57284910
0x856ac2b10fb37c9b74e18f16da2acedfa60f4ea2
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$145,271.56
Active Markets
45
Positions Listed
45
Last trade: Adds its No position — $199.51 on — Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $2,480.00 on — 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$38,997.32 | Size39,935.8157 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $386.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.967 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$24,687.56 | Size24,824.095 | Current Price0.995 | Cash P&L $133.96 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.989 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$17,365.31 | Size17,531.86 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L $95.69 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.985 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$9,745.00 | Size10,000 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $0.06 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.974 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,923.50 | Size9,000 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L -$2.99 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.992 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,644.17 | Size5,913.2233 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L -$46.88 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.962 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,543.01 | Size5,647.4913 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L $102.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.963 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,369.41 | Size5,493 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $24.72 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.973 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,398.74 | Size4,499.9933 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $87.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.958 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,969.34 | Size4,090 | Current Price0.971 | Cash P&L $40.39 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.961 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,040.62 | Size3,124.9934 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L -$12.50 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.977 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,113.51 | Size2,501.1904 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $12.51 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| OPEC dissolves in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,062.36 | Size2,094.8333 | Current Price0.985 | Cash P&L $35.04 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.968 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,445.51 | Size1,503.39 | Current Price0.962 | Cash P&L -$5.02 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.965 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,405.30 | Size1,502.9933 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L -$7.51 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,395.00 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $67.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.885 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,372.50 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $7.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Trump resign before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,308.07 | Size1,338.18 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L -$1.36 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.979 |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$975.47 | Size1,001 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $14.52 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.960 |
| Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$855.21 | Size873.11 | Current Price0.980 | Cash P&L $9.29 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.969 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$590.92 | Size602.98 | Current Price0.980 | Cash P&L -$3.58 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.986 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$585.36 | Size604.7093 | Current Price0.968 | Cash P&L -$0.62 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.969 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$544.94 | Size551 | Current Price0.989 | Cash P&L $3.31 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.983 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$485.75 | Size500 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L -$1.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.974 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$354.60 | Size360 | Current Price0.985 | Cash P&L $6.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.966 |
| Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$311.34 | Size317.05 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L $4.78 | Market End2026-10-03 | Avg Entry0.967 |
| Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$294.00 | Size302 | Current Price0.974 | Cash P&L -$0.99 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.977 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $825B by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$288.41 | Size289.13 | Current Price0.998 | Cash P&L $1.31 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.993 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$271.06 | Size271.88 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $1.60 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$242.42 | Size252 | Current Price0.962 | Cash P&L -$1.96 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.970 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$147.83 | Size151 | Current Price0.979 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.979 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$99.34 | Size102.9933 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L -$0.88 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.973 |
| Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$97.25 | Size100 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L $4.25 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$89.50 | Size100 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $0.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Texas be 11,200,000 or more? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$71.65 | Size100 | Current Price0.717 | Cash P&L -$3.35 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$49.55 | Size50 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L -$0.10 | Market End2026-10-03 | Avg Entry0.993 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$36.40 | Size140 | Current Price0.260 | Cash P&L -$10.80 | Market End2027-07-25 | Avg Entry0.337 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$30.23 | Size31.0256 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $0.01 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.974 |
| ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$29.54 | Size30.01 | Current Price0.985 | Cash P&L $1.94 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$16.00 | Size50 | Current Price0.320 | Cash P&L -$1.42 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.348 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.08 | Size40 | Current Price0.227 | Cash P&L $1.08 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| Baidu matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4.95 | Size5 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.990 |
| Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.49 | Size57.87 | Current Price0.043 | Cash P&L -$2.95 | Market End2026-11-11 | Avg Entry0.094 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1.01 | Size1.0266 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $0.01 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.974 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1.00 | Size1.0235 | Current Price0.980 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.977 |