iHaveBeenPwned
0x18a0a8dbe3bc27b41bf2262c9fe459d5cc9bb904
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$50,225.70
Active Markets
64
Positions Listed
64
Last trade: Adds its No position — $21.00 on — Will Trump and Putin not meet?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,363.45 on — Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,795.18 | Size4,413 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L -$33.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.868 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,300.73 | Size3,456.2585 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $7.33 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.953 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,140.19 | Size3,394.8 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L -$16.97 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,783.17 | Size3,812.56 | Current Price0.730 | Cash P&L $38.13 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,369.26 | Size2,969 | Current Price0.798 | Cash P&L $148.45 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.748 |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,759.73 | Size2,120.16 | Current Price0.830 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,566.89 | Size2,748.93 | Current Price0.570 | Cash P&L -$82.47 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.600 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,358.62 | Size1,381.41 | Current Price0.984 | Cash P&L -$4.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.987 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,302.77 | Size1,393.34 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $34.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,140.52 | Size1,177.01 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L -$1.18 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.970 |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,073.88 | Size1,368 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L $20.52 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,058.85 | Size1,107 | Current Price0.957 | Cash P&L -$28.23 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.982 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$987.36 | Size1,056 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L -$5.28 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$974.87 | Size2,010.05 | Current Price0.485 | Cash P&L -$10.05 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.490 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$974.44 | Size1,166.99 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L -$5.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$970.05 | Size1,338 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L -$6.69 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.730 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$941.15 | Size1,191.33 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.790 |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $55 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$930.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $30.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$906.72 | Size927.59 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $21.80 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.954 |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $50 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$872.15 | Size884.98 | Current Price0.986 | Cash P&L $3.98 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.981 |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $20 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$853.76 | Size860.65 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $0.86 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$816.73 | Size831.7 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L -$1.66 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.984 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$809.75 | Size958.29 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $4.79 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$804.46 | Size2,774 | Current Price0.290 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.290 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$779.61 | Size880.92 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $4.40 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$764.15 | Size4,631.2 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L $115.78 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.140 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$736.43 | Size2,017.61 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L -$10.09 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.370 |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$734.16 | Size824.9 | Current Price0.890 | Cash P&L -$8.25 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$728.00 | Size800 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $40.00 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$691.23 | Size864.04 | Current Price0.800 | Cash P&L -$77.76 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$644.28 | Size6,195 | Current Price0.104 | Cash P&L -$24.78 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.108 |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$575.01 | Size1,369.07 | Current Price0.420 | Cash P&L -$0.43 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.420 |
| Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$568.59 | Size590.74 | Current Price0.963 | Cash P&L -$15.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.989 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$560.24 | Size596 | Current Price0.940 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$524.16 | Size560 | Current Price0.936 | Cash P&L -$1.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.939 |
| Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $30 by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$510.50 | Size533.72 | Current Price0.957 | Cash P&L -$12.50 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.980 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$493.92 | Size536.87 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$481.22 | Size559.56 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L -$33.57 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$438.85 | Size685.71 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$433.33 | Size489.64 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $2.45 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$432.96 | Size1,312 | Current Price0.330 | Cash P&L $13.12 | Market End2027-03-01 | Avg Entry0.320 |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $75 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$335.75 | Size419.69 | Current Price0.800 | Cash P&L -$62.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$323.90 | Size358.5 | Current Price0.903 | Cash P&L -$0.87 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.906 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$323.89 | Size1,408.22 | Current Price0.230 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$312.23 | Size345 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $1.73 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$306.86 | Size312.33 | Current Price0.983 | Cash P&L -$0.16 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.983 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$303.92 | Size2,096 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$2.05 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.146 |
| Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or above $20 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$293.37 | Size300.89 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L -$4.21 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.989 |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $30 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$290.25 | Size430 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L -$75.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$217.94 | Size222.05 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L -$0.11 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.982 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $70 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$211.52 | Size220.1 | Current Price0.961 | Cash P&L -$6.16 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.989 |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or above $15 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$207.00 | Size360 | Current Price0.575 | Cash P&L -$9.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.600 |
| Trump meets with Putin by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$205.24 | Size251.83 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $1.26 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$204.95 | Size409.9 | Current Price0.500 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2028-11-07 | Avg Entry0.500 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$197.74 | Size750.42 | Current Price0.264 | Cash P&L $0.38 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.263 |
| GTA VI released by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$184.79 | Size191.99 | Current Price0.963 | Cash P&L -$2.21 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.974 |
| Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$181.33 | Size237.03 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L -$8.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$177.94 | Size287 | Current Price0.620 | Cash P&L -$22.96 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.700 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$110.26 | Size121.83 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $0.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$97.56 | Size475.91 | Current Price0.205 | Cash P&L $2.38 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$65.62 | Size1,726.86 | Current Price0.038 | Cash P&L -$20.72 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.050 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$30.36 | Size879.99 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$39.10 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.079 |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$27.78 | Size36.55 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L $1.46 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will GPT Sol's output price be at or below $8 in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$27.62 | Size85 | Current Price0.325 | Cash P&L -$0.42 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.330 |