Elections Questions by Whale Capital

32 elections questions currently hold a whale position, out of the 657 active markets indexed by our system. See all questions.

Whale in Elections = a single active position of at least $2,500.00.

How this category's bar was set

That is the general bar: this category holds at least 25 positions at it, so no category-specific step-down was needed. Methodology.

Published artifact: 2026-10-10 22:09 UTC · run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed

7 of the 50 elections questions this run fetched hit the page cap, so their holder counts and capital are lower bounds; every marked row states its own coverage in the hint on its question. Methodology.

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Ranked by the capital whales have positioned in the question. A question belongs to exactly one curated category. Methodology.

Rank Question Ask Whale Capital Whale Holders Largest Position Outcomes USD Outcomes N
Rank1 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask Yes: 0.189No: 0.812 Whale Capital $27,251,620.78 Yes: $68,797.50No: $27,182,823.28 Whale Holders 242 Yes: 6No: 236 Largest Position $4,016,925.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $100,940.02No: $27,507,741.59 Outcomes N Yes: 1,506No: 2,263
Rank2 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.087No: 0.914 Whale Capital $1,807,753.95 Yes: $234,669.73No: $1,573,084.21 Whale Holders 37 Yes: 24No: 20 Largest Position $993,661.74 Outcomes USD Yes: $347,853.87No: $1,616,960.72 Outcomes N Yes: 1,486No: 403
Rank3 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.087No: 0.914 Whale Capital $1,636,495.32 Yes: $260,239.34No: $1,376,255.97 Whale Holders 47 Yes: 32No: 25 Largest Position $377,701.19 Outcomes USD Yes: $367,163.45No: $1,433,267.48 Outcomes N Yes: 2,134No: 651
Rank4 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.132No: 0.869 Whale Capital $1,199,273.24 Yes: $409,932.66No: $789,340.59 Whale Holders 50 Yes: 35No: 20 Largest Position $243,180.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $477,352.26No: $825,002.43 Outcomes N Yes: 764No: 436
Rank5 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.018No: 0.983 Whale Capital $697,789.23 Yes: $48,170.15No: $649,619.08 Whale Holders 17 Yes: 4No: 15 Largest Position $168,771.30 Outcomes USD Yes: $59,155.66No: $691,336.48 Outcomes N Yes: 144No: 829
Rank6 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.102No: 0.899 Whale Capital $406,609.63 Yes: $222,709.36No: $183,900.27 Whale Holders 33 Yes: 26No: 8 Largest Position $129,294.15 Outcomes USD Yes: $293,424.89No: $197,234.07 Outcomes N Yes: 438No: 209
Rank7 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.013No: 0.988 Whale Capital $354,808.29 Yes: $10,053.62No: $344,754.67 Whale Holders 13 Yes: 3No: 11 Largest Position $272,659.61 Outcomes USD Yes: $37,873.21No: $362,592.20 Outcomes N Yes: 503No: 439
Rank8 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask— Whale Capital $345,418.34 Yes: $0.00No: $345,418.34 Whale Holders 5 Yes: 0No: 5 Largest Position $149,925.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,502.04No: $377,989.50 Outcomes N Yes: 86No: 3,171
Rank9 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask— Whale Capital $297,244.05 Yes: $0.00No: $297,244.05 Whale Holders 4 Yes: 0No: 4 Largest Position $229,885.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,472.73No: $330,423.23 Outcomes N Yes: 98No: 3,183
Rank10 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.046No: 0.955 Whale Capital $129,337.82 Yes: $69,384.83No: $59,952.99 Whale Holders 13 Yes: 7No: 6 Largest Position $32,120.80 Outcomes USD Yes: $126,110.81No: $88,464.16 Outcomes N Yes: 594No: 421
Rank11 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask— Whale Capital $88,955.50 Yes: $0.00No: $88,955.50 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Largest Position $69,965.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,347.51No: $92,269.41 Outcomes N Yes: 142No: 146
Rank12 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask Yes: 0.002No: 0.999 Whale Capital $75,122.44 Yes: $0.00No: $75,122.44 Whale Holders 4 Yes: 0No: 4 Largest Position $49,925.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $4,086.87No: $92,096.06 Outcomes N Yes: 150No: 382
Rank13 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.030No: 0.971 Whale Capital $53,967.24 Yes: $48,791.50No: $5,175.74 Whale Holders 14 Yes: 13No: 1 Largest Position $6,701.68 Outcomes USD Yes: $79,405.14No: $14,012.77 Outcomes N Yes: 358No: 290
Rank14 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.028No: 0.973 Whale Capital $50,605.85 Yes: $43,312.10No: $7,293.75 Whale Holders 10 Yes: 8No: 2 Largest Position $10,893.25 Outcomes USD Yes: $74,255.55No: $20,429.91 Outcomes N Yes: 352No: 282
Rank15 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.023No: 0.978 Whale Capital $46,035.83 Yes: $41,148.33No: $4,887.50 Whale Holders 4 Yes: 3No: 1 Largest Position $18,940.91 Outcomes USD Yes: $60,546.90No: $11,882.48 Outcomes N Yes: 232No: 220
Rank16 Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.018No: 0.984 Whale Capital $45,957.23 Yes: $21,382.23No: $24,575.00 Whale Holders 6 Yes: 5No: 1 Largest Position $24,575.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $45,801.67No: $29,540.45 Outcomes N Yes: 192No: 133
Rank17 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.017No: 0.984 Whale Capital $28,511.69 Yes: $28,511.69No: $0.00 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 1No: 0 Largest Position $28,511.69 Outcomes USD Yes: $44,099.33No: $6,266.76 Outcomes N Yes: 243No: 218
Rank18 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.008No: 0.995 Whale Capital $26,211.65 Yes: $3,857.90No: $22,353.75 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 1No: 1 Largest Position $22,353.75 Outcomes USD Yes: $17,585.78No: $41,603.30 Outcomes N Yes: 197No: 231
Rank19 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.017No: 0.984 Whale Capital $18,811.22 Yes: $14,394.74No: $4,416.49 Whale Holders 5 Yes: 4No: 1 Largest Position $4,615.41 Outcomes USD Yes: $44,409.71No: $15,256.29 Outcomes N Yes: 226No: 213
Rank20 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.006No: 0.995 Whale Capital $14,230.34 Yes: $4,711.19No: $9,519.16 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 1No: 1 Largest Position $9,519.16 Outcomes USD Yes: $14,761.73No: $14,624.65 Outcomes N Yes: 129No: 234
Rank21 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.009No: 0.992 Whale Capital $13,715.45 Yes: $13,715.45No: $0.00 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 2No: 0 Largest Position $6,946.07 Outcomes USD Yes: $22,732.03No: $5,939.23 Outcomes N Yes: 122No: 285
Rank22 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.010No: 0.991 Whale Capital $12,662.78 Yes: $12,662.78No: $0.00 Whale Holders 3 Yes: 3No: 0 Largest Position $5,019.92 Outcomes USD Yes: $25,334.73No: $1,601.51 Outcomes N Yes: 157No: 95
Rank23 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.006No: 0.995 Whale Capital $10,782.51 Yes: $0.00No: $10,782.51 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 0No: 2 Largest Position $7,294.80 Outcomes USD Yes: $14,821.54No: $25,977.65 Outcomes N Yes: 206No: 567
Rank24 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask— Whale Capital $9,995.00 Yes: $0.00No: $9,995.00 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $9,995.00 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,311.47No: $13,821.91 Outcomes N Yes: 72No: 197
Rank25 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask Yes: 0.002No: 0.999 Whale Capital $8,933.18 Yes: $3,291.03No: $5,642.15 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 1No: 1 Largest Position $5,642.15 Outcomes USD Yes: $3,991.51No: $10,104.19 Outcomes N Yes: 53No: 335
Rank26 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.010No: 0.991 Whale Capital $7,501.56 Yes: $7,501.56No: $0.00 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 2No: 0 Largest Position $4,894.62 Outcomes USD Yes: $25,455.90No: $5,078.04 Outcomes N Yes: 199No: 171
Rank27 Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.005No: 0.996 Whale Capital $6,350.39 Yes: $6,350.39No: $0.00 Whale Holders 2 Yes: 2No: 0 Largest Position $3,556.26 Outcomes USD Yes: $12,023.95No: $3,670.23 Outcomes N Yes: 94No: 105
Rank28 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.004No: 0.997 Whale Capital $6,232.02 Yes: $6,232.02No: $0.00 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 1No: 0 Largest Position $6,232.02 Outcomes USD Yes: $9,331.93No: $4,518.65 Outcomes N Yes: 125No: 164
Rank29 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask— Whale Capital $3,798.10 Yes: $0.00No: $3,798.10 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $3,798.10 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,304.11No: $7,140.02 Outcomes N Yes: 99No: 212
Rank30 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask Yes: 0.002No: 0.999 Whale Capital $3,553.22 Yes: $0.00No: $3,553.22 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $3,553.22 Outcomes USD Yes: $3,979.92No: $16,643.16 Outcomes N Yes: 113No: 424
Rank31 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? truncated Ask— Whale Capital $2,998.50 Yes: $0.00No: $2,998.50 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $2,998.50 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,285.58No: $6,605.23 Outcomes N Yes: 128No: 281
Rank32 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Ask— Whale Capital $2,883.89 Yes: $0.00No: $2,883.89 Whale Holders 1 Yes: 0No: 1 Largest Position $2,883.89 Outcomes USD Yes: $1,306.09No: $5,580.73 Outcomes N Yes: 63No: 206