080526
0x9ad794b2aaabbb61ed1361264f47d3838b3e4084
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$172,239.70
Active Markets
72
Positions Listed
73
Last trade: Adds its No position — $197.38 on — Netanyahu out by end of 2026?. No fill of $1,000.00 among the newest 500 fills (back to 2026-10-28 16:19 UTC)
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry | Entry date | Last trade date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$20,985.64 | Size22,444.53 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $112.22 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.930 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$15,852.27 | Size23,484.843 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L $312.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.662 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14,600.15 | Size14,890.52 | Current Price0.981 | Cash P&L $2,330.77 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.824 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7,773.35 | Size11,026.03 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $558.37 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.654 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,823.87 | Size10,109.43 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L -$83.71 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.683 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,389.00 | Size9,192.8037 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $70.13 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.687 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,305.10 | Size8,880.4166 | Current Price0.710 | Cash P&L -$113.77 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.723 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,964.06 | Size5,609.11 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L -$15.90 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.888 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,868.17 | Size5,865.2633 | Current Price0.830 | Cash P&L $189.15 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.798 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,664.50 | Size4,716.3764 | Current Price0.989 | Cash P&L $645.39 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.852 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,654.23 | Size5,573.9252 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L -$111.33 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.855 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,371.63 | Size8,021.3325 | Current Price0.545 | Cash P&L -$261.58 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.578 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,684.67 | Size5,226.48 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$48.30 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.714 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,469.86 | Size4,364.61 | Current Price0.795 | Cash P&L -$113.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.821 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,404.70 | Size4,237.34 | Current Price0.803 | Cash P&L $5.58 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.802 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,375.51 | Size3,545.7 | Current Price0.952 | Cash P&L $569.90 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.791 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,342.68 | Size4,708.0038 | Current Price0.710 | Cash P&L -$22.20 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.715 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,102.43 | Size4,164.33 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$132.27 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.777 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,990.25 | Size8,192.47 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L -$1,623.79 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.563 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,628.63 | Size4,044.0518 | Current Price0.650 | Cash P&L $127.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.618 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,539.20 | Size3,297.66 | Current Price0.770 | Cash P&L -$68.20 | Market End2026-12-10 | Avg Entry0.791 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,496.09 | Size3,781.9485 | Current Price0.660 | Cash P&L -$508.87 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.794 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,261.56 | Size3,254.04 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L -$59.81 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.713 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,049.47 | Size2,342.2533 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $595.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.621 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,950.16 | Size2,600.22 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L -$65.32 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.775 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,873.73 | Size2,237.29 | Current Price0.838 | Cash P&L -$41.23 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.856 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,812.82 | Size2,832.53 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L -$297.33 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.745 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,812.45 | Size1,851.33 | Current Price0.979 | Cash P&L $99.59 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.925 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,778.52 | Size1,987.1725 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L -$7.91 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.899 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,761.50 | Size2,201.87 | Current Price0.800 | Cash P&L $134.95 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.739 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,722.23 | Size2,800.3694 | Current Price0.615 | Cash P&L -$21.03 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.623 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,668.60 | Size2,490.4525 | Current Price0.670 | Cash P&L $57.23 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.647 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,664.34 | Size2,360.765 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $165.83 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.635 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,542.21 | Size2,172.12 | Current Price0.710 | Cash P&L $21.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.700 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,533.47 | Size2,115.1333 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L -$76.59 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.761 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,380.71 | Size2,076.26 | Current Price0.665 | Cash P&L $24.24 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.653 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,181.55 | Size1,652.52 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L -$68.51 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.756 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,169.31 | Size1,827.04 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L $62.66 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.606 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,165.05 | Size2,198.21 | Current Price0.530 | Cash P&L -$753.69 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.873 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,100.61 | Size1,749.78 | Current Price0.629 | Cash P&L -$31.66 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.647 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,093.23 | Size1,497.58 | Current Price0.730 | Cash P&L $29.95 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.710 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$953.22 | Size970.2034 | Current Price0.983 | Cash P&L $125.86 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.853 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$886.77 | Size1,313.7344 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L $25.63 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.655 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$751.04 | Size858.337 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $21.83 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.850 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$734.89 | Size1,105.1 | Current Price0.665 | Cash P&L -$58.64 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.718 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$650.59 | Size2,551.3167 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L -$422.59 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.421 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$596.26 | Size689.32 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L -$17.45 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$544.20 | Size629.13 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $84.15 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.731 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$514.21 | Size709.26 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L -$18.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.751 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$458.04 | Size631.78 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $10.30 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.709 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$301.79 | Size326.26 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $1.63 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.920 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$292.14 | Size304.4735 | Current Price0.960 | Cash P&L $44.81 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.812 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$288.46 | Size519.75 | Current Price0.555 | Cash P&L -$39.06 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.630 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$265.39 | Size353.86 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L $15.90 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.705 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$233.40 | Size350.9757 | Current Price0.665 | Cash P&L $3.19 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.656 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$156.89 | Size352.56 | Current Price0.445 | Cash P&L -$72.69 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.651 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$147.90 | Size152.71 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $31.40 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.763 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$121.55 | Size333.02 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L $1.59 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.360 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$115.51 | Size143.49 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L $19.37 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.670 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$100.71 | Size103.66 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $9.36 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.881 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$79.85 | Size101.72 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L -$0.51 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.790 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$48.49 | Size171.34 | Current Price0.283 | Cash P&L -$30.67 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.462 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$41.83 | Size69.6002 | Current Price0.601 | Cash P&L -$3.96 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.658 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$34.21 | Size235.92 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$3.54 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.160 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$29.66 | Size14,832.5396 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$9,837.07 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.665 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$24.11 | Size25.79 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $1.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.867 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$17.30 | Size22.92 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $1.49 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.690 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$13.91 | Size18.92 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $1.42 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.660 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10.32 | Size529.2 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L -$349.54 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.680 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7.77 | Size9.2 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$0.38 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.887 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7.39 | Size7.49 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $1.70 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.760 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.73 | Size2.73 | Current Price0.999 | Cash P&L $0.20 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.926 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.65 | Size2.1 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L -$0.01 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.790 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
Entry date and Last trade date are fetched live from Polymarket for this wallet — not part of the published run. A miss renders — until the live history loads.