nope3050
0x6114ab1b41a31643998b1cfe021ec6562a48cff0
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$74,788.45
Active Markets
26
Positions Listed
26
Last trade: Adds its No position — $4.68 on — Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?. Last big trade: Reduces its No position — $1,430.49 on — Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7,095.57 | Size8,600.6877 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $246.03 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.796 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,849.25 | Size7,153.2623 | Current Price0.958 | Cash P&L $1,653.10 | Market End2026-10-21 | Avg Entry0.726 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,018.28 | Size6,800.32 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $115.62 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.868 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,001.11 | Size6,487.683 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $436.97 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.858 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,216.86 | Size6,362.03 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L -$286.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.865 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,021.11 | Size5,703.7039 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$101.04 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.723 |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,020.38 | Size4,568.6144 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $134.01 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.851 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,720.05 | Size4,000.0573 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $247.07 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.868 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,500.02 | Size4,000.0285 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $140.60 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,457.99 | Size3,799.99 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L -$118.00 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.941 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,957.50 | Size3,500 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $17.50 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,745.00 | Size3,000 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $85.46 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.886 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,743.50 | Size3,100 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $343.51 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.774 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,624.98 | Size4,449.1171 | Current Price0.590 | Cash P&L $143.12 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.558 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,105.52 | Size2,163.9429 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L $49.34 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,036.34 | Size2,156 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $40.86 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.925 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,910.88 | Size2,000.9257 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $32.07 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.939 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,658.00 | Size1,821.9793 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L -$5.14 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.913 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,368.00 | Size1,600 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $88.00 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,249.36 | Size1,289.9908 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $53.71 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.927 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$911.20 | Size979.783 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L -$8.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.939 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$772.84 | Size2,007.3683 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $84.12 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.343 |
| Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$695.16 | Size734.07 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L $31.13 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.904 |
| Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$576.46 | Size656.5655 | Current Price0.878 | Cash P&L -$5.28 | Market End2027-03-01 | Avg Entry0.886 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$273.00 | Size1,399.9961 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2026-12-09 | Avg Entry0.195 |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$260.08 | Size2,889.75 | Current Price0.090 | Cash P&L $83.70 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.061 |