TheRealWarMonger
0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$141,226.05
Active Markets
29
Positions Listed
29
Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $850.00 on — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,720.00 on — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$36,718.17 | Size42,945.2267 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $1,689.16 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.816 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26,175.59 | Size33,579.9779 | Current Price0.779 | Cash P&L -$2,470.48 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.853 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$21,044.70 | Size22,751.0314 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L -$98.63 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.929 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$19,204.47 | Size21,699.9692 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L -$193.11 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.894 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,433.75 | Size9,749.9957 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L -$527.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.919 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,040.99 | Size8,599.9855 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L -$2.98 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.935 |
| New pandemic in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,786.90 | Size2,900.0027 | Current Price0.961 | Cash P&L $78.90 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.934 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,723.72 | Size3,321.6153 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L -$81.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.845 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,635.00 | Size3,400 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L $51.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,445.00 | Size3,000 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L -$270.00 | Market End2026-12-10 | Avg Entry0.905 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,343.60 | Size2,400 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $97.71 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.936 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,949.31 | Size1,965.0269 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $9.82 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.987 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,276.70 | Size3,399.9971 | Current Price0.376 | Cash P&L -$1,013.49 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.673 |
| Will Trump endorse Lula da Silva for President of Brazil? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$894.60 | Size900 | Current Price0.994 | Cash P&L $30.60 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.960 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$823.50 | Size6,099.999 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L $16.51 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.132 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$688.00 | Size743.78 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $11.16 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$603.98 | Size799.9785 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $28.00 | Market End2026-12-16 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$495.00 | Size500 | Current Price0.990 | Cash P&L $4.50 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.981 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$478.75 | Size486.5326 | Current Price0.984 | Cash P&L $9.36 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.965 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$406.48 | Size415.84 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $4.74 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.966 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$354.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L -$2.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$289.41 | Size297.75 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $3.57 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.960 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$151.03 | Size159.82 | Current Price0.945 | Cash P&L $2.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$112.21 | Size120.01 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $10.98 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.843 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$45.66 | Size47 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $0.45 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.962 |
| Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$39.17 | Size39.99 | Current Price0.980 | Cash P&L $1.58 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$29.02 | Size134.981 | Current Price0.215 | Cash P&L -$70.98 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.741 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$22.54 | Size36.0572 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L $2.34 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.560 |
| Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$14.79 | Size19.4631 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L -$0.97 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.810 |