eightpenguins

0x3c593aeb73ebdadbc9ce76d4264a6a2af4011766

View on Polymarket ↗

All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$108,428.00
Active Markets
29
Positions Listed
29

Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $401.96 on — US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,220.00 on — Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23,998.35 Size28,400.4115 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $2,776.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.747
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$12,795.97 Size15,895.61 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $3,558.71 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.581
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$12,165.36 Size24,089.8139 Current Price0.505 Cash P&L $3,196.50 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.372
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11,432.91 Size15,554.9776 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $1,344.39 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.648
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,063.95 Size18,347.9305 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $1,009.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.330
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,672.65 Size6,925.4322 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $1,557.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.739
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,369.89 Size12,701.6734 Current Price0.501 Cash P&L $1,626.80 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.373
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,887.41 Size51,194.8753 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$6,091.78 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.234
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5,732.76 Size8,888 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $399.96 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.600
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,548.97 Size4,492.37 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $855.17 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.600
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,423.92 Size2,802.22 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $161.81 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.807
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,116.45 Size3,333 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $183.31 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.580
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,886.04 Size2,924.1003 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$199.96 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.713
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,768.10 Size2,741.24 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$187.51 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.713
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$859.36 Size18,886.969 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$2,651.32 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.186
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$801.49 Size4,452.7111 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$554.24 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.304
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$605.10 Size5,576.9975 Current Price0.108 Cash P&L -$133.23 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.132
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$581.86 Size3,232.5408 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$1,190.43 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.548
US strike on Cuba by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$342.52 Size4,566.9715 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$1,503.85 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.404
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$311.01 Size11,518.74 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L -$1,277.21 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.138
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$307.25 Size3,119.2592 Current Price0.099 Cash P&L -$749.87 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.339
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$275.07 Size3,438.3191 Current Price0.080 Cash P&L $68.77 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.060
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$172.19 Size1,110.9176 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$472.14 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.580
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$133.20 Size443.99 Current Price0.300 Cash P&L -$142.08 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.620
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$69.44 Size816.92 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$34.90 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.128
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$43.12 Size404.86 Current Price0.106 Cash P&L -$36.99 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.198
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.77 Size741.2908 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$374.35 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.560
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? ↗ OutcomeHike 25 bps Current Value$19.25 Size621.06 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L -$421.70 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.710
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.65 Size2,432.24 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$416.65 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.173