Science Questions by Whale Capital
13 science questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.
Whale in Science = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.
How this category's bar was set
That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.
Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
1 of the 50 science questions this run fetched hit the page cap, so their holder counts and capital are lower bounds; every marked row states its own coverage in the hint on its question. Methodology.
| Rank | Question | Ask | Whale Capital | Whale Holders | Largest Position | Outcomes USD | Outcomes N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank1 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab truncated truncated at page cap after 17,342 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.031No: 0.970 Yes 0.030/0.031 · No 0.969/0.970 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $6,651,514.60 Yes: $137,547.12No: $6,513,967.48 Yes $137,547.12 · No $6,513,967.48 | Whale Holders 173 Yes: 18No: 155 Yes 18 · No 155 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $1,411,568.27 wallet 0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $218,369.49No: $6,934,268.29 Total across all outcomes: $7,152,637.78 | Outcomes N Yes: 2,014No: 4,558 Total across all outcomes: 6,572 positions |
| Rank2 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,376 rows held · Ends 2027-01-02 | Ask Yes: 0.579No: 0.473 Yes 0.527/0.579 · No 0.421/0.473 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $249,920.45 Yes: $163,680.86No: $86,239.59 Yes $163,680.86 · No $86,239.59 | Whale Holders 16 Yes: 13No: 3 Yes 13 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $62,407.16 wallet 0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $206,350.78No: $94,720.94 Total across all outcomes: $301,071.72 | Outcomes N Yes: 374No: 169 Total across all outcomes: 543 positions |
| Rank3 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,662 rows held · Ends 2027-01-02 | Ask Yes: 0.440No: 0.580 Yes 0.420/0.440 · No 0.560/0.580 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $247,874.72 Yes: $125,022.99No: $122,851.73 Yes $125,022.99 · No $122,851.73 | Whale Holders 12 Yes: 9No: 3 Yes 9 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $57,639.07 wallet 0xffbbf885454e6930e54b720ad5224175b8ae36e9 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $171,443.34No: $135,516.48 Total across all outcomes: $306,959.82 | Outcomes N Yes: 673No: 161 Total across all outcomes: 834 positions |
| Rank4 | Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 542 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.035No: 0.969 Yes 0.031/0.035 · No 0.965/0.969 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $176,496.50 Yes: $0.00No: $176,496.50 Yes $0.00 · No $176,496.50 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $173,669.62 wallet 0xfa21179f2cef2f61cb78e8340ae62b17f9271438 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $6,061.66No: $178,116.02 Total across all outcomes: $184,177.68 | Outcomes N Yes: 93No: 47 Total across all outcomes: 140 positions |
| Rank5 | New pandemic in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,231 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.050No: 0.960 Yes 0.040/0.050 · No 0.950/0.960 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $144,435.38 Yes: $0.00No: $144,435.38 Yes $0.00 · No $144,435.38 | Whale Holders 19 Yes: 0No: 19 Yes 0 · No 19 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $23,258.18 wallet 0xcc792a28d90f3c5d8fe91e48a184913a65031c2a on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $8,629.08No: $184,280.36 Total across all outcomes: $192,909.44 | Outcomes N Yes: 193No: 259 Total across all outcomes: 452 positions |
| Rank6 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 419 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.032No: 0.975 Yes 0.025/0.032 · No 0.968/0.975 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $53,666.62 Yes: $0.00No: $53,666.62 Yes $0.00 · No $53,666.62 | Whale Holders 8 Yes: 0No: 8 Yes 0 · No 8 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $9,715.00 wallet 0xc6dd722558dbfbd8fa780efcbe819ed8c6604b9f on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,354.10No: $80,379.47 Total across all outcomes: $82,733.57 | Outcomes N Yes: 42No: 115 Total across all outcomes: 157 positions |
| Rank7 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 259 rows held · Ends 2028-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.130No: 0.880 Yes 0.120/0.130 · No 0.870/0.880 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $15,182.35 Yes: $0.00No: $15,182.35 Yes $0.00 · No $15,182.35 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $9,932.35 wallet 0xf0d5eb1cbe7350f1f896ade6c172e6700414c665 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $3,761.12No: $26,340.32 Total across all outcomes: $30,101.44 | Outcomes N Yes: 30No: 43 Total across all outcomes: 73 positions |
| Rank8 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 636 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.930No: 0.080 Yes 0.920/0.930 · No 0.070/0.080 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $11,191.93 Yes: $11,191.93No: $0.00 Yes $11,191.93 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 3 Yes: 3No: 0 Yes 3 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $5,570.39 wallet 0xe5b49b3b107cbf33f4e0644a9ee405596bf41e3e on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $17,836.90No: $1,433.99 Total across all outcomes: $19,270.88 | Outcomes N Yes: 102No: 56 Total across all outcomes: 158 positions |
| Rank9 | Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 415 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.024No: 0.991 Yes 0.009/0.024 · No 0.976/0.991 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $11,059.22 Yes: $0.00No: $11,059.22 Yes $0.00 · No $11,059.22 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $8,175.57 wallet 0xfc0d31ebd7abbd5ae5661b31cc3baf930da06b0f on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $250.32No: $15,944.09 Total across all outcomes: $16,194.41 | Outcomes N Yes: 21No: 57 Total across all outcomes: 78 positions |
| Rank10 | Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,492 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.086No: 0.922 Yes 0.078/0.086 · No 0.914/0.922 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $5,021.18 Yes: $0.00No: $5,021.18 Yes $0.00 · No $5,021.18 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $5,021.18 wallet 0x6df6e2a9ba1e8d7609daada0a83138817f4a8458 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,267.52No: $14,570.81 Total across all outcomes: $15,838.33 | Outcomes N Yes: 60No: 64 Total across all outcomes: 124 positions |
| Rank11 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 154 rows held · Ends 2028-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.110No: 0.900 Yes 0.100/0.110 · No 0.890/0.900 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,821.50 Yes: $0.00No: $4,821.50 Yes $0.00 · No $4,821.50 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,821.50 wallet 0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $890.92No: $7,609.22 Total across all outcomes: $8,500.13 | Outcomes N Yes: 20No: 14 Total across all outcomes: 34 positions |
| Rank12 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 272 rows held · Ends 2029-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.360No: 0.650 Yes 0.350/0.360 · No 0.640/0.650 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,827.42 Yes: $0.00No: $3,827.42 Yes $0.00 · No $3,827.42 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,827.42 wallet 0x41e816ec8eb178804ff4b3f523d0b01c4729626b on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $6,089.13No: $11,064.36 Total across all outcomes: $17,153.50 | Outcomes N Yes: 26No: 29 Total across all outcomes: 55 positions |
| Rank13 | Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 106 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.070No: 0.940 Yes 0.060/0.070 · No 0.930/0.940 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,408.70 Yes: $0.00No: $3,408.70 Yes $0.00 · No $3,408.70 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,408.70 wallet 0xb217f700a4df0783067a5b725281e157184a9799 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $283.21No: $4,165.66 Total across all outcomes: $4,448.88 | Outcomes N Yes: 16No: 13 Total across all outcomes: 29 positions |