Outsmarter
0x1b6022ae41ad7a0b387a88c17885c754436ca55b
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$95,417.21
Active Markets
57
Positions Listed
57
Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $500.00 on — Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?. Last big trade: Reduces its No position — $3,184.06 on — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$9,545.00 | Size9,999.995 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $345.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7,526.57 | Size7,823.8761 | Current Price0.962 | Cash P&L $440.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.906 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,599.41 | Size6,800.0058 | Current Price0.971 | Cash P&L $415.41 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.909 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,953.49 | Size6,299.9942 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $795.09 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.819 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,405.46 | Size5,541.2221 | Current Price0.976 | Cash P&L $476.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.889 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,835.00 | Size5,000.003 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $935.01 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,325.00 | Size5,000 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $175.00 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,759.73 | Size4,021.1018 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $131.76 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.902 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,725.02 | Size4,806.478 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$274.97 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.832 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,233.36 | Size3,495.5222 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $114.93 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.892 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,980.00 | Size4,000.0018 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$88.96 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.767 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,901.16 | Size3,581.6816 | Current Price0.810 | Cash P&L $644.70 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.630 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,746.43 | Size3,001.5634 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $326.44 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.806 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,736.38 | Size2,974.3219 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L $361.45 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.798 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,681.13 | Size3,172.9323 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$287.58 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.936 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,564.33 | Size5,128.6518 | Current Price0.500 | Cash P&L -$615.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.620 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,830.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $90.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,766.13 | Size4,528.5412 | Current Price0.390 | Cash P&L -$733.86 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.552 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,645.81 | Size58,778.9881 | Current Price0.028 | Cash P&L $214.51 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.024 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,526.97 | Size1,575.8184 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $113.39 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.897 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,503.57 | Size3,049.8378 | Current Price0.493 | Cash P&L -$33.42 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.504 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,487.25 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $205.34 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.855 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,270.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$30.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.650 |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,236.45 | Size1,353.53 | Current Price0.913 | Cash P&L $159.63 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.795 |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,001.30 | Size1,788.0374 | Current Price0.560 | Cash P&L -$148.69 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.643 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$994.53 | Size1,059.1404 | Current Price0.939 | Cash P&L $71.53 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.871 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$983.01 | Size7,281.5666 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$623.40 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.221 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$973.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L $33.10 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$958.78 | Size6,049.107 | Current Price0.159 | Cash P&L -$323.26 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.212 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$945.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $15.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$925.50 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L -$3.59 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.929 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$845.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$35.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$564.68 | Size594.7105 | Current Price0.950 | Cash P&L $35.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$530.70 | Size759.2268 | Current Price0.699 | Cash P&L $30.70 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.658 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$457.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$425.16 | Size500.1883 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L -$27.89 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.906 |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$406.40 | Size414.058 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L $70.69 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.811 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$398.19 | Size399.99 | Current Price0.996 | Cash P&L $15.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.958 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$346.97 | Size366.7789 | Current Price0.946 | Cash P&L -$1.05 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.949 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$259.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $19.50 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$223.10 | Size245.16 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $46.48 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$126.24 | Size135.0131 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $8.87 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.869 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$80.26 | Size2,631.5789 | Current Price0.030 | Cash P&L -$19.74 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.038 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$55.94 | Size486.3917 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$144.06 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.411 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$51.08 | Size52.99 | Current Price0.964 | Cash P&L $5.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.857 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$19.23 | Size7,692.3076 | Current Price0.003 | Cash P&L -$80.77 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.013 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14.37 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.011 | Cash P&L $4.03 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$13.12 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.011 | Cash P&L $2.78 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.25 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.009 | Cash P&L $0.90 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.50 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L -$2.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.75 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.003 | Cash P&L -$6.59 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.50 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$7.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.50 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$7.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.50 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$7.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.87 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$8.47 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.87 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$8.47 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.25 | Size1,249.9214 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$9.09 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.008 |