Contrarian - 7451

0x095dcfb123a4bc035ee6b0d624bab0cc964352cf

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$127,664.82
Active Markets
35
Positions Listed
35

Last trade: Reduces its No position — $95.00 on — Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?. No fill of $1,000.00 among the newest 500 fills (back to 2026-07-22 00:02 UTC)

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$30,013.28 Size38,726.8183 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $4,406.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.661
Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$22,724.99 Size23,808.2704 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $2,502.94 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.849
Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$20,070.69 Size21,698.0452 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $1,874.17 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.839
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$15,510.15 Size16,081.0262 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $3,512.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.746
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,542.00 Size11,292.3035 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $421.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.808
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5,688.62 Size5,888.839 Current Price0.966 Cash P&L $935.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.807
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,858.38 Size4,865.6753 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $910.45 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.811
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,584.07 Size2,672.2583 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $136.23 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.916
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,493.66 Size2,580.0982 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $358.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.827
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,126.20 Size2,546.3456 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $423.17 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.669
US strike on Mexico by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,586.27 Size1,653.2244 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $391.88 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.722
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,504.50 Size1,941.2967 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $473.01 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.531
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,469.10 Size2,026.3469 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $152.58 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.650
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,286.85 Size1,287.49 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $47.31 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.963
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,247.43 Size1,277.4511 Current Price0.977 Cash P&L $161.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.850
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,154.04 Size1,187.288 Current Price0.972 Cash P&L $156.30 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.840
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$890.89 Size911.3979 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $96.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.872
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$685.95 Size714.5331 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $205.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.672
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$538.70 Size558.528 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $56.63 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.863
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$488.75 Size500 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $42.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.893
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$277.68 Size310.26 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L -$7.76 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.920
US strike on Colombia by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$177.10 Size230 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L -$9.20 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.810
US recession by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$166.20 Size179.68 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $21.87 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.803
Cuban regime falls in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$135.75 Size150 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $11.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.830
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$107.99 Size599.9332 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$287.70 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.659
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$94.40 Size160 Current Price0.590 Cash P&L $23.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.441
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$82.70 Size93.66 Current Price0.883 Cash P&L $1.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.863
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$54.89 Size59.9931 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $6.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.810
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$39.66 Size40 Current Price0.992 Cash P&L $1.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.947
Will Trump resign before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$32.69 Size33.44 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $1.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.930
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.70 Size20 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $3.70 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.750
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7.30 Size19.9976 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L -$3.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.530
US x China Military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2.79 Size2.8571 Current Price0.975 Cash P&L $0.33 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.860
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1.37 Size1.41 Current Price0.974 Cash P&L $0.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.900
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1.06 Size1.0793 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $0.07 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.910