PMTraderAdam
0x154794795d978c5890b3f69264311f0bd966d066
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$53,019.35
Active Markets
79
Positions Listed
79
Last trade: Reduces its No position — $164.00 on — Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,972.00 on — Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,760.03 | Size8,000.0317 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $62.55 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.837 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,660.00 | Size4,000 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L -$20.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,202.50 | Size3,500 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $102.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.886 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,352.00 | Size3,200 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $164.51 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.683 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,984.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $12.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.986 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,947.00 | Size2,200 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $71.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.853 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,900.51 | Size2,100.0142 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $62.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.875 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,816.50 | Size2,100 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $30.50 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,573.44 | Size3,137.46 | Current Price0.501 | Cash P&L $115.41 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.465 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,564.50 | Size2,100 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$41.49 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.765 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,564.00 | Size1,709.2855 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $137.48 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.835 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,372.50 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $82.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,169.25 | Size1,499.9939 | Current Price0.779 | Cash P&L -$24.74 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.796 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,128.75 | Size1,750 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $25.75 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.630 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,064.24 | Size1,649.9822 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $133.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.564 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,062.00 | Size1,200 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $30.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$924.40 | Size968.97 | Current Price0.954 | Cash P&L $9.37 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.944 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$873.99 | Size949.99 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L $169.00 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.742 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$855.75 | Size1,050 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L -$21.75 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.836 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$774.99 | Size999.9845 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$57.00 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.832 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$708.00 | Size800.0055 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L -$34.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.927 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$696.15 | Size700 | Current Price0.995 | Cash P&L $3.15 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.990 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$668.07 | Size790.6123 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$3.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$647.50 | Size700 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $10.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$610.29 | Size753.4433 | Current Price0.810 | Cash P&L $75.14 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.710 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$570.46 | Size699.9518 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $67.49 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.719 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$562.24 | Size649.993 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L -$3.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$560.00 | Size800 | Current Price0.700 | Cash P&L -$16.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$553.00 | Size700 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $24.50 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.755 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$531.00 | Size600.0024 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $69.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$517.00 | Size550 | Current Price0.940 | Cash P&L $37.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.873 |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$498.30 | Size599.9941 | Current Price0.831 | Cash P&L $147.70 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.584 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$482.02 | Size529.6966 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $18.49 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.875 |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$471.61 | Size491.2578 | Current Price0.960 | Cash P&L $150.86 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.653 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$465.01 | Size600.0066 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$63.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$444.50 | Size699.9936 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L $22.50 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.603 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$421.25 | Size500 | Current Price0.843 | Cash P&L $56.25 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.730 |
| Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$382.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $6.00 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$343.03 | Size418.3294 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L -$12.37 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$342.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L -$10.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$338.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $2.00 | Market End2029-01-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$322.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L -$10.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$318.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.795 | Cash P&L $74.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.610 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$290.25 | Size450 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$69.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$289.09 | Size312.5246 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $7.81 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$277.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.555 | Cash P&L -$12.50 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.580 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$271.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $22.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$246.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.410 | Cash P&L -$138.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$201.99 | Size213.8574 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $18.07 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$201.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.335 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.330 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$199.41 | Size200.0055 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $20.80 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.893 |
| Halle Berry as Storm? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$182.59 | Size219.9872 | Current Price0.830 | Cash P&L $12.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.775 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$173.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $1.00 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Discord IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$168.85 | Size173 | Current Price0.976 | Cash P&L $16.81 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.879 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$167.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will Dexter McCoy win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$165.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L -$11.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$155.00 | Size999.9832 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$105.00 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.260 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$127.00 | Size200.0031 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$13.53 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.703 |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$120.15 | Size270 | Current Price0.445 | Cash P&L -$4.05 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.460 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$96.25 | Size250 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $31.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.260 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$84.61 | Size148.44 | Current Price0.570 | Cash P&L $58.12 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.178 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$71.71 | Size80.12 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $7.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$71.09 | Size90.56 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L $22.70 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.534 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$69.51 | Size100.0184 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $10.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.590 |
| Waymo IPO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$55.84 | Size56.8092 | Current Price0.983 | Cash P&L $6.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.871 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$51.99 | Size152.91 | Current Price0.340 | Cash P&L -$9.17 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.400 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$49.12 | Size49.3125 | Current Price0.996 | Cash P&L $2.76 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$48.19 | Size50.2529 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L $4.99 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$40.67 | Size46.22 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $2.77 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will the next UK parliament by-election be called by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$37.49 | Size51.0045 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L -$1.28 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$27.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$82.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.220 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$19.76 | Size26.706 | Current Price0.740 | Cash P&L $3.47 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.610 |
| Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$17.17 | Size19.1807 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $2.01 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.790 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$15.93 | Size60 | Current Price0.266 | Cash P&L -$3.87 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.330 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$13.72 | Size18.0487 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L $3.07 | Market End2027-01-04 | Avg Entry0.590 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4.70 | Size5 | Current Price0.940 | Cash P&L $0.35 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3.32 | Size3.69 | Current Price0.900 | Cash P&L $0.55 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.60 | Size4.1009 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$0.14 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.670 |
| Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.11 | Size1.14 | Current Price0.970 | Cash P&L $0.12 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.860 |