 32 Yes 3 · No 32 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $80,097.53 wallet 0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $48,308.15No: $461,853.69 Total across all outcomes: $510,161.83 | Outcomes N Yes: 772No: 380 Total across all outcomes: 1,152 positions |
| Rank23 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 8,227 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.151No: 0.850 Yes 0.150/0.151 · No 0.849/0.850 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorypolitics Whale bar for politics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $408,826.16 Yes: $381,018.43No: $27,807.73 Yes $381,018.43 · No $27,807.73 | Whale Holders 36 Yes: 31No: 5 Yes 31 · No 5 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $98,731.79 wallet 0x3cd63e65f3df4aaf8ebe9de56fe5f8f633b218e4 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $482,592.25No: $56,253.66 Total across all outcomes: $538,845.91 | Outcomes N Yes: 768No: 342 Total across all outcomes: 1,110 positions |
| Rank24 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,705 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.102No: 0.899 Yes 0.101/0.102 · No 0.898/0.899 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $406,609.63 Yes: $222,709.36No: $183,900.27 Yes $222,709.36 · No $183,900.27 | Whale Holders 33 Yes: 26No: 8 Yes 26 · No 8 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $129,294.15 wallet 0xdfd7bd2b98e2b88757ed34903ebbde267fa1793f on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $293,403.43No: $197,044.07 Total across all outcomes: $490,447.50 | Outcomes N Yes: 437No: 209 Total across all outcomes: 646 positions |
| Rank25 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 8,650 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.011No: 0.991 Yes 0.009/0.011 · No 0.989/0.991 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorypolitics Whale bar for politics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $394,192.35 Yes: $23,433.39No: $370,758.96 Yes $23,433.39 · No $370,758.96 | Whale Holders 3 Yes: 3No: 1 Yes 3 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $370,758.96 wallet 0x1e105911ebbb6f438fcca272d9e09aaef0b10cd4 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $35,139.64No: $376,181.29 Total across all outcomes: $411,320.93 | Outcomes N Yes: 167No: 289 Total across all outcomes: 456 positions |
| Rank26 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 8,800 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.013No: 0.988 Yes 0.012/0.013 · No 0.987/0.988 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $354,808.29 Yes: $10,053.62No: $344,754.67 Yes $10,053.62 · No $344,754.67 | Whale Holders 13 Yes: 3No: 11 Yes 3 · No 11 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $272,659.61 wallet 0x14c32680ffc318892e0d019181e4161aa34cdf68 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $37,872.96No: $362,572.45 Total across all outcomes: $400,445.41 | Outcomes N Yes: 503No: 438 Total across all outcomes: 941 positions |
| Rank27 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,290 rows held · Ends 2027-04-01 | Ask Yes: 0.991No: 0.013 Yes 0.987/0.991 · No 0.009/0.013 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $351,192.19 Yes: $351,192.19No: $0.00 Yes $351,192.19 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 14 Yes: 14No: 0 Yes 14 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $131,966.68 wallet 0x1ce4fce85485bb75d78efb198a2d2fab4a43fbd1 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $417,271.50No: $1,798.93 Total across all outcomes: $419,070.44 | Outcomes N Yes: 669No: 59 Total across all outcomes: 728 positions |
| Rank28 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 11,159 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask— no quotes upstream | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $345,418.34 Yes: $0.00No: $345,418.34 Yes $0.00 · No $345,418.34 | Whale Holders 5 Yes: 0No: 5 Yes 0 · No 5 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $149,925.00 wallet 0x9efdf8932077f748fa000ec4e74996829e21b227 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,502.04No: $377,989.50 Total across all outcomes: $379,491.53 | Outcomes N Yes: 86No: 3,171 Total across all outcomes: 3,257 positions |
| Rank29 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 11,412 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask— no quotes upstream | Categoryelections Whale bar for elections: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $297,244.05 Yes: $0.00No: $297,244.05 Yes $0.00 · No $297,244.05 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 0No: 4 Yes 0 · No 4 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $229,885.00 wallet 0xe734e7bf7cfb9e464681f71822f6c2f6be514f0c on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,472.73No: $330,423.23 Total across all outcomes: $331,895.96 | Outcomes N Yes: 98No: 3,183 Total across all outcomes: 3,281 positions |
| Rank30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,950 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.840No: 0.170 Yes 0.830/0.840 · No 0.160/0.170 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryfinance Whale bar for finance: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $271,363.95 Yes: $265,712.84No: $5,651.11 Yes $265,712.84 · No $5,651.11 | Whale Holders 23 Yes: 21No: 2 Yes 21 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $146,364.52 wallet 0xb47adfafc08e77ec77b03a6d1496066675ae6d60 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $392,016.71No: $17,713.30 Total across all outcomes: $409,730.00 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,387No: 178 Total across all outcomes: 1,565 positions |
| Rank31 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,376 rows held · Ends 2027-01-02 | Ask Yes: 0.579No: 0.473 Yes 0.527/0.579 · No 0.421/0.473 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryscience Whale bar for science: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $249,918.15 Yes: $163,678.56No: $86,239.59 Yes $163,678.56 · No $86,239.59 | Whale Holders 16 Yes: 13No: 3 Yes 13 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $62,407.16 wallet 0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $206,350.78No: $94,720.94 Total across all outcomes: $301,071.72 | Outcomes N Yes: 375No: 169 Total across all outcomes: 544 positions |
| Rank32 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,662 rows held · Ends 2027-01-02 | Ask Yes: 0.440No: 0.590 Yes 0.410/0.440 · No 0.560/0.590 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categoryscience Whale bar for science: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $247,496.49 Yes: $123,567.11No: $123,929.38 Yes $123,567.11 · No $123,929.38 | Whale Holders 12 Yes: 9No: 3 Yes 9 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $58,144.68 wallet 0xffbbf885454e6930e54b720ad5224175b8ae36e9 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $169,442.72No: $136,702.35 Total across all outcomes: $306,145.07 | Outcomes N Yes: 668No: 161 Total across all outcomes: 829 positions |
| Rank33 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 10,234 rows held · Ends 2028-11-08 | Ask Yes: 0.064No: 0.937 Yes 0.063/0.064 · No 0.936/0.937 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorypolitics Whale bar for politics: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $215,439.15 Yes: $139,103.05No: $76,336.10 Yes $139,103.05 · No $76,336.10 | Whale Holders 23 Yes: 14No: 9 Yes 14 · No 9 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $23,444.81 wallet 0xb5d19b53c973be1097119c9ddc48fcb18fff6e35 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $206,546.13No: $107,220.59 Total across all outcomes: $313,766.73 | Outcomes N Yes: 824No: 510 Total across all outcomes: 1,334 positions |
| Rank34 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,250 rows held · Ends 2026-11-20 | Ask Yes: 0.042No: 0.969 Yes 0.031/0.042 · No 0.958/0.969 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorytech Whale bar for tech: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $213,895.96 Yes: $0.00No: $213,895.96 Yes $0.00 · No $213,895.96 | Whale Holders 8 Yes: 0No: 8 Yes 0 · No 8 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $127,061.37 wallet 0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $9,696.73No: $260,873.13 Total across all outcomes: $270,569.87 | Outcomes N Yes: 404No: 579 Total across all outcomes: 983 positions |
| Rank35 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,950 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.027No: 0.975 Yes 0.025/0.027 · No 0.973/0.975 — quotes from the published pass (19:00) | Categorysports Whale bar for sports: $2,500.00 | Whale Capital $204,089.94 Yes: $2,790.28No: $201,299.66 Yes $2,790.28 · No $201,299.66 | Whale Holders 11 Yes: 1No: 10 Yes 1 · No 10 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $72,086.17 wallet 0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $43,386.85No: $241,537.05 Total across all outcomes: $284,923.89 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,020No: 272 Total across all outcomes: 1,292 positions |
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