classified
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$340,243.97
Active Markets
73
Positions Listed
75
Last trade: Reduces its No position — $15.00 on — Xi Jinping out before 2027?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,078.00 on — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$76,407.70 | Size87,473.0385 | Current Price0.874 | Cash P&L $17,299.54 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.676 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$23,003.79 | Size23,236.1511 | Current Price0.990 | Cash P&L $481.94 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.969 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$22,431.84 | Size23,257.478 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $342.57 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14,747.75 | Size16,990.4954 | Current Price0.868 | Cash P&L -$663.82 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.907 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14,557.54 | Size31,994.5983 | Current Price0.455 | Cash P&L $1,586.68 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.405 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$12,450.93 | Size12,608.54 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $66.91 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.982 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$11,787.18 | Size14,287.4952 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $436.77 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.794 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11,636.04 | Size13,298.3369 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $452.89 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.841 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$11,068.64 | Size12,415.7528 | Current Price0.891 | Cash P&L -$473.08 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10,658.81 | Size10,777.3626 | Current Price0.989 | Cash P&L $19.45 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.987 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$10,130.63 | Size11,988.9071 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$179.82 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8,199.30 | Size8,658.1808 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L $599.17 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.878 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8,166.95 | Size11,922.5615 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L -$237.40 | Market End2026-11-09 | Avg Entry0.705 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,861.51 | Size14,598.9591 | Current Price0.470 | Cash P&L $203.58 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.456 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,836.48 | Size7,001.0066 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $264.81 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.939 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,498.28 | Size35,125.8339 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L -$7.17 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.185 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,706.50 | Size5,953.5719 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L -$37.32 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.965 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5,060.13 | Size7,387.0509 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L -$131.53 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.703 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5,006.99 | Size5,343.6441 | Current Price0.937 | Cash P&L $56.33 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.926 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,872.32 | Size42,368.0363 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$3,998.99 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.209 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,719.52 | Size57,908.216 | Current Price0.082 | Cash P&L $2,929.81 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.031 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,204.98 | Size4,315.0145 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $38.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.966 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,974.03 | Size6,113.8918 | Current Price0.650 | Cash P&L -$72.10 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.662 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,955.00 | Size7,000.0041 | Current Price0.565 | Cash P&L -$50.41 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.572 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,696.19 | Size3,754.3845 | Current Price0.985 | Cash P&L $103.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.957 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,676.54 | Size31,969.9162 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L $1,701.47 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.062 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,650.00 | Size10,000 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L -$150.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.380 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,465.81 | Size15,717.98 | Current Price0.221 | Cash P&L $224.58 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.206 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,018.61 | Size14,374.3346 | Current Price0.210 | Cash P&L -$67.13 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.215 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,644.72 | Size4,300.3606 | Current Price0.615 | Cash P&L -$2.86 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.616 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,398.81 | Size2,513.1598 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $23.77 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.945 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,234.18 | Size2,323.6426 | Current Price0.962 | Cash P&L -$12.52 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.967 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,057.16 | Size2,102.3599 | Current Price0.979 | Cash P&L -$15.31 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.986 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,921.84 | Size1,980.2525 | Current Price0.971 | Cash P&L $2.97 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.969 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,909.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L -$9.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.959 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,878.87 | Size1,894.976 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $6.94 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.988 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,508.54 | Size16,761.5982 | Current Price0.090 | Cash P&L $509.27 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.060 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,391.90 | Size11,999.164 | Current Price0.116 | Cash P&L $475.03 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.076 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,090.33 | Size9,481.1452 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$95.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.125 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,085.00 | Size1,400 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$17.66 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.788 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$998.46 | Size52,550.4612 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L -$1,977.95 | Market End2026-10-22 | Avg Entry0.057 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$994.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.994 | Cash P&L $2.00 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.992 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$900.00 | Size20,000.0094 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L -$100.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.050 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$678.78 | Size2,661.8924 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L $66.63 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$622.27 | Size5,411.0662 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L $81.17 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.100 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$581.66 | Size583.7 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $16.64 | Market End2027-01-29 | Avg Entry0.968 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$528.24 | Size1,059.66 | Current Price0.498 | Cash P&L -$87.38 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.581 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$520.83 | Size1,001.591 | Current Price0.520 | Cash P&L $44.01 | Market End2026-11-23 | Avg Entry0.476 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$508.21 | Size4,419.2493 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L $38.75 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.106 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$474.53 | Size19,368.5803 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L -$319.14 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.041 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$463.95 | Size480.2796 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L $98.94 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$447.75 | Size451.3612 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $3.61 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.984 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$383.93 | Size1,218.8146 | Current Price0.315 | Cash P&L $67.03 | Market End2026-11-09 | Avg Entry0.260 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$334.89 | Size2,029.6469 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L $6.96 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.162 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$311.18 | Size1,152.5072 | Current Price0.270 | Cash P&L $92.20 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.190 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: October ↗ | OutcomeSomething | Current Value$223.52 | Size7,576.9384 | Current Price0.029 | Cash P&L -$186.17 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.054 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$130.21 | Size130.47 | Current Price0.998 | Cash P&L $2.09 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.982 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$122.42 | Size365.4374 | Current Price0.335 | Cash P&L -$4.24 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.347 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$91.84 | Size244.9026 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$1.22 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.380 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$74.63 | Size8,291.8293 | Current Price0.009 | Cash P&L -$14.91 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.011 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$62.13 | Size17,751.6559 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L $12.02 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.003 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$60.88 | Size173.95 | Current Price0.350 | Cash P&L $3.48 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.330 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$27.23 | Size86.4305 | Current Price0.315 | Cash P&L $3.02 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.280 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26.50 | Size407.6899 | Current Price0.065 | Cash P&L $2.04 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.060 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$23.36 | Size46,724.6297 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$9,321.56 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$15.06 | Size424.1015 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$1.91 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.040 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$13.33 | Size1,111.05 | Current Price0.012 | Cash P&L -$21.11 | Market End2026-10-21 | Avg Entry0.031 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$9.73 | Size10 | Current Price0.974 | Cash P&L $1.64 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.63 | Size19,262.4565 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$525.42 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.028 |
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.63 | Size19,262.4565 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$525.42 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.028 |
| Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.63 | Size19,262.4565 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$525.42 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.028 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8.50 | Size5,665.275 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$2.74 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.002 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.40 | Size2.88 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $1.97 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.150 |
| Any G20 leader out in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.25 | Size16.66 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$0.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.150 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.02 | Size2.0298 | Current Price0.998 | Cash P&L $0.02 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.988 |