bifurcatio
0xa9ea2f23772e0e374598b895194ec404bf7d1043
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$175,222.74
Active Markets
46
Positions Listed
46
Last trade: Reduces its No position — $4.05 on — Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?. Last big trade: Reduces its No position — $1,096.67 on — Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$47,303.54 | Size74,493.76 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$372.39 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$27,253.75 | Size32,252.96 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$134.04 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.849 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$26,284.52 | Size46,728.03 | Current Price0.562 | Cash P&L $2,175.70 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.516 |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,851.11 | Size17,021.37 | Current Price0.520 | Cash P&L $295.93 | Market End2027-10-25 | Avg Entry0.503 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7,704.59 | Size7,755 | Current Price0.994 | Cash P&L $337.40 | Market End2026-10-22 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$7,036.90 | Size8,964.2 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L -$134.46 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,748.95 | Size3,895.01 | Current Price0.963 | Cash P&L -$18.35 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.967 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,056.77 | Size3,359.09 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $397.32 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.792 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,891.95 | Size3,174.48 | Current Price0.911 | Cash P&L $22.99 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.904 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,430.93 | Size2,642.32 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L -$26.42 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,038.38 | Size2,180.09 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $119.91 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,934.62 | Size1,970.08 | Current Price0.982 | Cash P&L $184.89 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.888 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,790.44 | Size1,914.91 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L -$38.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.955 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,722.60 | Size1,877.49 | Current Price0.917 | Cash P&L $33.33 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,630.93 | Size1,790.26 | Current Price0.911 | Cash P&L $1.79 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,592.68 | Size1,779.53 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $281.86 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.737 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,549.39 | Size1,554.83 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $236.70 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.844 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,541.23 | Size1,709.63 | Current Price0.901 | Cash P&L -$14.53 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,502.70 | Size1,550.77 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $20.98 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.955 |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,425.25 | Size1,438.19 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L $80.02 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.935 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,275.05 | Size1,416.72 | Current Price0.900 | Cash P&L -$26.07 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.918 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,168.50 | Size1,236.5058 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $168.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.809 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,152.99 | Size1,180.74 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $17.48 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.962 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,147.90 | Size1,177.9371 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $147.90 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.849 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,098.00 | Size1,200 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L -$6.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,073.86 | Size1,136.3636 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $73.86 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,050.37 | Size1,147.94 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $170.47 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.766 |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,050.00 | Size1,063.8297 | Current Price0.987 | Cash P&L $50.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,041.06 | Size1,074.37 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L -$0.82 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.970 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,034.62 | Size1,037.735 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $34.62 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.964 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,021.40 | Size1,035.9068 | Current Price0.986 | Cash P&L $21.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.965 |
| Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,009.26 | Size1,035.1426 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $9.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.966 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$971.97 | Size1,185.33 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L $26.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.797 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$968.21 | Size1,035.52 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $27.90 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.908 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$955.00 | Size970.53 | Current Price0.984 | Cash P&L $105.50 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.875 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$938.79 | Size1,111 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$38.88 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$836.40 | Size904.22 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $13.56 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$792.69 | Size938.09 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$16.97 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.863 |
| Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$583.22 | Size603.44 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $21.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.931 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$568.34 | Size611.12 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $0.05 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$567.46 | Size588.04 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $17.24 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.936 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$547.32 | Size602.78 | Current Price0.908 | Cash P&L -$25.14 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$491.27 | Size501.81 | Current Price0.979 | Cash P&L $4.01 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.971 |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$301.86 | Size314.44 | Current Price0.960 | Cash P&L $5.49 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.943 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$201.95 | Size213.36 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L -$4.79 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.969 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$84.00 | Size87 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L -$0.89 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.976 |