wienerdog
0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$56,247.33
Active Markets
51
Positions Listed
51
Last trade: Adds its No position — $6.00 on — Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,000.00 on — Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14,716.56 | Size17,013.3592 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $1,244.03 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.792 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7,013.29 | Size9,137.8371 | Current Price0.767 | Cash P&L $400.35 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.724 |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,107.69 | Size7,403.2612 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $516.41 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.755 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,510.23 | Size4,772.7327 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $310.24 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,221.34 | Size8,359.0842 | Current Price0.505 | Cash P&L -$130.89 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.521 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,345.09 | Size9,089.9221 | Current Price0.368 | Cash P&L $164.09 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.350 |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,106.89 | Size3,253.2905 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $220.44 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.887 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,464.74 | Size6,942.9379 | Current Price0.355 | Cash P&L -$435.25 | Market End2026-11-09 | Avg Entry0.418 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,411.63 | Size1,651.0313 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $11.63 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.848 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,027.90 | Size2,119.3721 | Current Price0.485 | Cash P&L -$122.11 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.543 |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$874.38 | Size3,179.5625 | Current Price0.275 | Cash P&L -$323.61 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.377 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$858.58 | Size6,868.6677 | Current Price0.125 | Cash P&L -$3,284.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.603 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$524.01 | Size1,361.0699 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L -$119.76 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.473 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$522.66 | Size8,430.0732 | Current Price0.062 | Cash P&L -$75.87 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.071 |
| Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$497.29 | Size6,101.6815 | Current Price0.082 | Cash P&L $203.32 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.048 |
| Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$489.52 | Size1,305.3997 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L $12.60 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.365 |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? ↗ | OutcomeOpp. | Current Value$431.60 | Size806.7241 | Current Price0.535 | Cash P&L -$9.14 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.546 |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$360.51 | Size1,848.75 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$303.47 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.359 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$323.00 | Size1,700 | Current Price0.190 | Cash P&L -$289.00 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$318.60 | Size3,600 | Current Price0.088 | Cash P&L $22.21 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.082 |
| Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$307.76 | Size373.042 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L -$41.42 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.936 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$280.26 | Size305.4566 | Current Price0.917 | Cash P&L $10.69 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.882 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$255.77 | Size6,820.5107 | Current Price0.037 | Cash P&L -$262.96 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.076 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$246.16 | Size443.53 | Current Price0.555 | Cash P&L $34.34 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.477 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$225.52 | Size2,373.9447 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L $2.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.094 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$208.63 | Size604.712 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L -$41.37 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.413 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$194.24 | Size332.0374 | Current Price0.585 | Cash P&L $31.23 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.491 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$171.74 | Size4,188.6783 | Current Price0.041 | Cash P&L -$328.26 | Market End2026-11-20 | Avg Entry0.119 |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$162.16 | Size165.05 | Current Price0.983 | Cash P&L $20.22 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$151.94 | Size821.3057 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L -$140.17 | Market End2026-09-20 | Avg Entry0.356 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$150.37 | Size1,879.61 | Current Price0.080 | Cash P&L $28.93 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.065 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$150.34 | Size207.36 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $10.70 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.673 |
| Will courts block Mamdani's grocery stores by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$129.95 | Size143.75 | Current Price0.904 | Cash P&L $37.95 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$77.53 | Size2,673.5206 | Current Price0.029 | Cash P&L -$663.92 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.277 |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$62.45 | Size154.19 | Current Price0.405 | Cash P&L $6.94 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$60.09 | Size106.734 | Current Price0.563 | Cash P&L $3.95 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.526 |
| Will Steven Del Duca win the 2026 Vaughan mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$47.56 | Size47.9442 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $6.48 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.857 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$43.15 | Size233.23 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L $3.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.170 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$40.94 | Size51.8205 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $9.79 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.601 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$35.13 | Size731.9164 | Current Price0.048 | Cash P&L -$14.87 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.068 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$24.52 | Size25 | Current Price0.981 | Cash P&L $4.53 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$23.95 | Size100 | Current Price0.239 | Cash P&L $9.85 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.141 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$18.50 | Size20 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $0.70 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$13.59 | Size362.4363 | Current Price0.037 | Cash P&L $0.76 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.035 |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$13.36 | Size1,907.9511 | Current Price0.007 | Cash P&L -$248.56 | Market End2026-10-20 | Avg Entry0.137 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$9.87 | Size31.5789 | Current Price0.312 | Cash P&L $3.87 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.190 |
| Will Kari Lake be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.38 | Size399 | Current Price0.024 | Cash P&L $5.79 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.009 |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.72 | Size2.8768 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $0.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.710 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1.58 | Size4 | Current Price0.395 | Cash P&L $0.30 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.320 |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.51 | Size28.5 | Current Price0.053 | Cash P&L $0.06 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.051 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.16 | Size25.88 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L $0.62 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.021 |