0x8314…0b88

0x831449c4b94607dd3367023c61525aea99a90b88

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$83,063.75
Active Markets
74
Positions Listed
74

Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $90.88 on — Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,505.94 on — Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,393.12 Size8,169.1933 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $484.18 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.846
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,396.30 Size7,146.7 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $588.97 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.812
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,571.33 Size5,224.38 Current Price0.875 Cash P&L $512.24 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.777
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,180.69 Size4,189.07 Current Price0.998 Cash P&L $206.12 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.949
Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,490.12 Size3,732.7528 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $651.61 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.760
Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,062.51 Size3,540.4782 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $534.28 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.714
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,605.42 Size2,894.91 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $229.12 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.821
Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,375.73 Size2,639.7 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $115.70 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.856
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,279.55 Size2,730 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $486.55 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.657
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,047.75 Size2,275.28 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $433.63 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.709
Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,868.27 Size2,159.8505 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $208.95 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.768
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,859.63 Size2,281.75 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $253.58 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.704
Will "32B" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,840.59 Size1,909.33 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $336.67 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.788
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,799.36 Size2,129.42 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $275.56 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.716
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,704.32 Size2,864.3957 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L $416.00 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.450
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,685.01 Size2,106.26 Current Price0.800 Cash P&L $179.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.715
Will "Chains of Love" from Wuthering Heights be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,657.97 Size1,687.5 Current Price0.983 Cash P&L $395.95 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.748
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,501.38 Size1,853.55 Current Price0.810 Cash P&L $272.41 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.663
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 8% of the vote in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,435.28 Size1,466.82 Current Price0.979 Cash P&L $453.76 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.669
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,282.47 Size1,379.001 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $163.81 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.811
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,252.58 Size1,988.22 Current Price0.630 Cash P&L $89.90 Market End2026-11-09 Avg Entry0.585
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,198.60 Size1,587.5533 Current Price0.755 Cash P&L $107.62 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.687
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,188.47 Size1,787.17 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L $338.79 Market End2026-11-02 Avg Entry0.475
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,184.83 Size1,538.7341 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $553.25 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.410
Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,183.07 Size1,425.39 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $196.49 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.692
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,125.71 Size1,178.75 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $10.58 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.946
Will a third-place Senate candidate win at least 4% of the vote in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,042.16 Size1,044.77 Current Price0.998 Cash P&L $156.14 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.848
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$970.72 Size1,205.86 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $59.30 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.756
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$968.46 Size1,058.43 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $71.54 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.847
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Zacatecas Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$956.53 Size1,258.5912 Current Price0.760 Cash P&L $212.46 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.591
Will Please win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$847.48 Size851.3061 Current Price0.996 Cash P&L $126.84 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.847
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$837.17 Size935.38 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $184.08 Market End2026-10-30 Avg Entry0.698
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$779.58 Size2,227.37 Current Price0.350 Cash P&L $308.39 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.211
Will "The Birthday Gift" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$767.51 Size829.74 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $152.47 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.741
Luke Campbell arrested by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$766.93 Size838.1778 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $132.02 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.757
Will AP call US Senate control by January 4, 11:59 PM? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$750.90 Size767.01 Current Price0.979 Cash P&L $86.26 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.867
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$749.72 Size1,292.6253 Current Price0.580 Cash P&L $54.53 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.538
Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$749.36 Size853 Current Price0.878 Cash P&L $134.62 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.721
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$699.91 Size914.9182 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $79.93 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.678
Will "Spilled Milk" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$680.77 Size782.5 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L $118.18 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.719
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$634.34 Size818.5 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $133.91 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.611
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$605.61 Size847 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $130.16 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.561
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$600.05 Size1,017.89 Current Price0.590 Cash P&L $271.17 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.323
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$599.03 Size874.49 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $48.10 Market End2027-01-11 Avg Entry0.630
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$560.94 Size717.77 Current Price0.781 Cash P&L $138.76 Market End2027-01-19 Avg Entry0.588
Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$548.13 Size564.79 Current Price0.971 Cash P&L $69.28 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.848
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$540.39 Size1,119.9775 Current Price0.482 Cash P&L $27.30 Market End2027-01-21 Avg Entry0.458
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$539.10 Size653.46 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $98.99 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.673
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$529.56 Size653.7788 Current Price0.810 Cash P&L $153.84 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.575
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$467.93 Size563.77 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $149.20 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.565
Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$443.87 Size522.2 Current Price0.850 Cash P&L $15.07 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.821
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$408.94 Size644 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $78.27 Market End2027-06-07 Avg Entry0.513
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$334.25 Size350 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $68.25 Market End2027-03-15 Avg Entry0.760
Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$326.29 Size339.35 Current Price0.962 Cash P&L $155.51 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.503
Will Democrats win fewer than 7 of the US House seats bordering Mexico in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$289.15 Size317.75 Current Price0.910 Cash P&L $60.37 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.720
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$274.51 Size513.1 Current Price0.535 Cash P&L -$43.15 Market End2026-12-02 Avg Entry0.619
Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 16% and 17%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$254.21 Size612.56 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L $96.20 Market End2026-12-02 Avg Entry0.258
Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$186.21 Size1,034.48 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L $14.99 Market End2027-10-05 Avg Entry0.166
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$162.61 Size343.78 Current Price0.473 Cash P&L $71.73 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.264
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$154.75 Size758.58 Current Price0.204 Cash P&L $71.63 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.110
Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$145.00 Size199.995 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $25.00 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.600
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$136.73 Size395.17 Current Price0.346 Cash P&L $19.55 Market End2026-12-02 Avg Entry0.296
Will TheBurntPeanut win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$131.28 Size341 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L -$1.22 Market End2026-11-12 Avg Entry0.389
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$126.42 Size300.9975 Current Price0.420 Cash P&L $17.34 Market End2026-11-09 Avg Entry0.362
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$69.63 Size511.9933 Current Price0.136 Cash P&L $0.62 Market End2026-11-09 Avg Entry0.135
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$61.33 Size92.93 Current Price0.660 Cash P&L $4.93 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.607
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 5.00 to 5.99 ft by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$50.06 Size161.5 Current Price0.310 Cash P&L $6.21 Market End2026-12-02 Avg Entry0.272
Will Jagrup Brar win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$47.49 Size339.2 Current Price0.140 Cash P&L -$82.64 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.384
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$33.70 Size170.21 Current Price0.198 Cash P&L $19.06 Market End2027-01-19 Avg Entry0.086
Will world GDP growth be 3.2% in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$25.93 Size179.42 Current Price0.144 Cash P&L $1.69 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.135
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.55 Size220.44 Current Price0.066 Cash P&L $3.74 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.049
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.55 Size154 Current Price0.088 Cash P&L $4.04 Market End2027-01-21 Avg Entry0.062
Will world GDP growth be 3.3% in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.83 Size169.06 Current Price0.035 Cash P&L $2.60 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.019
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.14 Size180.36 Current Price0.029 Cash P&L -$4.23 Market End2027-01-21 Avg Entry0.052