nmnr
0xcb86c3db58b8449426da10cc1240ee4660d6feda
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$67,516.25
Active Markets
54
Positions Listed
54
Last trade: Adds its No position — $6.66 on — US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,008.40 on — Netanyahu out by end of 2026?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry | Entry date | Last trade date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10,056.13 | Size10,641.41 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $159.62 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.930 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8,311.35 | Size11,624.2717 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $626.32 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.661 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,136.78 | Size6,226.4047 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $8.46 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.824 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,885.46 | Size4,440.5233 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $117.15 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.849 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,315.35 | Size4,770.287 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $275.35 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.637 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,289.27 | Size4,475.2 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $250.94 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.679 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,062.45 | Size4,110.6645 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $87.33 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.724 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,810.63 | Size3,271.98 | Current Price0.859 | Cash P&L $123.36 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.821 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,456.66 | Size3,484.63 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $228.26 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.639 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,449.67 | Size2,767.99 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $0.11 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.885 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,360.82 | Size3,348.68 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $232.60 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.635 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,862.75 | Size2,534.35 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $141.12 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.679 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,414.96 | Size1,617.1 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $47.07 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.846 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,382.63 | Size1,961.1814 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $73.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.667 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,325.41 | Size1,779.08 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $44.48 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.720 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,196.46 | Size1,638.99 | Current Price0.730 | Cash P&L -$16.39 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.740 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,126.92 | Size1,926.3527 | Current Price0.585 | Cash P&L $7.16 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.581 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$971.50 | Size1,358.74 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $74.73 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.660 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$933.98 | Size1,253.66 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $39.45 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.714 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$909.04 | Size1,165.44 | Current Price0.780 | Cash P&L $100.59 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.694 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$855.62 | Size878.46 | Current Price0.974 | Cash P&L $81.56 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.881 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$808.94 | Size1,085.8266 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $29.28 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.718 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$794.43 | Size1,095.76 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L -$71.22 | Market End2026-12-10 | Avg Entry0.790 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$717.32 | Size723.1011 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $139.26 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.799 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$678.51 | Size990.52 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L $5.19 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.680 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$593.33 | Size818.3914 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L -$2.60 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.728 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$591.00 | Size1,084.4033 | Current Price0.545 | Cash P&L -$55.38 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.596 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$496.43 | Size648.9221 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L -$5.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.773 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$462.78 | Size734.5717 | Current Price0.630 | Cash P&L $4.55 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.624 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$449.31 | Size475.46 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $11.89 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.920 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$389.58 | Size516 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L -$12.89 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.780 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$336.63 | Size506.21 | Current Price0.665 | Cash P&L -$11.15 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.687 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$295.37 | Size396.4739 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$4.63 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.757 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$229.97 | Size666.58 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L -$81.34 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.467 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$226.77 | Size313.0026 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $23.98 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.648 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$218.52 | Size297.31 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $11.13 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.698 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$164.54 | Size209.61 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L $24.11 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.670 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$149.67 | Size169.1237 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $11.68 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.816 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$123.63 | Size151.69 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $12.95 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.730 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$116.93 | Size179.2 | Current Price0.652 | Cash P&L $4.64 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.626 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$106.59 | Size119.09 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $2.04 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.878 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$93.31 | Size142.46 | Current Price0.655 | Cash P&L $1.14 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.647 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$89.53 | Size111.22 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L -$0.56 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.810 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$65.55 | Size74.07 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $24.91 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.549 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$49.22 | Size66.96 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $1.75 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.709 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$36.30 | Size56.7207 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L -$5.48 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.737 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$33.00 | Size35.29 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $2.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.871 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$25.89 | Size29.96 | Current Price0.864 | Cash P&L $0.42 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.850 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$20.70 | Size42.8115 | Current Price0.483 | Cash P&L $0.15 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.480 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$15.85 | Size19.69 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L $0.10 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.800 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.67 | Size11.8877 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$1.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.799 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7.10 | Size9.53 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $0.24 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.720 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5.11 | Size5.98 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L -$0.08 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.869 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.93 | Size25.44 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$1.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.170 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
Entry date and Last trade date are fetched live from Polymarket for this wallet — not part of the published run. A miss renders — until the live history loads.