knrad
0x4d0121458bb2f96c6440c0f3835d675ad3ce1645
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$96,312.32
Active Markets
88
Positions Listed
89
Last trade: Reduces its Yes position — $141.72 on — Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,097.97 on — Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10,168.14 | Size11,755.0798 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $1,010.97 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.779 |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$9,287.83 | Size9,540.6533 | Current Price0.974 | Cash P&L -$72.48 | Market End2028-03-31 | Avg Entry0.981 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7,697.82 | Size9,875.3254 | Current Price0.779 | Cash P&L $3,237.99 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.452 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$6,774.45 | Size7,168.7333 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $875.82 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.823 |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,391.55 | Size7,794.5686 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L $330.03 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.778 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5,513.10 | Size6,025.2499 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $352.47 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.857 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,492.20 | Size6,423.6276 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $15.01 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.853 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,487.80 | Size4,687 | Current Price0.958 | Cash P&L $59.95 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.945 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,099.80 | Size4,851.84 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$18.07 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.849 |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,021.82 | Size4,444 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L -$22.22 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,754.78 | Size4,696.41 | Current Price0.799 | Cash P&L $1,406.57 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.500 |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,026.29 | Size4,035.05 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L $52.92 | Market End2026-09-07 | Avg Entry0.737 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,892.01 | Size3,160.6695 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L -$4.69 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.916 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,447.92 | Size2,776.9914 | Current Price0.881 | Cash P&L $25.27 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.872 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,037.88 | Size3,159.5 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$690.21 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.863 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,709.32 | Size7,596.99 | Current Price0.225 | Cash P&L -$2,778.05 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.591 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,675.74 | Size1,801.8747 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $142.81 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.851 |
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,471.61 | Size1,479 | Current Price0.995 | Cash P&L $7.62 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.990 |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,074.34 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $52.22 | Market End2026-09-21 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,033.21 | Size1,110.9766 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L -$11.11 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$941.63 | Size4,696.41 | Current Price0.201 | Cash P&L -$1,406.57 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.500 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$861.02 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$27.77 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$719.30 | Size1,970.6754 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L -$19.19 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.375 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$581.86 | Size11,754.8418 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L $378.26 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.017 |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$568.33 | Size585 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L -$4.85 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.980 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$522.69 | Size1,130.14 | Current Price0.463 | Cash P&L $51.56 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.417 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$472.08 | Size731.9113 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $76.85 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.540 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$455.07 | Size907.42 | Current Price0.501 | Cash P&L -$43.66 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.550 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$452.50 | Size500.0014 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $80.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.744 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$450.58 | Size630.1758 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $19.92 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.683 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$418.70 | Size432.9872 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $64.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.817 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$391.60 | Size7,119.911 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L $47.81 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.048 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$359.12 | Size424.9912 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $72.13 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.675 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$357.12 | Size816.273 | Current Price0.438 | Cash P&L -$50.62 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.499 |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$282.01 | Size318.652 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $10.11 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.853 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$217.27 | Size1,671.3 | Current Price0.130 | Cash P&L -$300.83 | Market End2026-09-20 | Avg Entry0.310 |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$207.15 | Size221.9108 | Current Price0.933 | Cash P&L $6.21 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.905 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$194.19 | Size1,688.61 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$976.32 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.693 |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$189.53 | Size200.56 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $4.34 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.923 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$189.40 | Size200 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L $12.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.884 |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$177.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L -$1.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$161.33 | Size872.08 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L -$9.72 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.196 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$155.48 | Size3,455.08 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L -$51.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.060 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$143.55 | Size150 | Current Price0.957 | Cash P&L $15.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.855 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$136.72 | Size914.5259 | Current Price0.149 | Cash P&L -$69.90 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.226 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$122.54 | Size5,699.71 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L -$59.42 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.032 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$98.87 | Size661.3502 | Current Price0.149 | Cash P&L $16.37 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.125 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$98.51 | Size5,051.8656 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L $73.25 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.005 |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$96.24 | Size109.99 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $6.05 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$95.85 | Size110.9971 | Current Price0.864 | Cash P&L $6.60 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.804 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$85.05 | Size4,049.9871 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L -$0.28 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.021 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$78.20 | Size80 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $7.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$75.35 | Size78 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L $15.29 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$75.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$71.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.730 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$73.43 | Size1,468.6514 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L $15.04 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.040 |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$54.53 | Size57.1 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $9.42 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.790 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$53.44 | Size8,222 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L -$13.43 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$52.81 | Size8,125.3194 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L -$133.75 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.023 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$51.98 | Size354.8073 | Current Price0.146 | Cash P&L $4.96 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.133 |
| French election called by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$51.66 | Size868.23 | Current Price0.059 | Cash P&L -$30.56 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.095 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$49.36 | Size5,195.7484 | Current Price0.009 | Cash P&L $12.99 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.007 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$47.52 | Size1,611 | Current Price0.029 | Cash P&L $5.42 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.026 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$41.27 | Size3,301.9264 | Current Price0.013 | Cash P&L -$6.12 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.014 |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$37.88 | Size100.3549 | Current Price0.378 | Cash P&L $30.96 | Market End2026-09-21 | Avg Entry0.069 |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$37.59 | Size39.36 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $10.43 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.690 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$27.22 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L $17.22 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.009 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$23.10 | Size700 | Current Price0.033 | Cash P&L $5.50 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.025 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$22.66 | Size1,162.0233 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L $6.08 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.014 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$21.64 | Size110.99 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$17.20 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.350 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$20.90 | Size134.81 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$22.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.323 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$16.11 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.015 | Cash P&L -$7.22 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.021 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$12.76 | Size150.08 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$3.60 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.109 |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$12.37 | Size4,948.77 | Current Price0.003 | Cash P&L -$6.59 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.004 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.59 | Size1,545.64 | Current Price0.007 | Cash P&L -$172.69 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.119 |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.11 | Size22,222 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$22.20 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.001 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.11 | Size11,110.4251 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$55.55 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.006 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.02 | Size2,003.35 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$23.62 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.017 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$10.89 | Size3,112.7303 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$0.47 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.004 |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$10.45 | Size11 | Current Price0.950 | Cash P&L $0.22 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.39 | Size127.88 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L -$14.64 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.164 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.37 | Size1,158.25 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$2.90 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.20 | Size400 | Current Price0.015 | Cash P&L $1.40 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.012 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.15 | Size12,309.6398 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$80.01 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.007 |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5.20 | Size20 | Current Price0.260 | Cash P&L $3.48 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.086 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4.82 | Size875.7515 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$5.49 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.012 |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4.48 | Size4.69 | Current Price0.956 | Cash P&L $0.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4.44 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$6.67 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.010 |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.33 | Size3,333 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$2.45 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.002 |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2.05 | Size2.7027 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L $0.35 | Market End2027-04-18 | Avg Entry0.630 |