Finance Questions by Whale Capital
17 finance questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.
Whale in Finance = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.
How this category's bar was set
That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.
Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
| Rank | Question | Ask | Whale Capital | Whale Holders | Largest Position | Outcomes USD | Outcomes N |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank1 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 8,071 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.956No: 0.045 Yes 0.955/0.956 · No 0.044/0.045 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $1,543,668.67 Yes: $1,534,647.54No: $9,021.13 Yes $1,534,647.54 · No $9,021.13 | Whale Holders 60 Yes: 57No: 3 Yes 57 · No 3 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $567,100.83 wallet 0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,707,794.96No: $34,397.89 Total across all outcomes: $1,742,192.85 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,133No: 508 Total across all outcomes: 1,641 positions |
| Rank2 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 3,952 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.840No: 0.170 Yes 0.830/0.840 · No 0.160/0.170 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $271,363.95 Yes: $265,712.84No: $5,651.11 Yes $265,712.84 · No $5,651.11 | Whale Holders 23 Yes: 21No: 2 Yes 21 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $146,364.52 wallet 0xb47adfafc08e77ec77b03a6d1496066675ae6d60 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $392,016.70No: $17,713.30 Total across all outcomes: $409,730.00 | Outcomes N Yes: 1,388No: 178 Total across all outcomes: 1,566 positions |
| Rank3 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,971 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.043No: 0.958 Yes 0.042/0.043 · No 0.957/0.958 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $87,135.47 Yes: $0.00No: $87,135.47 Yes $0.00 · No $87,135.47 | Whale Holders 13 Yes: 0No: 13 Yes 0 · No 13 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $19,509.50 wallet 0x43372356634781eea88d61bbdd7824cdce958882 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $5,533.88No: $126,769.66 Total across all outcomes: $132,303.54 | Outcomes N Yes: 203No: 293 Total across all outcomes: 496 positions |
| Rank4 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,552 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.955No: 0.053 Yes 0.947/0.955 · No 0.045/0.053 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $74,862.17 Yes: $74,862.17No: $0.00 Yes $74,862.17 · No $0.00 | Whale Holders 9 Yes: 9No: 0 Yes 9 · No 0 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $34,506.33 wallet 0x4755188644460fc8140a18ccefc1e80b6a5e4158 on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $110,110.54No: $3,571.83 Total across all outcomes: $113,682.38 | Outcomes N Yes: 324No: 72 Total across all outcomes: 396 positions |
| Rank5 | OpenAI IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,296 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.031No: 0.971 Yes 0.029/0.031 · No 0.969/0.971 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $55,547.03 Yes: $0.00No: $55,547.03 Yes $0.00 · No $55,547.03 | Whale Holders 11 Yes: 0No: 11 Yes 0 · No 11 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $10,037.61 wallet 0xe617861a96631d7cefdb1ad43e95c33b5946f251 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,411.99No: $79,847.84 Total across all outcomes: $82,259.83 | Outcomes N Yes: 107No: 204 Total across all outcomes: 311 positions |
| Rank6 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,654 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.770No: 0.240 Yes 0.760/0.770 · No 0.230/0.240 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $54,074.55 Yes: $48,693.29No: $5,381.26 Yes $48,693.29 · No $5,381.26 | Whale Holders 13 Yes: 11No: 2 Yes 11 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $8,975.11 wallet 0xc401fdf872a9c93e06a9b332987a887f1d698b2c on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $89,360.60No: $27,434.95 Total across all outcomes: $116,795.56 | Outcomes N Yes: 360No: 215 Total across all outcomes: 575 positions |
| Rank7 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 4,134 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.018No: 0.983 Yes 0.017/0.018 · No 0.982/0.983 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $53,009.84 Yes: $0.00No: $53,009.84 Yes $0.00 · No $53,009.84 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 0No: 4 Yes 0 · No 4 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $26,438.63 wallet 0x3a8aa345d5db7ec5138298c8c4f4540259be7699 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $19,016.51No: $93,137.49 Total across all outcomes: $112,153.99 | Outcomes N Yes: 548No: 263 Total across all outcomes: 811 positions |
| Rank8 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,388 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.155No: 0.854 Yes 0.146/0.155 · No 0.845/0.854 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $37,259.78 Yes: $34,286.30No: $2,973.48 Yes $34,286.30 · No $2,973.48 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 3No: 1 Yes 3 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $22,575.00 wallet 0xdf1c2e388bde2fbacabaf85c75a6b69cc35e2ebb on Yes | Outcomes USD Yes: $56,764.17No: $13,177.54 Total across all outcomes: $69,941.72 | Outcomes N Yes: 235No: 169 Total across all outcomes: 404 positions |
| Rank9 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 351 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.090No: 0.920 Yes 0.080/0.090 · No 0.910/0.920 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $18,971.43 Yes: $0.00No: $18,971.43 Yes $0.00 · No $18,971.43 | Whale Holders 4 Yes: 0No: 4 Yes 0 · No 4 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $7,518.37 wallet 0x8637486964986793609c477ced8be14e840a39bd on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $2,822.99No: $30,505.48 Total across all outcomes: $33,328.47 | Outcomes N Yes: 63No: 86 Total across all outcomes: 149 positions |
| Rank10 | Stripe IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 379 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.037No: 0.980 Yes 0.020/0.037 · No 0.963/0.980 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $6,853.76 Yes: $0.00No: $6,853.76 Yes $0.00 · No $6,853.76 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,034.18 wallet 0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $291.12No: $10,441.63 Total across all outcomes: $10,732.75 | Outcomes N Yes: 46No: 62 Total across all outcomes: 108 positions |
| Rank11 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 954 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.036No: 0.968 Yes 0.032/0.036 · No 0.964/0.968 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $5,484.85 Yes: $0.00No: $5,484.85 Yes $0.00 · No $5,484.85 | Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Yes 0 · No 2 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,926.39 wallet 0xb48ef6deecd526c0974c35e1f7b5c3bbd12fa144 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $483.02No: $15,546.72 Total across all outcomes: $16,029.73 | Outcomes N Yes: 69No: 122 Total across all outcomes: 191 positions |
| Rank12 | Anduril IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 387 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.036No: 0.991 Yes 0.009/0.036 · No 0.964/0.991 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,459.73 Yes: $0.00No: $4,459.73 Yes $0.00 · No $4,459.73 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,459.73 wallet 0xadaf137fbfe5e20ed662fa72bb69a4ab6fce3da0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $400.59No: $18,225.32 Total across all outcomes: $18,625.91 | Outcomes N Yes: 47No: 73 Total across all outcomes: 120 positions |
| Rank13 | Databricks IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 449 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.021No: 0.985 Yes 0.015/0.021 · No 0.979/0.985 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,454.57 Yes: $0.00No: $4,454.57 Yes $0.00 · No $4,454.57 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,454.57 wallet 0xadaf137fbfe5e20ed662fa72bb69a4ab6fce3da0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $374.33No: $21,714.65 Total across all outcomes: $22,088.98 | Outcomes N Yes: 46No: 83 Total across all outcomes: 129 positions |
| Rank14 | Discord IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 1,414 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.055No: 0.946 Yes 0.054/0.055 · No 0.945/0.946 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $4,230.49 Yes: $0.00No: $4,230.49 Yes $0.00 · No $4,230.49 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $4,230.49 wallet 0x4728d8377019661b41a2fdca0da55c1dd1e06426 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $991.73No: $18,828.65 Total across all outcomes: $19,820.38 | Outcomes N Yes: 91No: 156 Total across all outcomes: 247 positions |
| Rank15 | Brex IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 261 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.013No: 0.996 Yes 0.004/0.013 · No 0.987/0.996 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $3,629.53 Yes: $0.00No: $3,629.53 Yes $0.00 · No $3,629.53 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $3,629.53 wallet 0xd0d3beb831d436ee76b478fbd97a2984371df300 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $58.55No: $8,868.79 Total across all outcomes: $8,927.34 | Outcomes N Yes: 17No: 26 Total across all outcomes: 43 positions |
| Rank16 | Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 196 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.031No: 0.978 Yes 0.022/0.031 · No 0.969/0.978 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $2,942.94 Yes: $0.00No: $2,942.94 Yes $0.00 · No $2,942.94 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,942.94 wallet 0xadaf137fbfe5e20ed662fa72bb69a4ab6fce3da0 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $128.66No: $5,096.24 Total across all outcomes: $5,224.90 | Outcomes N Yes: 21No: 30 Total across all outcomes: 51 positions |
| Rank17 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — opens on Polymarket in a new tab complete, 823 rows held · Ends 2027-01-01 | Ask Yes: 0.004No: 0.997 Yes 0.003/0.004 · No 0.996/0.997 — quotes from the published pass (22:00) | Whale Capital $2,798.60 Yes: $0.00No: $2,798.60 Yes $0.00 · No $2,798.60 | Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Yes 0 · No 1 — a wallet holding both sides counts on both. | Largest Position $2,798.60 wallet 0x83b779e2059a6bc2905832fc54877cbcfc89cc14 on No | Outcomes USD Yes: $1,262.87No: $5,510.85 Total across all outcomes: $6,773.73 | Outcomes N Yes: 68No: 71 Total across all outcomes: 139 positions |