Sports Questions by Whale Capital
20 sports questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.
Whale in Sports = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.
How this category's bar was set
That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.
Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
| Rank | Question | Ask | Whale Capital | Whale Holders | Largest Position | Outcomes USD | Outcomes N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank1 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,948 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.648No: 0.368 Yes 0.632/0.648 · No 0.352/0.368 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $1,450,352.21 Yes: $1,234,415.05No: $215,937.16 Yes $1,234,415.05 · No $215,937.16 | Whale Holders 99 Yes: 72No: 28 Yes 72 · No 28 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $192,514.73 wallet 0x792f8e8bae0323abf8927c6820863fbe8a98328a on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,444,584.30No: $304,136.56 Total across all outcomes: $1,748,720.86 | Outcomes N Yes: 2,448No: 1,112 Total across all outcomes: 3,560 positions |
| Rank2 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 6,486 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.957No: 0.053 Yes 0.947/0.957 · No 0.043/0.053 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $860,985.88 Yes: $860,985.88No: $0.00 Yes $860,985.88 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 54 Yes: 54No: 0 Yes 54 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $224,334.03 wallet 0x46ee4944d72cceaac9c19e08e0491cbad461ae61 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,048,585.54No: $6,170.54 Total across all outcomes: $1,054,756.08 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,868No: 184 Total across all outcomes: 2,052 positions |
| Rank3 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 5,193 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.300No: 0.724 Yes 0.276/0.300 · No 0.700/0.724 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $509,790.18 Yes: $346,079.51No: $163,710.67 Yes $346,079.51 · No $163,710.67 | Whale Holders 57 Yes: 44No: 13 Yes 44 · No 13 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $57,245.72 wallet 0x8b4255313643e1f57f3bdf0a1376765f9820063e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $506,051.35No: $220,123.06 Total across all outcomes: $726,174.40 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,860No: 455 Total across all outcomes: 2,315 positions |
| Rank4 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,378 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.025No: 0.977 Yes 0.023/0.025 · No 0.975/0.977 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $428,823.11 Yes: $16,560.35No: $412,262.75 Yes $16,560.35 · No $412,262.75 | Whale Holders 35 Yes: 3No: 32 Yes 3 · No 32 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $80,220.82 wallet 0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $45,597.69No: $461,947.50 Total across all outcomes: $507,545.19 | Outcomes N Yes: 763No: 383 Total across all outcomes: 1,146 positions |
| Rank5 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,290 rows held · Ends 2027-04-01 | Ask Yes: 0.990No: 0.015 Yes 0.985/0.990 · No 0.010/0.015 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $350,659.54 Yes: $350,659.54No: $0.00 Yes $350,659.54 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 14 Yes: 14No: 0 Yes 14 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $131,766.53 wallet 0x1ce4fce85485bb75d78efb198a2d2fab4a43fbd1 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $416,605.00No: $2,047.53 Total across all outcomes: $418,652.54 | Outcomes N Yes: 669No: 62 Total across all outcomes: 731 positions |
| Rank6 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,958 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.028No: 0.975 Yes 0.025/0.028 · No 0.972/0.975 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $204,040.27 Yes: $2,843.94No: $201,196.33 Yes $2,843.94 · No $201,196.33 | Whale Holders 11 Yes: 1No: 10 Yes 1 · No 10 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $72,049.16 wallet 0x3eae57986be5e0ca435102ffe1f14206ffa2e2ed on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $44,390.26No: $241,048.98 Total across all outcomes: $285,439.24 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,030No: 273 Total across all outcomes: 1,303 positions |
| Rank7 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,070 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.038No: 0.976 Yes 0.024/0.038 · No 0.962/0.976 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $158,519.41 Yes: $0.00No: $158,519.41 Yes $0.00 · No $158,519.41 | Whale Holders 10 Yes: 0No: 10 Yes 0 · No 10 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $78,353.43 wallet 0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $5,646.64No: $177,546.74 Total across all outcomes: $183,193.38 | Outcomes N Yes: 90No: 167 Total across all outcomes: 257 positions |
| Rank8 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,003 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.011No: 0.990 Yes 0.010/0.011 · No 0.989/0.990 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $151,799.68 Yes: $0.00No: $151,799.68 Yes $0.00 · No $151,799.68 | Whale Holders 7 Yes: 0No: 7 Yes 0 · No 7 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $70,855.72 wallet 0xcb016f2b417f98c88fc91fffe7e69d4a6b1c7dfb on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $16,706.47No: $170,551.13 Total across all outcomes: $187,257.59 | Outcomes N Yes: 377No: 125 Total across all outcomes: 502 positions |
| Rank9 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 2,068 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.004No: 0.997 Yes 0.003/0.004 · No 0.996/0.997 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $88,034.41 Yes: $0.00No: $88,034.41 Yes $0.00 · No $88,034.41 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $88,034.41 wallet 0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $5,256.00No: $98,708.62 Total across all outcomes: $103,964.62 | Outcomes N Yes: 267No: 166 Total across all outcomes: 433 positions |
| Rank10 | Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 704 rows held · Ends 2026-10-22 | Ask Yes: 0.015No: 0.998 Yes 0.002/0.015 · No 0.985/0.998 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $57,482.04 Yes: $0.00No: $57,482.04 Yes $0.00 · No $57,482.04 | Whale Holders 5 Yes: 0No: 5 Yes 0 · No 5 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $21,662.81 wallet 0x713d8204065122e767f13f0713774ac6805453a9 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $726.34No: $87,357.78 Total across all outcomes: $88,084.12 | Outcomes N Yes: 40No: 127 Total across all outcomes: 167 positions |
| Rank11 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,145 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.019No: 0.984 Yes 0.016/0.019 · No 0.981/0.984 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $37,463.37 Yes: $2,988.86No: $34,474.52 Yes $2,988.86 · No $34,474.52 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 1No: 3 Yes 1 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $19,022.55 wallet 0xa49f62c51cc728b11fc1e84aef0a21fc9da06b2e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $17,614.40No: $47,530.82 Total across all outcomes: $65,145.23 | Outcomes N Yes: 615No: 146 Total across all outcomes: 761 positions |
| Rank12 | Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 612 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.690No: 0.320 Yes 0.680/0.690 · No 0.310/0.320 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $22,013.09 Yes: $19,384.31No: $2,628.78 Yes $19,384.31 · No $2,628.78 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 3No: 1 Yes 3 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $8,753.90 wallet 0xb10bf118b2a3c1cff0379a4134a82eb6d51e0b04 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $35,939.51No: $6,934.48 Total across all outcomes: $42,873.99 | Outcomes N Yes: 176No: 46 Total across all outcomes: 222 positions |
| Rank13 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,510 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.005No: 0.996 Yes 0.004/0.005 · No 0.995/0.996 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $18,317.71 Yes: $0.00No: $18,317.71 Yes $0.00 · No $18,317.71 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $10,641.13 wallet 0x9e8077593bf0a6fd63f988dcf589f7558897f694 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $7,997.36No: $30,225.25 Total across all outcomes: $38,222.61 | Outcomes N Yes: 291No: 116 Total across all outcomes: 407 positions |
| Rank14 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,753 rows held · Ends 2027-04-01 | Ask Yes: 0.012No: 0.989 Yes 0.011/0.012 · No 0.988/0.989 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $12,121.62 Yes: $0.00No: $12,121.62 Yes $0.00 · No $12,121.62 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $9,492.48 wallet 0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $3,060.25No: $18,158.38 Total across all outcomes: $21,218.63 | Outcomes N Yes: 214No: 68 Total across all outcomes: 282 positions |
| Rank15 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 5,079 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.010No: 0.991 Yes 0.009/0.010 · No 0.990/0.991 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $9,349.67 Yes: $0.00No: $9,349.67 Yes $0.00 · No $9,349.67 | Whale Holders 3 Yes: 0No: 3 Yes 0 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,651.89 wallet 0xb6c3dd61658194b11719db1a78c97c8f7b9feb07 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $9,288.78No: $31,680.70 Total across all outcomes: $40,969.48 | Outcomes N Yes: 374No: 327 Total across all outcomes: 701 positions |
| Rank16 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,194 rows held · Ends 2027-04-01 | Ask Yes: 0.002No: 0.999 Yes 0.001/0.002 · No 0.998/0.999 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $8,585.47 Yes: $0.00No: $8,585.47 Yes $0.00 · No $8,585.47 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $8,585.47 wallet 0xa49f62c51cc728b11fc1e84aef0a21fc9da06b2e on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $368.14No: $13,521.65 Total across all outcomes: $13,889.79 | Outcomes N Yes: 59No: 54 Total across all outcomes: 113 positions |
| Rank17 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,767 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.009No: 0.994 Yes 0.006/0.009 · No 0.991/0.994 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $6,998.12 Yes: $0.00No: $6,998.12 Yes $0.00 · No $6,998.12 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,912.07 wallet 0xf68a281980f8c13828e84e147e3822381d6e5b1b on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $7,254.72No: $20,622.60 Total across all outcomes: $27,877.32 | Outcomes N Yes: 361No: 177 Total across all outcomes: 538 positions |
| Rank18 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,432 rows held · Ends 2026-12-06 | Ask Yes: 0.004No: 0.998 Yes 0.002/0.004 · No 0.996/0.998 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $5,947.10 Yes: $0.00No: $5,947.10 Yes $0.00 · No $5,947.10 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $5,947.10 wallet 0x14619de097b1fbe058d6d36282662c20958a30a1 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,835.09No: $11,568.80 Total across all outcomes: $14,403.89 | Outcomes N Yes: 124No: 108 Total across all outcomes: 232 positions |
| Rank19 | Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 499 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.260No: 0.750 Yes 0.250/0.260 · No 0.740/0.750 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $5,548.21 Yes: $2,958.02No: $2,590.19 Yes $2,958.02 · No $2,590.19 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 1No: 1 Yes 1 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,958.02 wallet 0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $9,695.71No: $5,669.80 Total across all outcomes: $15,365.52 | Outcomes N Yes: 109No: 32 Total across all outcomes: 141 positions |
| Rank20 | Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,030 rows held · Ends 2026-10-31 | Ask Yes: 0.002No: 0.999 Yes 0.001/0.002 · No 0.998/0.999 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $2,666.61 Yes: $0.00No: $2,666.61 Yes $0.00 · No $2,666.61 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,666.61 wallet 0x9e8077593bf0a6fd63f988dcf589f7558897f694 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,116.54No: $6,345.70 Total across all outcomes: $8,462.23 | Outcomes N Yes: 126No: 103 Total across all outcomes: 229 positions |