anciano — Trade history

0xa8b7f8b34185e9cc62c471e1d353595148a3ee3c

← Active positions
Published artifact: · run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Market Outcome State Entry date Avg Entry Last trade / Close Current / Close price Current Value Size Realized P&L
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.910 2026-10-27 0.915 — — -$28.95
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.374 2026-10-27 0.395 $870.52 2,203.858 —
Scorigami in Week 9 of the 2026-27 NFL season? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.279 2026-10-27 0.275 $858.21 3,120.7714 —
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.200 2026-10-27 0.275 — — $754.34
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.990 2026-10-27 0.991 — — -$1,479.91
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.745 2026-10-27 0.725 — — $371.94
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-27 0.339 2026-10-27 0.325 $591.86 1,821.1016 —
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.197 2026-10-27 0.205 $464.21 2,264.4564 —
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.580 2026-10-27 0.595 — — $4.03
Will Zuby Ejiofor win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.012 2026-10-27 0.004 — — -$10.94
Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.012 2026-10-27 0.002 — — -$12.12
Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.012 2026-10-27 0.002 — — $422.19
Will Alex Karaban win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.012 2026-10-27 0.002 — — -$11.20
Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.012 2026-10-27 0.002 — — -$12.04
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.141 2026-10-27 0.075 — — $29.66
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-27 0.669 2026-10-27 0.685 $5,548.51 8,100.0074 —
2026 Balance of Power: Other ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.200 2026-10-27 0.001 — — -$3,207.64
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.903 2026-10-27 0.905 — — -$21.64
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.188 2026-10-27 0.135 — — $48.82
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.128 2026-10-27 0.180 — — $281.75
Will the Golden State Warriors make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.376 2026-10-27 0.320 — — $12.03
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-26 0.051 2026-10-27 0.055 $131.11 2,383.9039 —
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.517 2026-10-27 0.655 $4,753.85 7,257.7927 —
Will the New Orleans Pelicans be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.056 2026-10-27 0.004 — — -$9.22
Will the LA Clippers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.056 2026-10-27 0.003 — — -$9.00
Will the Phoenix Suns be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.056 2026-10-27 0.009 — — -$9.31
Will the Memphis Grizzlies be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.045 2026-10-27 0.011 — — -$9.96
Will the Utah Jazz be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.056 2026-10-27 0.013 — — $26.91
Will Belgium win the UEFA EURO 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.015 2026-10-27 0.043 — — $4.03
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.028 2026-10-27 0.002 — — -$107.02
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-26 0.086 2026-10-27 0.090 $137.24 1,524.8455 —
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open — 0.700 2026-10-27 0.695 $1,376.10 1,980.0053 —
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.339 2026-10-27 0.315 $593.68 1,884.6975 —
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-25 0.090 2026-10-27 0.115 — — $2.70
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.317 2026-10-27 0.220 $964.95 4,386.1246 —
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.090 2026-10-27 0.100 — — $436.37
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-25 0.342 2026-10-27 0.215 $1,049.33 4,880.5914 —
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.226 2026-10-27 0.220 $696.46 3,165.7215 —
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.934 2026-10-27 0.951 — — $11.05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.682 2026-10-27 0.695 — — $158.42
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.943 2026-10-27 0.968 $1,876.63 1,939.6732 —
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.741 2026-10-27 0.709 — — -$2.28
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.947 2026-10-27 0.978 — — $15.89
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.197 2026-10-27 0.085 $147.05 1,730.003 —
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.580 2026-10-27 0.205 — — $32.08
Will the Eagles win the season series against the Cowboys during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.837 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $25.45
Scorigami in Week 7 of the 2026-27 NFL season? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-25 0.848 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $238.83
Will there be 5+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.822 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $120.66
Will there be 6+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.953 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.83
Scorigami in Week 16 of the 2026-27 NFL season? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.249 2026-10-27 0.315 — — $5.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-27 0.653 2026-10-27 0.665 — — $793.49
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.180 2026-10-27 0.880 $4,288.04 4,870.0003 —
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Open 2026-10-25 0.422 2026-10-27 0.415 $2,960.44 7,133.5964 —
Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.488 2026-10-27 0.180 — — -$208.54
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-27 0.784 2026-10-27 0.951 $2,488.29 2,617.87 —
Will Colson Montgomery win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.998 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.21
Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.991 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $2.89
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.998 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.19
Will Tanner Bibee win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.998 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.29
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.998 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.29
Will Travis Bazzana win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.998 2026-10-27 1.000 — — $0.29
Will Ottawa Senators be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.048 2026-10-26 0.058 $176.17 3,037.49 —
Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.317 2026-10-26 0.405 — — $18.76
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-26 0.074 2026-10-26 0.135 $279.72 2,072.0367 —
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.657 2026-10-26 0.625 — — $274.13
Will New Jersey Devils be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.048 2026-10-26 0.083 $464.37 5,628.7206 —
Will New York Islanders be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.048 2026-10-26 0.028 $136.53 4,964.7235 —
Will Columbus Blue Jackets be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.043 2026-10-26 0.038 — — $125.65
Will Florida Panthers be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.115 2026-10-26 0.135 $1,229.72 9,109.0377 —
Will the New York Giants make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.689 2026-10-26 0.570 — — -$27.62
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? ↗ OutcomeNo Open — 0.580 2026-10-26 0.535 $897.99 1,678.4952 —
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.626 2026-10-26 0.625 — — -$41.41
Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-26 0.236 2026-10-26 0.725 $1,170.32 1,614.228 —
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.269 2026-10-26 0.255 — — -$118.70
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.891 2026-10-26 0.900 — — -$218.85
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.154 2026-10-26 0.035 — — $69.20
Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2026 NFC West? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.307 2026-10-26 0.090 — — -$655.34
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.983 2026-10-26 0.951 — — -$17.61
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.131 2026-10-26 0.050 — — $13.33
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.280 2026-10-26 0.275 — — $17.99
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.780 2026-10-26 0.790 — — $64.39
Will Italy win the UEFA EURO 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.031 2026-10-26 0.034 — — $4.49
Will the Minnesota Vikings be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-26 0.403 2026-10-26 1.000 — — $275.67
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-25 0.146 2026-10-26 0.165 $2,663.86 16,144.6024 —
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.022 2026-10-26 0.005 — — -$173.51
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.027 2026-10-26 0.045 $450.00 10,000.0034 —
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.358 2026-10-26 0.033 — — $1,220.30
Will the Los Angeles Rams make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.805 2026-10-25 0.485 — — -$310.83
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled 2026-10-25 0.760 2026-10-25 1.000 — — $116.70
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled 2026-10-25 0.761 2026-10-25 1.000 — — $72.72
Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.200 2026-10-25 0.240 — — $5.73
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.031 2026-10-25 0.038 $108.30 2,813.1101 —
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.401 2026-10-25 0.000 — — $4.27
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Open 2026-10-25 0.019 2026-10-25 0.017 $34.41 2,085.2762 —
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.110 2026-10-25 0.115 — — $1.72
Will there be 7+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.949 2026-10-25 1.000 — — $14.05
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-09 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.946 2026-10-25 0.988 $1,545.23 1,564 —
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Open — 0.608 2026-10-25 0.575 $1,339.57 2,329.6874 —
Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 16+ innings? ↗ OutcomeYes Closed / Settled — 0.042 2026-10-25 0.019 — — $20.87
Will Carolina Panthers win the 2026 NFC South? ↗ OutcomeNo Closed / Settled — 0.750 2026-10-25 0.640 — — -$15.07

Some rows predate the bounded trade scan, so their date cells show — — the exact date is older than the reachable window, and we never substitute a snapshot date for it.

Showing at most 100 rows, one per market and outcome, newest last trade first. Trade history is live Polymarket data, not part of the published run; the current values above belong to no published ranking. Methodology.