18in36out
0xa684e6a0913bd5f9d038d012e27e95f20c35a33f
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$110,351.80
Active Markets
12
Positions Listed
12
Last trade: Adds its No position — $98.60 on — Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?. Last big trade: Reduces its No position — $2,375.98 on — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$55,814.99 | Size60,999.9855 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $5,635.02 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.823 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$20,130.00 | Size22,000 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L -$110.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$18,711.84 | Size19,231.075 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L -$184.10 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.983 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026 ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,435.21 | Size3,557.9623 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L -$17.01 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.970 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,989.96 | Size3,119.42 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L -$1.56 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.959 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,567.50 | Size2,600 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $6.50 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.985 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,026.80 | Size2,044.18 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $0.39 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,621.22 | Size1,821.6 | Current Price0.890 | Cash P&L -$109.30 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,087.63 | Size1,686.25 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $163.12 | Market End2030-01-01 | Avg Entry0.548 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$976.60 | Size1,033.44 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L -$3.46 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.948 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$496.38 | Size609.05 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $5.05 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.807 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$493.66 | Size533.6882 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $18.62 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |