paddaa

0x60a92c8620846d81f5ea17b0564e0d4b7c545a71

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$160,637.61
Active Markets
260
Positions Listed
260

Last trade: Reduces its No position — $52.03 on — Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,000.00 on — Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,288.34 Size15,352.6327 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L -$1,091.74 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.676
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$8,227.50 Size10,548.0781 Current Price0.780 Cash P&L $1,724.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.617
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,934.16 Size9,735.1694 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L -$65.82 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.822
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,787.38 Size11,622.9559 Current Price0.670 Cash P&L $2,804.62 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.429
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7,296.06 Size9,063.4255 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $294.05 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.772
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,490.80 Size7,059.0588 Current Price0.919 Cash P&L $490.81 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.850
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,291.13 Size8,677.4168 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $291.14 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.691
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,234.38 Size9,375 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L $234.38 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.640
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,968.97 Size9,839.5404 Current Price0.505 Cash P&L $162.55 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.488
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,826.04 Size5,484.1316 Current Price0.880 Cash P&L $130.66 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.856
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,341.09 Size11,275.5676 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $477.57 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.343
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,142.12 Size6,627.3874 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L -$143.61 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.647
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,059.21 Size4,747.6113 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L -$13.38 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.858
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,937.98 Size9,158.0862 Current Price0.430 Cash P&L -$72.51 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.438
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,586.01 Size4,400.0084 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $110.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.790
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,020.85 Size4,518.8485 Current Price0.668 Cash P&L $74.88 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.652
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,926.96 Size8,737.1942 Current Price0.335 Cash P&L $185.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.314
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,833.20 Size3,201.3515 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $433.22 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.750
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,761.52 Size6,575.0496 Current Price0.420 Cash P&L $556.53 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.335
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,333.54 Size4,281.7241 Current Price0.545 Cash P&L $18.42 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.541
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,072.17 Size3,397 Current Price0.610 Cash P&L -$127.85 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.648
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,640.28 Size2,201.7114 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $1,169.11 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.214
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,506.02 Size2,495.4825 Current Price0.604 Cash P&L $1,263.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.097
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,367.14 Size1,571.424 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L $66.96 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.827
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,329.04 Size6,645.1958 Current Price0.200 Cash P&L $1,190.91 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.021
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,329.01 Size1,407.8517 Current Price0.944 Cash P&L $200.31 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.802
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,273.66 Size2,158.7533 Current Price0.590 Cash P&L $30.89 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.576
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,203.23 Size6,684.5944 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$1,181.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.357
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,019.59 Size10,732.5049 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L -$678.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.158
Will Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$994.57 Size1,484.4317 Current Price0.670 Cash P&L $211.14 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.528
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$855.00 Size1,125 Current Price0.760 Cash P&L -$45.00 Market End2027-01-02 Avg Entry0.800
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$849.81 Size1,716.7937 Current Price0.495 Cash P&L $241.99 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.354
Will Democrats win the Michigan, Minnesota, and New Hampshire Senate seats? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$831.06 Size2,557.11 Current Price0.325 Cash P&L $42.37 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.308
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$823.13 Size951.5972 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$4.92 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.870
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$801.09 Size1,302.5883 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L $236.09 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.434
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$791.65 Size5,277.6701 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$1,661.19 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.465
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$738.71 Size2,896.9195 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $711.12 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$730.78 Size4,175.8905 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L $30.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.168
Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$726.03 Size949.0525 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $14.04 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.750
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$694.97 Size2,622.5465 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L $94.98 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.229
Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$679.94 Size1,401.9318 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L $122.18 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.398
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$679.41 Size4,117.6479 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$20.58 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.170
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$665.00 Size1,400 Current Price0.475 Cash P&L -$132.94 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.570
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$654.62 Size1,071.3838 Current Price0.611 Cash P&L $351.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.283
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$613.61 Size834.8431 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $263.61 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.419
Will Janice Frampton win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$609.85 Size645.3463 Current Price0.945 Cash P&L $96.58 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.795
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$605.31 Size1,891.5874 Current Price0.320 Cash P&L -$211.49 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.432
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$575.77 Size2,020.2295 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L -$724.23 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.643
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$557.37 Size578.1846 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $496.41 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.105
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$548.10 Size2,877.1718 Current Price0.191 Cash P&L $118.40 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.149
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$545.84 Size2,373.1981 Current Price0.230 Cash P&L $45.84 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.211
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$537.27 Size4,298.1635 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L $445.16 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.021
Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$536.32 Size858.1133 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L -$13.68 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.641
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$519.75 Size675 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $65.12 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.673
Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$505.40 Size783.5732 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$0.61 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.646
Will Ahmed Galadima win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$498.38 Size803.846 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $190.69 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.383
Will Jaroslav Polaček win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$476.01 Size555.4352 Current Price0.857 Cash P&L $88.56 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.698
Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$471.32 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.052 Cash P&L $385.00 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$468.70 Size624.0989 Current Price0.751 Cash P&L $111.90 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.572
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$466.36 Size672.47 Current Price0.694 Cash P&L $18.92 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.665
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$431.26 Size1,487.1012 Current Price0.290 Cash P&L -$29.86 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.310
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$427.67 Size551.8354 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $62.87 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.661
Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$426.08 Size440.8488 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $346.08 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.181
Will Agbu Kefas win the 2027 Taraba State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$420.27 Size539.8505 Current Price0.778 Cash P&L $78.58 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.633
Will Ján Danko win the 2026 Martin mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$418.94 Size551.2319 Current Price0.760 Cash P&L $141.18 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.504
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$415.87 Size8,848.2539 Current Price0.047 Cash P&L $234.55 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$415.26 Size1,805.4871 Current Price0.230 Cash P&L -$525.63 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.521
Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$411.77 Size426.4834 Current Price0.966 Cash P&L $280.61 Market End2027-06-30 Avg Entry0.307
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$407.81 Size674.0679 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L $46.94 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.535
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$395.64 Size1,388.1994 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L -$104.36 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.360
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$377.71 Size2,697.9239 Current Price0.140 Cash P&L $317.47 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.022
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$376.47 Size2,352.9411 Current Price0.160 Cash P&L -$23.53 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.170
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$364.50 Size900 Current Price0.405 Cash P&L $10.80 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.393
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$362.49 Size499.99 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $87.50 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.550
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$360.24 Size673.3481 Current Price0.535 Cash P&L -$70.85 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.640
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$356.90 Size1,118.8032 Current Price0.319 Cash P&L $249.96 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.096
Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$336.22 Size546.6923 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L -$34.78 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.679
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$333.43 Size8,891.3739 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L $248.73 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$330.93 Size8,944.1139 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L $147.77 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$316.67 Size340.5 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $213.38 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.303
Will Michael Eamon win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$311.15 Size350 Current Price0.889 Cash P&L $83.15 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.651
Will Rachel De Basso be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jönköping County? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$294.69 Size373.03 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $16.04 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.747
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$288.74 Size7,598.3544 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L $175.26 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.015
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$284.63 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.058 Cash P&L $141.27 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$275.54 Size6,055.9195 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L $214.66 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.010
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$275.18 Size310.9333 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $45.18 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.740
Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$270.37 Size482.8077 Current Price0.560 Cash P&L $133.21 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.284
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$267.05 Size684.75 Current Price0.390 Cash P&L -$52.95 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.467
Will Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán win the next Piura mayoral elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$260.87 Size282.1761 Current Price0.924 Cash P&L $51.61 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.742
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$250.68 Size8,219.1139 Current Price0.030 Cash P&L $81.76 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.021
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$250.41 Size370.983 Current Price0.675 Cash P&L $10.41 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.647
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$245.63 Size381.4124 Current Price0.644 Cash P&L -$54.37 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.786
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$244.73 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L $158.40 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$244.73 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L $158.40 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Oborevwori Sheriff Francis Orohwedor win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$232.84 Size350.1279 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L -$48.70 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.804
Will Branislav Baroš win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$232.43 Size715.1703 Current Price0.325 Cash P&L -$18.57 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.351
Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$229.94 Size4,944.9515 Current Price0.046 Cash P&L $183.12 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$229.74 Size233 Current Price0.986 Cash P&L $27.67 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.867
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$228.19 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.046 Cash P&L $84.84 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$228.07 Size8,944.1139 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L $44.92 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Harrison Fields be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$224.11 Size8,619.5069 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L $142.06 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$223.42 Size242.8449 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $66.31 Market End2027-08-01 Avg Entry0.647
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$223.34 Size252.3625 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $88.46 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.534
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$218.04 Size11,181.404 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$36.95 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.023
Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$217.53 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L $131.21 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$211.92 Size5,727.6853 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L -$565.19 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.136
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$208.56 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.043 Cash P&L $65.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$208.47 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L $122.14 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Laura Loomer be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$208.47 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L $122.14 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$206.67 Size51,666.6666 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$13.23 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.004
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$203.87 Size702.9833 Current Price0.290 Cash P&L $82.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.173
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$197.40 Size2,169.204 Current Price0.091 Cash P&L $154.60 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Sulaiman Bolakale Kawu win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$184.27 Size240.8714 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $19.80 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.683
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$184.12 Size1,416.3206 Current Price0.130 Cash P&L -$646.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.586
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$181.57 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L $38.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$179.27 Size1,558.844 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$376.74 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.357
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$176.47 Size263.3947 Current Price0.670 Cash P&L -$23.53 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.759
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$175.04 Size257.41 Current Price0.680 Cash P&L $5.15 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.660
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$172.21 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L $85.89 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$169.30 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.035 Cash P&L $25.95 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Katie Miller be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$167.26 Size6,690.5495 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L $101.25 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.010
Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$167.25 Size6,826.6595 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L $101.08 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.010
Will Jo Westwood win the next Kingborough mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$166.83 Size233.33 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $57.29 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.469
Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$166.67 Size280.1231 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L $14.62 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.543
Will Alex Nuttall win the 2026 Barrie mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$166.64 Size176.3365 Current Price0.945 Cash P&L $21.03 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.826
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$164.40 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.034 Cash P&L $21.04 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$162.27 Size2,496.4677 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$916.97 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.432
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$161.98 Size1,905.6043 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$132.02 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.154
Israel military action against Yemen by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$157.68 Size165.7207 Current Price0.952 Cash P&L $24.68 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.802
Will Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$149.11 Size1,754.22 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$270.89 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.239
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$146.15 Size196.18 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $34.72 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.568
Will Edwin Gonzalo Vásquez Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$146.04 Size147.1461 Current Price0.993 Cash P&L $52.20 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.638
Will Nicole Malliotakis be the next US Ambassador to Greece? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$144.04 Size160.94 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $11.55 Market End2029-01-19 Avg Entry0.823
Will Kristian Horvath win the next Sorell mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$143.24 Size232.9111 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L -$39.27 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.784
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$140.49 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L $54.17 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$139.67 Size963.2111 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$17.12 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.163
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$137.22 Size5,966.0688 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L -$101.42 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.040
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$135.30 Size6,150.0058 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L -$1,418.70 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.253
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$132.50 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L -$10.86 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$131.43 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L $45.10 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Turkey by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$130.04 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$13.31 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Cuban regime falls in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$129.83 Size149.231 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L $8.95 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.810
Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$128.87 Size165.9645 Current Price0.776 Cash P&L -$5.56 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.810
Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$126.89 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.014 Cash P&L $40.57 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$122.36 Size133.7249 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L -$4.81 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.951
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$120.77 Size148.1798 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $28.77 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.621
Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$108.77 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.012 Cash P&L $22.44 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$108.77 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.012 Cash P&L $22.44 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$106.23 Size6,639.5962 Current Price0.016 Cash P&L $43.37 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$105.60 Size391.112 Current Price0.270 Cash P&L -$57.64 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.417
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$101.82 Size3,636.3636 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$98.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.055
Will Aldo Antolli win the next Kingborough mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$101.03 Size331.23 Current Price0.305 Cash P&L $26.06 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.226
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$99.27 Size116.1 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L $14.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.731
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$93.24 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$50.11 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$93.24 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$50.11 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Kevin Ashe win the 2026 Pickering mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$92.83 Size124.6105 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $15.88 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.618
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$85.88 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$57.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$84.47 Size228.3009 Current Price0.370 Cash P&L $80.30 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.018
Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$82.58 Size109.38 Current Price0.755 Cash P&L $4.50 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.714
Will Nasiphi Moya be the next mayor of Tshwane? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$82.53 Size289.5681 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L $38.91 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.151
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$80.85 Size1,155.0288 Current Price0.070 Cash P&L -$0.15 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.070
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$77.25 Size104.39 Current Price0.740 Cash P&L $32.29 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.431
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$73.61 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$69.74 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Moe Comuzzi win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$70.79 Size267.1293 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L -$11.21 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.307
Will Steve Martin win the next Devonport mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$70.52 Size102.9418 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L -$5.69 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.740
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$70.39 Size869.0085 Current Price0.081 Cash P&L -$14.77 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.098
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$69.91 Size87.9353 Current Price0.795 Cash P&L $2.69 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.764
Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$68.21 Size216.5537 Current Price0.315 Cash P&L -$62.79 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.605
Will Mustapha Gubio win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$67.41 Size81.2122 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $64.96 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.030
Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$65.71 Size4,531.9695 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L $22.55 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Philip Brown win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$65.52 Size110.1144 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L $23.96 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.377
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$64.94 Size78.24 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $26.75 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.488
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$62.30 Size1,946.9043 Current Price0.032 Cash P&L -$200.27 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.135
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$60.41 Size177.6737 Current Price0.340 Cash P&L -$39.59 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.563
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$58.20 Size93.12 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L $26.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.340
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$56.31 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.046 Cash P&L $16.19 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$50.19 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.041 Cash P&L $10.07 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Grecia Quiroz win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$50.18 Size101.3807 Current Price0.495 Cash P&L -$24.96 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.741
Will Hogan Gidley be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$49.85 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$36.47 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$49.07 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.010 Cash P&L -$94.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$48.95 Size137.8851 Current Price0.355 Cash P&L -$3.30 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.379
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$47.42 Size862.1615 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$115.31 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.189
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$47.25 Size47.6821 Current Price0.991 Cash P&L $0.29 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.985
Will Salihu Danladi win the 2027 Kwara State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$45.29 Size63.3484 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $4.64 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.642
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$44.72 Size8,944.1139 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$138.44 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Kaelan Dorr be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.79 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$45.54 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Babagana Buhari win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$40.34 Size403.3634 Current Price0.100 Cash P&L $28.19 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.030
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$35.96 Size40.4081 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $15.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.510
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$35.87 Size38.9867 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $13.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.586
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$33.46 Size71.9478 Current Price0.465 Cash P&L $31.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$32.87 Size644.4262 Current Price0.051 Cash P&L -$51.01 Market End2027-12-31 Avg Entry0.130
Will Jake Paul be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.72 Size9,063.9195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$54.60 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.44 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$113.91 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.15 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L -$11.97 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.75 Size370.0528 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L $24.20 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.010
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.17 Size787.6046 Current Price0.035 Cash P&L -$66.96 Market End2027-12-31 Avg Entry0.119
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$26.83 Size8,944.1139 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$156.33 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$23.26 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$16.86 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.03 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$18.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$21.84 Size69.4349 Current Price0.315 Cash P&L -$14.37 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.521
Will Louise Bloomfield win the next Hobart mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$20.60 Size290.0815 Current Price0.071 Cash P&L -$12.40 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.114
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$20.20 Size25.5686 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $1.10 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.747
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.59 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.016 Cash P&L -$20.53 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Jo-Dee Burbach win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$18.42 Size176.3 Current Price0.104 Cash P&L -$29.90 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.274
Will Republicans win the Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska Senate seats? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$17.00 Size20 Current Price0.850 Cash P&L $3.80 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.660
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.56 Size110.4331 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$20.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.336
Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.39 Size290.13 Current Price0.057 Cash P&L -$26.61 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.148
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$16.24 Size216.4858 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$158.65 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.808
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$15.91 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$24.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.72 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$128.63 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.68 Size15.1176 Current Price0.971 Cash P&L $4.05 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.703
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$14.64 Size1,045.7256 Current Price0.014 Cash P&L $5.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.14 Size353.61 Current Price0.040 Cash P&L -$183.92 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.560
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Naftali Bennett become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.42 Size8,944.1139 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$169.74 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.020
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.24 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.010 Cash P&L -$27.88 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.85 Size311.7323 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L $6.85 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.016
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.16 Size883.122 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$60.29 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.080
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.18 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$30.94 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.12 Size869.0068 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$73.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.095
Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.02 Size368.3 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L -$77.88 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.236
Will Jim Lee win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.72 Size140.5924 Current Price0.062 Cash P&L -$42.28 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.363
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.48 Size308.4096 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$19.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.091
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.26 Size869.002 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$73.73 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.094
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.96 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$32.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.36 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$135.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.36 Size4,907.3374 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$135.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.34 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$32.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.34 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$32.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Raúl Morón Orozco win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.86 Size311.7323 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L $1.86 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.016
Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.41 Size112.5063 Current Price0.057 Cash P&L -$24.84 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.278
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.74 Size522 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$35.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.079
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.51 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$34.61 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.51 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$34.61 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.90 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$35.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Tomáš Hrubý be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.30 Size162.42 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$45.70 Market End2027-06-30 Avg Entry0.308
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.67 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$36.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.48 Size869.0078 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$78.51 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.094
Will Alfonso Martínez Alcázar win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.46 Size83.4375 Current Price0.042 Cash P&L $2.63 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.010
US strike on Cuba by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.10 Size36.45 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L $0.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.080
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.06 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$37.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.06 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$37.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.91 Size1,938.5 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$148.55 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.078
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.88 Size1,920.6263 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$147.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.078
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.87 Size522 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$40.14 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.082
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.61 Size869.0081 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$79.86 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.095
Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.48 Size13.7928 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L $0.12 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.171
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.45 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$37.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Scarlett Gillespie win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.25 Size140.5644 Current Price0.016 Cash P&L -$6.75 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.064
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.95 Size139.5816 Current Price0.014 Cash P&L -$19.05 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.150
Will Fabiola Alanís Sámano win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.87 Size311.7323 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$3.13 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.016
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.84 Size1,224.101 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$38.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.83 Size916.8433 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$71.62 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.080
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.30 Size869.0052 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$81.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.095
Will Wayne Johnston win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.22 Size62.5728 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$2.78 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.064
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.03 Size23 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$1.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.104