881112

0xd426adbc3c4461c86099c26221c877f20e42334a

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$55,197.83
Active Markets
40
Positions Listed
40

Last trade: Reduces its Yes position — $0.00 on — Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,040.05 on — Iran full airspace closure by December 31?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,413.63 Size9,909.0818 Current Price0.950 Cash P&L $845.71 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.865
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,817.52 Size4,941.0449 Current Price0.975 Cash P&L $3,537.33 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.259
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,483.18 Size19,903.8865 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$1,214.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.236
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,876.37 Size4,388.06 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L $681.82 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.500
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,750.58 Size4,622.8307 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L -$10.83 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.597
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,664.68 Size12,998.4465 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L -$211.72 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.221
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,504.10 Size2,507.86 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $248.43 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.899
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,379.31 Size4,711.5 Current Price0.505 Cash P&L $934.38 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.307
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,237.50 Size2,500 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $486.51 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.700
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,901.29 Size6,671.2031 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L $210.70 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.253
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,825.05 Size2,664.3 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $323.80 Market End2027-01-28 Avg Entry0.563
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,747.70 Size4,923.1081 Current Price0.355 Cash P&L $69.44 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.341
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,710.92 Size3,162.5138 Current Price0.541 Cash P&L $814.16 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.283
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,685.32 Size10,908.2318 Current Price0.154 Cash P&L -$250.97 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.177
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,368.51 Size6,082.2502 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L $203.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.192
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,259.14 Size3,546.8733 Current Price0.355 Cash P&L -$692.57 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.550
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,161.28 Size2,903.21 Current Price0.400 Cash P&L $110.13 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.362
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$890.66 Size17,294.2954 Current Price0.051 Cash P&L -$2,299.35 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.184
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$817.81 Size3,803.7679 Current Price0.215 Cash P&L -$79.53 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.236
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$767.99 Size15,834.7536 Current Price0.049 Cash P&L -$2,076.81 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.180
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$756.87 Size3,692.0297 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L -$230.76 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.268
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$730.70 Size7,691.57 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L -$192.29 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.120
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$728.11 Size6,386.9449 Current Price0.114 Cash P&L $196.10 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.083
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$615.82 Size5,354.99 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$1,201.56 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.339
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$602.59 Size18,260.4523 Current Price0.033 Cash P&L -$2,397.57 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.164
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$584.78 Size8,065.9739 Current Price0.072 Cash P&L -$615.68 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.149
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$580.86 Size12,908.03 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$2,063.76 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.205
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$419.06 Size7,619.2643 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$1,562.10 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.260
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$405.75 Size9,016.7043 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$1,084.69 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.165
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$344.88 Size5,305.9 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$374.15 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.136
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$238.58 Size11,929.16 Current Price0.020 Cash P&L -$357.87 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.050
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$217.35 Size6,122.534 Current Price0.035 Cash P&L -$73.07 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.047
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$180.54 Size5,554.9862 Current Price0.033 Cash P&L $30.55 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.027
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$141.65 Size16,664.8506 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$35.88 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.011
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$114.23 Size12,692.4072 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$985.64 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.087
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$86.66 Size4,443.9634 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$28.89 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.026
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$79.17 Size4,060.2284 Current Price0.019 Cash P&L -$838.94 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.226
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$49.51 Size3,536.78 Current Price0.014 Cash P&L $42.44 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.002
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$31.91 Size5,318.6363 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$324.32 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.067
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$26.25 Size2,499.9926 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$98.75 Market End2027-01-28 Avg Entry0.050