Dragontree
0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$72,666.45
Active Markets
48
Positions Listed
48
Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,519.85 on — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,519.85 on — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$21,449.95 | Size29,999.9368 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L -$149.97 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$14,500.38 | Size17,365.72 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $1,290.21 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.761 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9,366.17 | Size12,219.3978 | Current Price0.766 | Cash P&L $1,158.07 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.672 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,468.93 | Size5,378.18 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $0.53 | Market End2026-11-09 | Avg Entry0.645 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,277.48 | Size3,846.8036 | Current Price0.852 | Cash P&L $959.39 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.603 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,953.33 | Size5,520.25 | Current Price0.535 | Cash P&L -$706.22 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.663 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,795.51 | Size3,071.99 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $30.72 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,340.94 | Size3,080.1885 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L -$11.36 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.764 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,029.01 | Size3,381.68 | Current Price0.600 | Cash P&L -$445.26 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.732 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,920.59 | Size3,879.9702 | Current Price0.495 | Cash P&L -$319.48 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.577 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,018.98 | Size1,066.99 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $764.80 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.238 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$669.97 | Size2,938.4752 | Current Price0.228 | Cash P&L $305.86 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.124 |
| Will Catherine O'Hara be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$582.48 | Size590.45 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $46.88 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.907 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$580.04 | Size644.49 | Current Price0.900 | Cash P&L $23.64 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.863 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$572.73 | Size597.53 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L $15.11 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.933 |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$447.22 | Size529.26 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $23.82 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$375.75 | Size450 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $33.75 | Market End2029-01-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$375.14 | Size506.9475 | Current Price0.740 | Cash P&L $30.42 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.680 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$361.49 | Size419.61 | Current Price0.862 | Cash P&L $342.16 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.046 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$351.29 | Size1,151.78 | Current Price0.305 | Cash P&L -$209.65 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.487 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$310.45 | Size4,139.3267 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$351.84 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.160 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$295.90 | Size5,380.08 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$617.71 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.170 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$292.79 | Size6,506.39 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L -$200.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.076 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$287.83 | Size3,234.0258 | Current Price0.089 | Cash P&L -$585.36 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.270 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$276.55 | Size790.15 | Current Price0.350 | Cash P&L -$156.94 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.549 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$213.10 | Size906.82 | Current Price0.235 | Cash P&L -$521.42 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$212.42 | Size3,862.2505 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$19.31 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.060 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$177.60 | Size554.99 | Current Price0.320 | Cash P&L -$133.20 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.560 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$149.79 | Size4,755.35 | Current Price0.032 | Cash P&L -$413.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.118 |
| SSI public model released by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$129.48 | Size550.97 | Current Price0.235 | Cash P&L -$70.37 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.363 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$128.39 | Size2,292.75 | Current Price0.056 | Cash P&L -$670.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.348 |
| SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$124.70 | Size307.91 | Current Price0.405 | Cash P&L -$11.87 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.444 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$107.04 | Size446.02 | Current Price0.240 | Cash P&L $26.09 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.181 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$78.06 | Size10,408.52 | Current Price0.007 | Cash P&L -$328.78 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.039 |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$67.50 | Size14,999.9756 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$12.33 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.005 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$65.20 | Size80 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $9.80 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.692 |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$46.52 | Size2,326.18 | Current Price0.020 | Cash P&L $23.26 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.010 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$38.89 | Size288.1008 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$47.46 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.300 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$36.02 | Size343 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$228.19 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$34.85 | Size849.97 | Current Price0.041 | Cash P&L -$47.28 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.097 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$30.55 | Size5,554.9773 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$47.22 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.014 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$30.00 | Size19,999.6884 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$24.20 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.003 |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$22.70 | Size4,540.92 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$158.74 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.040 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$20.03 | Size977.025 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L $9.28 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.011 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$19.78 | Size573.4062 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$71.59 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.159 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$19.29 | Size20 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $2.69 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.40 | Size2,114.1765 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$84.22 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.043 |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.21 | Size335.49 | Current Price0.018 | Cash P&L $0.99 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.015 |