Published artifact:
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Live trade history fetched live from Polymarket 2026-10-29 18:46 UTC — not part of the published run.
| Market | Outcome | State | Entry date | Avg Entry | Last trade / Close | Current / Close price | Current Value | Size | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-29 | 0.980 | 2026-10-29 | 0.972 | $5,467.21 | 5,627.6 | — |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-29 | 0.978 | 2026-10-29 | 0.977 | $8,142.77 | 8,334.46 | — |
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-29 | 0.980 | 2026-10-29 | 0.970 | $8,657.64 | 8,925.4 | — |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-29 | 0.953 | 2026-10-29 | 0.964 | $26,014.50 | 27,000 | — |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-03 | 0.998 | 2026-06-04 | 1.000 | — | — | $376.98 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-04-30 | 0.998 | 2026-05-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $289.45 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-01-31 | 0.983 | 2026-03-05 | 1.000 | — | — | $2,432.28 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-01-30 | 0.979 | 2026-03-04 | 1.000 | — | — | $2,686.22 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-01-30 | 0.947 | 2026-01-30 | 1.000 | — | — | $735.73 |
| Will JT Toppin win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.020 | 2025-12-31 | 0.000 | — | — | $2,347.20 |
| Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2025-2026 Naismith Men's College Player of the Year Award? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.020 | 2025-12-31 | 0.000 | — | — | $26,550.00 |
| Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.070 | 2025-12-31 | 0.961 | — | — | $5,084.32 |
| Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.070 | 2025-12-31 | 0.040 | — | — | $67,543.90 |
| Will Lady Gaga be on New Year's Rockin' Eve? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.060 | 2025-12-31 | 0.000 | — | — | $28,633.44 |
| Will Tom Brady be on New Year's Rockin' Eve? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2025-12-31 | 0.070 | 2025-12-31 | 0.000 | — | — | $18,649.00 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.000 | — | 0.000 | $0.00 | 9,999.991 | — |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.584 | — | 0.440 | $14.17 | 32.2 | — |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.985 | — | 0.825 | $1,655.00 | 2,006.06 | — |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.000 | — | 0.000 | $0.00 | 9,999.991 | — |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner ↗ | OutcomeAnyone's Legend | Open | — | 0.000 | — | 0.000 | $0.00 | 485 | — |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.000 | — | 0.000 | $0.00 | 9,999.991 | — |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.914 | — | 0.902 | $1,560.90 | 1,730.49 | — |
| Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.233 | — | 0.150 | $666.65 | 4,444.34 | — |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | — | 0.305 | — | 0.070 | $59.29 | 847.07 | — |
Some rows predate the bounded trade scan, so their date cells show — — the exact date is older than the reachable window, and we never substitute a snapshot date for it.
Showing at most 100 rows, one per market and outcome, newest last trade first. Trade history is live Polymarket data, not part of the published run; the current values above belong to no published ranking. Methodology.