Mecky

0xa82b0e89cf734e2fa70cbd52ca65c77d64595220

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$69,375.26
Active Markets
93
Positions Listed
93

Last trade: Adds its No position — $71.00 on — Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,400.00 on — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11,767.07 Size16,009.6184 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $872.84 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.680
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,605.00 Size8,999.9997 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $17.04 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.843
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,375.96 Size10,040.8762 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $77.80 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.627
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,774.98 Size6,599.9785 Current Price0.875 Cash P&L $189.03 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.846
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,515.00 Size7,000 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $95.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.631
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,287.25 Size5,499.9997 Current Price0.779 Cash P&L $615.50 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.667
No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,922.39 Size2,655.2405 Current Price0.724 Cash P&L -$12.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.729
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,862.50 Size2,500 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $22.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.736
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,312.50 Size3,000.0094 Current Price0.438 Cash P&L -$221.49 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.511
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,290.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$15.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.652
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,285.56 Size2,024.51 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L -$61.19 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.665
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,160.80 Size3,414.12 Current Price0.340 Cash P&L -$222.34 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.405
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,130.74 Size3,015.2958 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L $35.39 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.363
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,081.60 Size1,395.61 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $92.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.709
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$870.00 Size1,200 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $106.00 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.637
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$869.18 Size1,347.57 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $30.22 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.623
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$842.39 Size2,243.39 Current Price0.376 Cash P&L -$381.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.545
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$833.65 Size1,662.32 Current Price0.501 Cash P&L -$101.96 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.563
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$815.08 Size2,063.505 Current Price0.395 Cash P&L $41.09 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.375
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$759.12 Size1,047.0588 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $17.12 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.709
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$664.99 Size999.99 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.670
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$620.00 Size800 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L -$20.00 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.800
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$451.00 Size1,100 Current Price0.410 Cash P&L -$106.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.506
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$432.50 Size500 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$7.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.880
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$420.00 Size4,000 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L -$140.00 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.140
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$407.50 Size500 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L -$17.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.850
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$382.50 Size500.0056 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $27.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.711
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$371.61 Size576.14 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$70.26 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.767
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$367.50 Size1,499.9816 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L -$62.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.287
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$359.43 Size2,404.2049 Current Price0.149 Cash P&L -$26.07 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.160
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$357.50 Size500 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.710
Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$354.00 Size400 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $10.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.860
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$334.00 Size400 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L -$2.00 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.840
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$317.50 Size500 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $82.50 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.470
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$313.64 Size1,229.9744 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L -$60.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.304
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$290.00 Size1,999.99 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L $10.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.140
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-20? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$283.50 Size385.7142 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $12.50 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.703
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$283.20 Size299.9953 Current Price0.944 Cash P&L $9.90 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.911
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$263.94 Size1,665.2422 Current Price0.159 Cash P&L $25.81 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.143
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$259.51 Size300.0063 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $61.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.660
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$256.30 Size397.36 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $121.20 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.340
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$251.26 Size332.8 Current Price0.755 Cash P&L $97.26 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.463
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$246.41 Size714.2205 Current Price0.345 Cash P&L -$218.41 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.651
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$230.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$205.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.217
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$228.68 Size1,456.56 Current Price0.157 Cash P&L $92.13 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.094
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$220.00 Size2,000.03 Current Price0.110 Cash P&L -$266.76 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.243
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$212.50 Size500 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L -$2.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.430
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$212.50 Size500 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L -$7.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.440
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$210.00 Size350.0071 Current Price0.600 Cash P&L $129.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.230
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$194.42 Size246.1 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $10.58 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.747
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$192.50 Size500 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $27.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.330
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$173.00 Size200 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $7.00 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.830
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$173.00 Size200 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$1.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.870
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$172.92 Size238.5088 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $15.50 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.660
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$172.50 Size500 Current Price0.345 Cash P&L -$92.50 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.530
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$167.66 Size191.9418 Current Price0.874 Cash P&L $3.55 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.855
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$155.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$20.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.175
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$145.70 Size6,200 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L -$269.33 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.067
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$141.67 Size333.3333 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L -$58.33 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.600
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$140.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.070 Cash P&L -$93.00 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.116
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$127.00 Size200 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $11.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.580
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$107.65 Size1,708.71 Current Price0.063 Cash P&L $29.05 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.046
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$99.12 Size175.4385 Current Price0.565 Cash P&L -$0.88 Market End2026-10-21 Avg Entry0.570
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$99.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$21.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.060
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$98.70 Size131.6862 Current Price0.750 Cash P&L $0.33 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.747
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$93.50 Size1,099.9573 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$86.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.164
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$85.50 Size123.0275 Current Price0.695 Cash P&L $1.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.680
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$82.81 Size128.39 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$4.49 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.680
Celtics vs. Pistons ↗ OutcomeCeltics Current Value$81.50 Size100 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $27.50 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.540
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$72.00 Size3,000 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L $33.00 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.013
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$67.50 Size500.0076 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.130
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$55.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$95.00 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.150
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$47.70 Size1,538.55 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L $1.10 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.030
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$42.50 Size500 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.080
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.00 Size200 Current Price0.195 Cash P&L -$43.00 Market End2026-10-20 Avg Entry0.410
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$38.76 Size1,020 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L -$12.24 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.050
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$34.25 Size500 Current Price0.069 Cash P&L -$5.25 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.079
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$32.58 Size52.17 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L $13.38 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.368
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.032 Cash P&L -$18.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.050
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.13 Size74.68 Current Price0.390 Cash P&L $1.49 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.370
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.50 Size1,266.79 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L -$9.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.030
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.00 Size200 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$1.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.140
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$26.77 Size350 Current Price0.076 Cash P&L -$0.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.078
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$25.00 Size499.99 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$10.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.070
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.11 Size31.82 Current Price0.695 Cash P&L -$3.34 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.800
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$56.00 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.039
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$14.52 Size33.37 Current Price0.435 Cash P&L $0.50 Market End2026-10-21 Avg Entry0.420
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.25 Size500 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$0.25 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.027
Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$1.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.007
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.38 Size18.2071 Current Price0.570 Cash P&L -$2.73 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.720
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.010 Cash P&L -$10.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.90 Size100 Current Price0.059 Cash P&L -$31.10 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.370
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.51 Size40.7307 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L $0.16 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.033