ifyouloveme
0x5a0d0c6eee71b96db16e5e271e0fa724be8dfa97
View on Polymarket ↗ Trade history →All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$98,313.35
Active Markets
126
Positions Listed
126
Last trade: Reduces its No position — $0.04 on — Republican House odds dip to 6% by November 1?. Last big trade: Reduces its No position — $2,354.84 on — Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry | Entry date | Last trade date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$19,495.36 | Size20,850.6566 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $3,651.69 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.760 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6,514.15 | Size9,110.7041 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $2,301.70 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.462 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5,555.55 | Size222,222.0556 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L $2,094.65 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.015 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,494.17 | Size5,813.9385 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $243.63 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.903 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,807.02 | Size5,400.0345 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $1,130.70 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.496 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,246.24 | Size4,739.0343 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L $277.30 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.626 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,015.80 | Size4,402.6273 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L $503.94 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.571 | Entry date2026-10-26 | Last trade date2026-10-26 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,671.39 | Size2,857.1 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $34.84 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.923 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,481.25 | Size2,500.0037 | Current Price0.993 | Cash P&L $1,688.69 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.317 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,808.60 | Size2,379.7316 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L $333.61 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.620 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,738.97 | Size1,830.49 | Current Price0.950 | Cash P&L $389.85 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.737 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US recession by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,536.62 | Size1,626.0477 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $135.81 | Market End2027-01-31 | Avg Entry0.861 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,429.99 | Size1,999.9922 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $150.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.640 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,420.06 | Size1,660.8875 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $288.47 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.681 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,360.00 | Size1,600 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $960.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.250 | Entry date2026-10-29 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,278.91 | Size2,459.4519 | Current Price0.520 | Cash P&L $278.92 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.406 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,266.08 | Size1,655.0081 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L $8.81 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.760 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,094.54 | Size1,954.5272 | Current Price0.560 | Cash P&L $546.09 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.281 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,025.90 | Size2,533.09 | Current Price0.405 | Cash P&L -$1.05 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.405 | Entry date2026-10-22 | Last trade date2026-10-26 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,014.41 | Size1,062.2044 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $94.42 | Market End2027-01-04 | Avg Entry0.866 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$998.84 | Size1,624.1258 | Current Price0.615 | Cash P&L $578.79 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.259 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$994.49 | Size1,858.8686 | Current Price0.535 | Cash P&L $295.83 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.376 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$955.75 | Size1,005 | Current Price0.951 | Cash P&L $443.20 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.510 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$948.86 | Size2,635.7119 | Current Price0.360 | Cash P&L -$16.04 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.366 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$943.63 | Size1,715.6945 | Current Price0.550 | Cash P&L -$58.25 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.584 | Entry date2026-10-30 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$926.38 | Size940.0058 | Current Price0.986 | Cash P&L $242.92 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.727 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$895.13 | Size1,170.1025 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L $93.38 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.685 | Entry date— | Last trade date2026-10-31 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$848.86 | Size1,732.3713 | Current Price0.490 | Cash P&L $102.11 | Market End1970-01-01 | Avg Entry0.431 | Entry date2026-10-30 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$814.69 | Size883.611 | Current Price0.922 | Cash P&L $90.92 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.819 | Entry date2026-10-16 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$814.46 | Size1,916.37 | Current Price0.425 | Cash P&L $164.46 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.339 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$775.00 | Size2,500.0056 | Current Price0.310 | Cash P&L -$5.10 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.312 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$768.12 | Size1,551.7566 | Current Price0.495 | Cash P&L $392.57 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.242 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$737.86 | Size1,190.09 | Current Price0.620 | Cash P&L $22.87 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.601 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$715.81 | Size1,029.9405 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $402.02 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.305 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$692.01 | Size800.0059 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $404.88 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.359 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$689.15 | Size700 | Current Price0.985 | Cash P&L $409.15 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.400 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$622.87 | Size764.26 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $100.09 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.684 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$590.97 | Size782.7411 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $161.30 | Market End2027-01-21 | Avg Entry0.549 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$586.66 | Size916.655 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L $36.67 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.600 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$578.94 | Size877.1834 | Current Price0.660 | Cash P&L $78.95 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.570 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$550.00 | Size100,000 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L $150.04 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.004 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$490.53 | Size690.8832 | Current Price0.710 | Cash P&L -$10.20 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.725 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$490.41 | Size547.94 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $90.41 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.730 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$475.69 | Size537.5 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $222.83 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.470 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$456.51 | Size634.045 | Current Price0.720 | Cash P&L $207.20 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.393 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$440.72 | Size625.1353 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $111.63 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.526 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$437.57 | Size653.09 | Current Price0.670 | Cash P&L $37.57 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.612 | Entry date2026-10-29 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$400.00 | Size444.44 | Current Price0.900 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.900 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$352.11 | Size711.3256 | Current Price0.495 | Cash P&L -$99.40 | Market End2027-03-15 | Avg Entry0.635 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Democrats win exactly 10 House seats in New Jersey in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$348.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.580 | Cash P&L -$77.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.708 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$337.50 | Size2,327.56 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L $37.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.129 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 4, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$323.68 | Size340.9 | Current Price0.950 | Cash P&L $25.57 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.875 | Entry date2026-10-29 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$307.88 | Size508.89 | Current Price0.605 | Cash P&L -$50.83 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.705 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$306.96 | Size889.7433 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L $112.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.218 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$297.22 | Size555.55 | Current Price0.535 | Cash P&L -$2.78 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.540 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$296.10 | Size300 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $14.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.940 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$293.29 | Size383.3858 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L -$2.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.772 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$286.00 | Size799.99 | Current Price0.357 | Cash P&L -$16.40 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.378 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$283.50 | Size700.0066 | Current Price0.405 | Cash P&L $73.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.300 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$278.07 | Size604.5 | Current Price0.460 | Cash P&L $10.08 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.443 | Entry date2026-10-23 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$265.99 | Size278.96 | Current Price0.954 | Cash P&L $3.32 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.942 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$265.90 | Size269.1323 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $82.31 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.682 | Entry date2026-10-22 | Last trade date2026-10-26 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$262.53 | Size617.72 | Current Price0.425 | Cash P&L $64.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.320 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$257.35 | Size294.11 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $157.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.340 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$253.50 | Size256.84 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $57.61 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.763 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada Attorney General election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$242.39 | Size277.02 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $5.76 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.854 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-10 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$236.72 | Size290.46 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $120.44 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.400 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$226.74 | Size235.57 | Current Price0.963 | Cash P&L $26.74 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.849 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$223.88 | Size344.4356 | Current Price0.650 | Cash P&L $34.62 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.549 | Entry date2026-10-29 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$208.33 | Size833.32 | Current Price0.250 | Cash P&L $83.33 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.150 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$204.35 | Size869.5628 | Current Price0.235 | Cash P&L $4.35 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.230 | Entry date2026-10-31 | Last trade date2026-10-31 |
| Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$199.41 | Size200.01 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $61.40 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.690 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$199.23 | Size585.98 | Current Price0.340 | Cash P&L $24.64 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.298 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$195.63 | Size271.71 | Current Price0.720 | Cash P&L -$10.87 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.760 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 80% by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$194.03 | Size408.4948 | Current Price0.475 | Cash P&L -$148.11 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.838 | Entry date2026-10-18 | Last trade date2026-10-24 |
| Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$193.43 | Size383.02 | Current Price0.505 | Cash P&L $64.63 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.336 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$188.87 | Size401.85 | Current Price0.470 | Cash P&L $14.38 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.434 | Entry date2026-10-28 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$188.83 | Size547.3448 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L $83.00 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.193 | Entry date2026-10-26 | Last trade date2026-10-26 |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$182.75 | Size232.8 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L -$10.28 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.829 | Entry date2026-10-28 | Last trade date2026-10-29 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$182.59 | Size1,141.19 | Current Price0.160 | Cash P&L -$50.27 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.204 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-27 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$172.09 | Size465.11 | Current Price0.370 | Cash P&L -$27.91 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.430 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$160.38 | Size167.85 | Current Price0.956 | Cash P&L $2.81 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.939 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$151.74 | Size205.06 | Current Price0.740 | Cash P&L $6.15 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.710 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$143.97 | Size173.46 | Current Price0.830 | Cash P&L $14.11 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.749 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$139.68 | Size423.9 | Current Price0.330 | Cash P&L $31.46 | Market End2027-12-31 | Avg Entry0.255 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$138.16 | Size657.89 | Current Price0.210 | Cash P&L $14.84 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.187 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$124.80 | Size195 | Current Price0.640 | Cash P&L $1.95 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.630 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$119.94 | Size120 | Current Price1.000 | Cash P&L $45.04 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.624 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$98.30 | Size103.09 | Current Price0.954 | Cash P&L -$1.70 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.970 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 40% or more? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$93.39 | Size277.1187 | Current Price0.337 | Cash P&L -$16.01 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.395 | Entry date2026-10-30 | Last trade date2026-10-31 |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$91.95 | Size311.71 | Current Price0.295 | Cash P&L -$70.90 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.522 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$91.12 | Size109.13 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $8.18 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.760 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$85.86 | Size87.48 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L $26.22 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.682 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$85.10 | Size1,575.84 | Current Price0.054 | Cash P&L -$19.08 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.066 | Entry date2026-10-20 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$83.92 | Size119.04 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$16.07 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.840 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$82.46 | Size2,425.3 | Current Price0.034 | Cash P&L -$57.60 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.058 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$81.75 | Size97.32 | Current Price0.840 | Cash P&L -$0.97 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.850 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$81.12 | Size1,158.83 | Current Price0.070 | Cash P&L -$7.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.076 | Entry date2026-10-25 | Last trade date2026-10-25 |
| Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$80.60 | Size204.06 | Current Price0.395 | Cash P&L $0.91 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.391 | Entry date2026-10-30 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$70.94 | Size497.8 | Current Price0.142 | Cash P&L -$23.15 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.189 | Entry date2026-10-28 | Last trade date2026-10-28 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$70.00 | Size100 | Current Price0.700 | Cash P&L -$8.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.780 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$65.25 | Size149.9978 | Current Price0.435 | Cash P&L $6.75 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.390 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$64.07 | Size75.82 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$0.38 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.850 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$63.75 | Size250 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L -$10.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.296 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$63.74 | Size68.43 | Current Price0.931 | Cash P&L $5.80 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.847 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$62.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.125 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.130 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will voter turnout be 78% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$61.28 | Size74.28 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L -$7.82 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.930 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$59.55 | Size1,026.78 | Current Price0.058 | Cash P&L -$14.73 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.072 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-27 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$59.50 | Size100 | Current Price0.595 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.620 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Graham Platner divorce by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$55.15 | Size55.5155 | Current Price0.994 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.939 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$55.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.275 | Cash P&L $5.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.250 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$53.52 | Size139 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L -$15.18 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.494 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$52.38 | Size180.63 | Current Price0.290 | Cash P&L -$2.81 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.305 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$50.00 | Size714.28 | Current Price0.070 | Cash P&L -$50.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.140 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$47.06 | Size48 | Current Price0.981 | Cash P&L -$0.46 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.990 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$46.07 | Size98.03 | Current Price0.470 | Cash P&L -$3.02 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.501 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$39.00 | Size40 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $15.45 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.589 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$37.65 | Size327.42 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$31.10 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.210 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$30.57 | Size30.99 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $2.37 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.910 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$30.49 | Size49.17 | Current Price0.620 | Cash P&L $0.98 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.600 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seat in Tennessee in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$27.30 | Size182 | Current Price0.150 | Cash P&L -$7.36 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.190 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$20.70 | Size600.0041 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$72.90 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.156 | Entry date2026-10-29 | Last trade date2026-10-30 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$18.95 | Size533.71 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$49.41 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.128 | Entry date2026-10-28 | Last trade date2026-10-28 |
| Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by January 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$14.10 | Size20 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $1.10 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.650 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8.82 | Size12.53 | Current Price0.704 | Cash P&L -$1.18 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.798 | Entry date— | Last trade date— |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.00 | Size1,333.32 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$248.25 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.188 | Entry date2026-10-27 | Last trade date2026-10-27 |
Entry date and Last trade date are fetched live from Polymarket for this wallet — not part of the published run. A miss renders — until the live history loads.