stupid22

0x8afa03dd6974e44d00c4d14dcccb00c0ddf6adb6

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$780,101.20
Active Markets
43
Positions Listed
43

Last trade: Adds its No position — $2,538.57 on — Iran leadership change by November 30?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $2,538.57 on — Iran leadership change by November 30?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$222,494.28 Size240,534.3553 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L -$2,818.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.937
Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$187,608.62 Size211,987.1461 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $5,143.66 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.861
Iran leadership change by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$100,806.77 Size101,825.0191 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $1,067.84 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.980
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$25,349.97 Size29,999.9671 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L -$450.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.860
Iran leadership change by November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$20,925.77 Size22,995.35 Current Price0.910 Cash P&L -$631.43 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.937
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$19,840.00 Size20,000.0038 Current Price0.992 Cash P&L $149.12 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.985
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18,952.55 Size21,295 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L -$1,083.43 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.941
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18,692.70 Size20,208.3217 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $141.13 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.918
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$17,664.75 Size19,305.7323 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L -$252.60 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.928
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$16,100.24 Size16,470.8328 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $463.23 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.949
Cuban regime falls in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$14,305.49 Size15,807.17 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $137.11 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.896
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11,603.99 Size11,999.9907 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $338.04 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.939
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11,598.05 Size12,247.1456 Current Price0.947 Cash P&L $544.57 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.902
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10,319.99 Size15,999.9855 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$2,729.88 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.816
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,550.30 Size10,000.3186 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $61.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.949
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,541.94 Size10,428.35 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $365.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.880
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,193.68 Size9,439.1016 Current Price0.974 Cash P&L $239.81 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.949
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8,787.40 Size18,999.7944 Current Price0.463 Cash P&L $2,530.78 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.329
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,312.61 Size7,360.4551 Current Price0.994 Cash P&L $74.93 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.983
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,227.01 Size7,116.5829 Current Price0.875 Cash P&L $199.64 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.847
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 20? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,997.50 Size5,000 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.999
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,970.12 Size10,081.3818 Current Price0.493 Cash P&L $2,033.98 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.291
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,626.19 Size6,047.3052 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $318.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.712
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,858.00 Size4,000 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $50.01 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.952
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,306.13 Size3,653.18 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $18.27 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.900
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,679.27 Size10,110.4575 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L -$1,210.11 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.385
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 20? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,669.12 Size1,669.95 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $0.84 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.999
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,639.99 Size1,999.9842 Current Price0.820 Cash P&L $20.00 Market End2028-04-01 Avg Entry0.810
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,493.01 Size1,557.648 Current Price0.959 Cash P&L $39.01 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.933
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,383.98 Size1,394.441 Current Price0.993 Cash P&L $14.36 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.982
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$746.03 Size753.1863 Current Price0.991 Cash P&L $9.41 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.978
Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$403.50 Size418.3542 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $8.58 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.944
France declares state of siege (martial law) by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$357.51 Size361.4846 Current Price0.989 Cash P&L $1.45 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.985
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$218.54 Size301.4311 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L -$28.64 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.820
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$135.88 Size140.5905 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $7.34 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.914
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$135.00 Size500 Current Price0.270 Cash P&L -$85.00 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.440
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$128.66 Size135.2185 Current Price0.952 Cash P&L $18.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.814
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$119.15 Size124.7 Current Price0.956 Cash P&L $6.67 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.902
Will Hsu Shu-hua win the next Nantou County Magistrate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$116.74 Size122.88 Current Price0.950 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.950
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 20? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$97.04 Size97.09 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $0.05 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.999
France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$85.27 Size86.3443 Current Price0.988 Cash P&L $0.30 Market End2026-10-22 Avg Entry0.984
Will Chen Ting-fei win the next Tainan Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$53.76 Size60.07 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $1.61 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.868
China coup attempt before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4.71 Size4.88 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $0.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.947