Contestable-Parfait

0xc301c1e034e71e1a6ce9684f029c4674a00466aa

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$333,846.43
Active Markets
151
Positions Listed
151

Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $10.00 on — Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $21,257.96 on — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$59,217.14 Size74,910.99 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $2,738.07 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.754
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$58,778.03 Size89,737.4525 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L $1,175.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.642
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29,848.62 Size43,258.8699 Current Price0.690 Cash P&L $1,719.32 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.650
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27,136.83 Size46,868.4521 Current Price0.579 Cash P&L $3,262.09 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.509
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13,772.14 Size21,352.1526 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$461.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.667
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11,591.27 Size17,970.9554 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $308.49 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.628
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9,544.11 Size13,537.7444 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L -$93.13 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.712
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7,742.86 Size9,055.9747 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L -$161.72 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.873
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7,557.13 Size9,160.1594 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $706.66 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.748
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,226.05 Size11,203.1795 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$242.95 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.667
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7,221.50 Size27,250.9277 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L $679.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.240
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,378.07 Size7,778.1347 Current Price0.820 Cash P&L $136.79 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.802
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5,944.30 Size8,431.6282 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L -$4.91 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.706
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5,815.89 Size9,613.0462 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L -$271.99 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.633
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,883.96 Size8,072.6537 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L -$248.27 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.636
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,834.60 Size5,342.0988 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $34.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.899
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,322.16 Size6,806.5557 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $44.42 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.628
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,097.17 Size5,981.2773 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $119.25 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.665
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,540.56 Size4,344.2488 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L -$226.13 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.867
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,376.00 Size7,698.9782 Current Price0.439 Cash P&L -$31.25 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.443
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,330.61 Size3,680.2348 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $22.59 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.899
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,993.64 Size3,501.3301 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L -$59.26 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.872
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,593.93 Size3,033.84 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L $4.24 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.854
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,526.72 Size2,839.0115 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $90.23 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.858
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,458.12 Size3,016.1015 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L -$145.67 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.863
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,076.88 Size2,235.61 Current Price0.929 Cash P&L $2.37 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.928
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,880.66 Size2,199.5992 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L -$4.99 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.857
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,675.79 Size3,799.9675 Current Price0.441 Cash P&L -$99.94 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.467
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,496.69 Size1,608.4797 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $52.13 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.898
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,471.21 Size1,583.6458 Current Price0.929 Cash P&L $37.17 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.905
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,451.62 Size1,588.2091 Current Price0.914 Cash P&L $9.69 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.908
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,215.13 Size1,773.9096 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $29.44 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.668
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,200.27 Size1,454.8774 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $90.64 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.763
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,187.31 Size1,758.972 Current Price0.675 Cash P&L -$43.97 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.700
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,154.54 Size6,240.7405 Current Price0.185 Cash P&L -$12.79 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.187
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,148.20 Size1,752.9842 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L -$0.76 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.655
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,055.48 Size1,563.6708 Current Price0.675 Cash P&L $8.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.670
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,046.87 Size3,673.2147 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L $125.71 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.251
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$984.34 Size2,212 Current Price0.445 Cash P&L -$23.14 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.455
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$967.79 Size1,019.2614 Current Price0.950 Cash P&L $11.94 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.938
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$890.61 Size4,947.84 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L $6.74 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.179
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$866.56 Size1,178.9875 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $29.63 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.710
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$813.68 Size879.65 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $4.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.920
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$764.94 Size4,025.9749 Current Price0.190 Cash P&L $57.43 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.176
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$701.74 Size1,024.4425 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $88.41 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.599
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$642.60 Size700 Current Price0.918 Cash P&L -$4.40 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.924
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$628.01 Size2,854.61 Current Price0.220 Cash P&L $194.49 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.152
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$542.91 Size599.9059 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $84.55 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.764
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$529.36 Size1,216.91 Current Price0.435 Cash P&L -$5.58 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.440
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$498.25 Size500 Current Price0.997 Cash P&L $0.25 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.996
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$468.02 Size7,200.3046 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$54.64 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.072
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$451.85 Size541.1428 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $22.75 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.793
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$443.94 Size541.39 Current Price0.820 Cash P&L $45.19 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.737
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$355.88 Size1,318.09 Current Price0.270 Cash P&L $85.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.205
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$323.57 Size494 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L $3.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.647
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$320.00 Size400 Current Price0.800 Cash P&L $14.00 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.765
Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 1%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$296.33 Size351.31 Current Price0.844 Cash P&L $3.31 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.834
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$276.31 Size361.1866 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L -$0.48 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.766
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$256.00 Size400 Current Price0.640 Cash P&L $16.20 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.599
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$255.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $5.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.250
Will Democrats sweep the Michigan Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$224.08 Size331.97 Current Price0.675 Cash P&L -$1.42 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.679
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$216.73 Size236.86 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $1.33 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.909
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$213.44 Size344.2636 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $1.44 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.616
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$203.20 Size635 Current Price0.320 Cash P&L $120.65 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.130
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$200.41 Size818.02 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L $53.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.180
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$196.90 Size199.9013 Current Price0.985 Cash P&L $22.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.872
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$188.29 Size199.9923 Current Price0.942 Cash P&L $0.20 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.940
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$181.10 Size739.2 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L $25.90 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.210
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$181.10 Size186.51 Current Price0.971 Cash P&L $2.05 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.960
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$180.00 Size200 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.900
Will the Democrats win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$178.10 Size198.99 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $15.38 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.818
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$168.69 Size199.9893 Current Price0.844 Cash P&L -$8.70 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.887
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$151.75 Size2,036.9614 Current Price0.074 Cash P&L $13.53 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.068
Will the Republicans win Maricopa County in the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$150.45 Size170 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $12.55 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.811
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$149.40 Size450.0058 Current Price0.332 Cash P&L $7.16 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.316
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$148.09 Size829.6393 Current Price0.178 Cash P&L $145.60 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.003
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$144.05 Size669.98 Current Price0.215 Cash P&L $36.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.160
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$140.99 Size384.18 Current Price0.367 Cash P&L -$8.84 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.390
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$140.31 Size210.99 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L $35.13 Market End2026-11-21 Avg Entry0.498
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$139.96 Size1,332.9726 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L $44.44 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.072
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$139.88 Size7,561.2671 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$735.92 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.116
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$130.60 Size199.9967 Current Price0.653 Cash P&L $0.40 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.651
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$124.85 Size129.45 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L -$0.47 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.968
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$115.80 Size149.416 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $20.85 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.635
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$114.00 Size300 Current Price0.380 Cash P&L $3.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.370
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? ↗ OutcomeMbappé Current Value$113.55 Size138.47 Current Price0.820 Cash P&L $15.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.710
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$112.12 Size121.21 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L -$0.04 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.925
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$105.80 Size116.9107 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $0.95 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.897
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$101.17 Size269.8 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L $16.04 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.316
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$94.35 Size221.9889 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L $1.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.420
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$93.15 Size449.99 Current Price0.207 Cash P&L $17.30 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.169
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$91.70 Size101.38 Current Price0.904 Cash P&L -$1.15 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.916
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$89.00 Size200 Current Price0.445 Cash P&L -$2.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.457
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$88.62 Size843.9827 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L $2.01 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.103
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$87.69 Size88.8944 Current Price0.987 Cash P&L $0.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.982
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$81.60 Size109.5366 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $4.74 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.702
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$75.00 Size200 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L $1.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.370
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$71.50 Size100 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.715
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$71.29 Size309.96 Current Price0.230 Cash P&L $6.20 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.210
Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$70.12 Size83.277 Current Price0.842 Cash P&L -$0.75 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.851
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$67.92 Size111.98 Current Price0.607 Cash P&L $2.58 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.583
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$63.55 Size195.53 Current Price0.325 Cash P&L $8.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.281
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$62.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L -$7.70 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.035
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$60.85 Size2,062.8 Current Price0.029 Cash P&L -$52.37 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.055
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$58.19 Size352.6736 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$51.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.310
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$58.18 Size258.57 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L $9.05 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.190
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$58.15 Size178.9319 Current Price0.325 Cash P&L $8.74 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.276
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$55.50 Size150 Current Price0.370 Cash P&L $8.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.313
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$52.46 Size124.9 Current Price0.420 Cash P&L $3.75 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.390
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$52.10 Size992.4518 Current Price0.052 Cash P&L -$17.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.070
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$51.00 Size200 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $1.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.250
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$43.94 Size585.9008 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$1.89 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.078
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$41.50 Size50.004 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $4.38 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.742
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$41.50 Size100 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.390
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.27 Size783.7611 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$11.76 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.060
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$34.00 Size400 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L $4.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.075
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$33.77 Size519.5948 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$91.72 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.241
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.19 Size567.007 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$40.11 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.126
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.87 Size71.12 Current Price0.420 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.420
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.74 Size110.55 Current Price0.260 Cash P&L $20.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$26.53 Size110.55 Current Price0.240 Cash P&L $18.64 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$25.80 Size40 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $2.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.585
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24.73 Size1,413.3667 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$1.60 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.019
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$23.00 Size25 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.820
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$22.10 Size260 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L $2.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.076
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$17.76 Size221.9646 Current Price0.080 Cash P&L $1.86 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.072
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.58 Size110.55 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L $8.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.32 Size59.9944 Current Price0.272 Cash P&L $0.42 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.265
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona Attorney General election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$15.27 Size18.74 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $0.28 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.800
Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.59 Size694.5852 Current Price0.021 Cash P&L -$5.74 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.029
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.06 Size145.71 Current Price0.097 Cash P&L $4.01 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.069
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.56 Size822 Current Price0.017 Cash P&L -$9.12 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.028
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.49 Size110.55 Current Price0.122 Cash P&L $5.59 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$13.40 Size39.9931 Current Price0.335 Cash P&L -$0.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.352
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.07 Size37.87 Current Price0.345 Cash P&L $0.95 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.320
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.50 Size100 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L $0.50 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.100
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.21 Size75.62 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L $0.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.135
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.84 Size57 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$1.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.174
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.42 Size17.06 Current Price0.435 Cash P&L $0.34 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.415
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.04 Size38.99 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L $0.19 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.150
Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.58 Size20 Current Price0.229 Cash P&L -$5.44 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.501
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4.48 Size8.4563 Current Price0.530 Cash P&L $1.61 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.340
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 14% and 16%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.42 Size110.55 Current Price0.040 Cash P&L -$3.47 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.28 Size20.3658 Current Price0.210 Cash P&L $0.61 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.180
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.48 Size110.55 Current Price0.032 Cash P&L -$4.41 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.43 Size6,855.0097 Current Price0.001 Cash P&L -$29.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.005
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.92 Size13.25 Current Price0.220 Cash P&L $0.66 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.170
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.45 Size5.5 Current Price0.445 Cash P&L $0.08 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.430
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.38 Size110.55 Current Price0.021 Cash P&L -$5.52 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.40 Size200 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$2.40 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.019
Texas Senate favorite on November 2? ↗ OutcomePaxton Current Value$1.07 Size20 Current Price0.053 Cash P&L $0.63 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.022