Tech Questions by Whale Capital
10 tech questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.
Whale in Tech = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.
How this category's bar was set
That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.
Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
| Rank | Question | Ask | Whale Capital | Whale Holders | Largest Position | Outcomes USD | Outcomes N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank1 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,250 rows held · Ends 2026-11-20 | Ask Yes: 0.042No: 0.969 Yes 0.031/0.042 · No 0.958/0.969 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $213,906.78 Yes: $0.00No: $213,906.78 Yes $0.00 · No $213,906.78 | Whale Holders 8 Yes: 0No: 8 Yes 0 · No 8 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $127,127.30 wallet 0xad96914d7762dac84ebbabafe366ae8ff24dd498 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $9,559.16No: $260,908.34 Total across all outcomes: $270,467.50 | Outcomes N Yes: 403No: 579 Total across all outcomes: 982 positions |
| Rank2 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,031 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.999No: 0.012 Yes 0.988/0.999 · No 0.001/0.012 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $76,243.81 Yes: $76,243.81No: $0.00 Yes $76,243.81 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 14 Yes: 14No: 0 Yes 14 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $17,067.35 wallet 0x1bfd792c102c75d3c41c954d058355a796ee40d0 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $145,316.09No: $880.14 Total across all outcomes: $146,196.23 | Outcomes N Yes: 390No: 78 Total across all outcomes: 468 positions |
| Rank3 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 924 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.160No: 0.850 Yes 0.150/0.160 · No 0.840/0.850 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $39,525.51 Yes: $3,290.88No: $36,234.63 Yes $3,290.88 · No $36,234.63 | Whale Holders 6 Yes: 1No: 5 Yes 1 · No 5 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $12,832.17 wallet 0x0670fee985af6e0b8e378cf6855fa2b8688c29bf on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $13,419.47No: $73,269.38 Total across all outcomes: $86,688.85 | Outcomes N Yes: 160No: 198 Total across all outcomes: 358 positions |
| Rank4 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 751 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.050No: 0.960 Yes 0.040/0.050 · No 0.950/0.960 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $12,944.00 Yes: $0.00No: $12,944.00 Yes $0.00 · No $12,944.00 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $12,944.00 wallet 0x77fbd6bdba89da0ce4ae6e5bee380d6a51de266c on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,289.23No: $28,937.02 Total across all outcomes: $30,226.25 | Outcomes N Yes: 58No: 154 Total across all outcomes: 212 positions |
| Rank5 | Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 282 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.013No: 0.993 Yes 0.007/0.013 · No 0.987/0.993 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,542.38 Yes: $0.00No: $4,542.38 Yes $0.00 · No $4,542.38 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,542.38 wallet 0x42fa340061a94072a818e540c3e80d8148d81fc7 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $38.52No: $5,027.88 Total across all outcomes: $5,066.40 | Outcomes N Yes: 13No: 23 Total across all outcomes: 36 positions |
| Rank6 | Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 264 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.048No: 0.968 Yes 0.032/0.048 · No 0.952/0.968 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,533.12 Yes: $0.00No: $4,533.12 Yes $0.00 · No $4,533.12 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,533.12 wallet 0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $334.69No: $8,247.90 Total across all outcomes: $8,582.58 | Outcomes N Yes: 45No: 51 Total across all outcomes: 96 positions |
| Rank7 | Human moon landing in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,363 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.017No: 0.984 Yes 0.016/0.017 · No 0.983/0.984 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,528.97 Yes: $0.00No: $3,528.97 Yes $0.00 · No $3,528.97 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,528.97 wallet 0x8931aa50226eea3e626c961ccffcf176dcf3a90c on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $283.05No: $19,741.40 Total across all outcomes: $20,024.45 | Outcomes N Yes: 60No: 296 Total across all outcomes: 356 positions |
| Rank8 | Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 445 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.270No: 0.850 Yes 0.150/0.270 · No 0.730/0.850 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,257.76 Yes: $0.00No: $3,257.76 Yes $0.00 · No $3,257.76 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,257.76 wallet 0xc278143b0a9a06d236936bc742e516de13472d19 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,480.28No: $8,575.08 Total across all outcomes: $11,055.36 | Outcomes N Yes: 66No: 80 Total across all outcomes: 146 positions |
| Rank9 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 241 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.075No: 0.928 Yes 0.072/0.075 · No 0.925/0.928 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,155.79 Yes: $0.00No: $3,155.79 Yes $0.00 · No $3,155.79 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,155.79 wallet 0x5f211a24da4c005d9438a1ea269673b85ed0b376 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $570.66No: $7,277.56 Total across all outcomes: $7,848.23 | Outcomes N Yes: 40No: 68 Total across all outcomes: 108 positions |
| Rank10 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 319 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.260No: 0.830 Yes 0.170/0.260 · No 0.740/0.830 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $2,690.80 Yes: $0.00No: $2,690.80 Yes $0.00 · No $2,690.80 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,690.80 wallet 0x63c652270a37e53a170303b6b264a2aa835743a5 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,233.00No: $8,160.28 Total across all outcomes: $10,393.28 | Outcomes N Yes: 56No: 29 Total across all outcomes: 85 positions |