Economy Questions by Whale Capital

13 economy questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.

Whale in Economy = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.

How this category's bar was set

That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.

Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC · run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
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Ranked by the capital whales have positioned in the question. A question belongs to exactly one curated category. Methodology.

Rank Question Ask Whale Capital Whale Holders Largest Position Outcomes USD Outcomes N
Rank1 US recession by end of 2026? Ask Yes: 0.070No: 0.940 Whale Capital $507,854.62 Yes: $30,608.11No: $477,246.52 Whale Holders 50 Yes: 2No: 48 Largest Position $37,268.05 Outcomes USD Yes: $39,816.91No: $574,632.69 Outcomes N Yes: 377No: 611
Rank2 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Ask Yes: 0.080No: 0.930 Whale Capital $51,148.34 Yes: $0.00No: $51,148.34 Whale Holders 5 Yes: 0No: 5 Largest Position $25,540.56 Outcomes USD Yes: $6,192.30No: $76,538.72 Outcomes N Yes: 65No: 79
Rank3 Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.049No: 0.970 Whale Capital $45,331.96 Yes: $0.00No: $45,331.96 Whale Holders 7 Yes: 0No: 7 Largest Position $19,924.75 Outcomes USD Yes: $2,324.48No: $56,928.88 Outcomes N Yes: 79No: 74
Rank4 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.402No: 0.600 Whale Capital $30,980.17 Yes: $8,168.06No: $22,812.11 Whale Holders 4 Yes: 2No: 2 Largest Position $19,973.38 Outcomes USD Yes: $19,732.44No: $29,487.38 Outcomes N Yes: 124No: 67
Rank5 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.070No: 0.941 Whale Capital $23,143.65 Yes: $0.00No: $23,143.65 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Largest Position $18,082.65 Outcomes USD Yes: $2,262.56No: $33,152.00 Outcomes N Yes: 59No: 72
Rank6 Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Ask Yes: 0.042No: 0.965 Whale Capital $12,019.39 Yes: $0.00No: $12,019.39 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Largest Position $6,563.41 Outcomes USD Yes: $853.64No: $21,567.96 Outcomes N Yes: 24No: 60
Rank7 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.163No: 0.840 Whale Capital $9,641.23 Yes: $0.00No: $9,641.23 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $9,641.23 Outcomes USD Yes: $4,040.10No: $21,004.14 Outcomes N Yes: 64No: 49
Rank8 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.770No: 0.231 Whale Capital $7,154.68 Yes: $7,154.68No: $0.00 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 2No: 0 Largest Position $4,487.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $14,779.19No: $4,421.10 Outcomes N Yes: 53No: 55
Rank9 Negative GDP growth in 2026? Ask Yes: 0.021No: 0.980 Whale Capital $6,511.53 Yes: $0.00No: $6,511.53 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $6,511.53 Outcomes USD Yes: $161.56No: $8,249.35 Outcomes N Yes: 15No: 36
Rank10 Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? Ask Yes: 0.027No: 0.978 Whale Capital $3,583.75 Yes: $0.00No: $3,583.75 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $3,583.75 Outcomes USD Yes: $208.40No: $9,458.09 Outcomes N Yes: 12No: 49
Rank11 Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.038No: 0.976 Whale Capital $2,899.18 Yes: $0.00No: $2,899.18 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $2,899.18 Outcomes USD Yes: $354.80No: $11,604.30 Outcomes N Yes: 38No: 57
Rank12 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.028No: 0.990 Whale Capital $2,873.31 Yes: $0.00No: $2,873.31 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $2,873.31 Outcomes USD Yes: $76.03No: $4,376.69 Outcomes N Yes: 16No: 33
Rank13 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? Ask Yes: 0.019No: 0.993 Whale Capital $2,520.17 Yes: $0.00No: $2,520.17 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $2,520.17 Outcomes USD Yes: $41.91No: $3,544.40 Outcomes N Yes: 13No: 32