dromedaryy

0x6575759174ad221bba9947bc3f18750ec769b198

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$520,354.97
Active Markets
30
Positions Listed
30

Last trade: Adds its No position — $27,067.37 on — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $27,067.37 on — Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$241,001.81 Size327,893.6127 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $10,771.96 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.702
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$70,860.18 Size745,896.5918 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L $10,539.90 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.081
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$31,325.70 Size32,311.1902 Current Price0.970 Cash P&L $1,437.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.925
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$27,263.95 Size30,242.87 Current Price0.901 Cash P&L $196.59 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.895
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24,677.53 Size141,014.4675 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L $357.22 Market End2029-01-01 Avg Entry0.172
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24,047.70 Size38,786.62 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.620
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$23,240.28 Size23,357.07 Current Price0.995 Cash P&L $5,488.91 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.760
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$14,595.92 Size47,083.62 Current Price0.310 Cash P&L $941.67 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.290
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$13,181.57 Size28,749.33 Current Price0.459 Cash P&L -$194.07 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.465
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12,968.89 Size18,138.3029 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $453.46 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.690
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9,368.33 Size110,215.66 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L $2,755.39 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.060
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7,552.68 Size32,139.062 Current Price0.235 Cash P&L $138.34 Market End2030-01-01 Avg Entry0.231
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,749.99 Size49,999.901 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L -$2,250.00 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.140
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,923.57 Size126,566.8352 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L -$17,213.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.167
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,293.83 Size3,556.3212 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $1,648.07 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.181
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,289.17 Size5,031.1461 Current Price0.455 Cash P&L -$96.26 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.474
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,307.44 Size7,579.38 Current Price0.172 Cash P&L $170.54 Market End2028-04-01 Avg Entry0.150
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,158.33 Size17,820.43 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$2,227.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.190
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,006.21 Size3,194.32 Current Price0.315 Cash P&L $79.86 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.290
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$756.70 Size5,218.6 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$716.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.282
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$642.82 Size2,255.4925 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L $56.39 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.260
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$443.00 Size885,998.764 Current Price0.001 Cash P&L -$443.00 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.001
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$376.45 Size1,673.1 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L -$138.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.307
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$367.14 Size1,727.7002 Current Price0.212 Cash P&L -$82.07 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.260
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$347.11 Size392.22 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $5.88 Market End2026-12-16 Avg Entry0.870
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$324.71 Size2,497.75 Current Price0.130 Cash P&L -$99.91 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.170
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$110.40 Size552 Current Price0.200 Cash P&L -$59.02 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.307
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$83.16 Size923.99 Current Price0.090 Cash P&L -$104.00 Market End2027-01-02 Avg Entry0.203
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$45.44 Size5,679.5 Current Price0.008 Cash P&L -$2,794.31 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.500
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$44.98 Size9,994.8 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$5,925.57 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.597