grinder1011

0xeed7c2e6c4e998fd50098b66144ee8dff01d16b2

View on Polymarket ↗

All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$86,178.66
Active Markets
206
Positions Listed
207

Last trade: Adds its No position — $5.36 on — Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,030.52 on — Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$15,753.17 Size17,800.1873 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $905.89 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.834
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,191.49 Size10,099.9791 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L -$184.73 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.433
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,570.91 Size5,213 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L -$68.87 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.698
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,518.57 Size8,279 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L $41.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.420
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,420.63 Size5,030.3403 Current Price0.680 Cash P&L -$123.65 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.705
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,980.00 Size4,000 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $60.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.730
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,915.87 Size6,860.8719 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L $34.32 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.420
Blue tsunami in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,697.49 Size5,505.08 Current Price0.490 Cash P&L $15.46 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.487
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,692.86 Size14,172.97 Current Price0.190 Cash P&L -$2,483.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.365
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,224.89 Size3,677.509 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L -$330.87 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.695
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,147.26 Size2,385.84 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $143.15 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.840
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,007.54 Size5,500.105 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L $252.53 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.319
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,774.43 Size2,273.4494 Current Price0.780 Cash P&L $42.83 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.762
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,643.65 Size2,120.8366 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L -$124.18 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.834
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,636.90 Size3,264 Current Price0.501 Cash P&L -$17.18 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.507
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,537.10 Size5,123.6665 Current Price0.300 Cash P&L $329.84 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.236
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,366.00 Size4,478.68 Current Price0.305 Cash P&L $31.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.298
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,230.78 Size4,172.1247 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L $248.02 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.235
Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,166.79 Size1,311 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $62.07 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.843
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,065.56 Size1,291.59 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L -$5.96 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.830
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$977.29 Size2,538.41 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $217.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.299
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$805.07 Size3,578.0852 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L -$129.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.261
Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$725.65 Size1,059.34 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $59.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.629
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$678.18 Size2,573.74 Current Price0.264 Cash P&L -$166.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.328
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$675.34 Size2,289.3013 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L $64.10 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.267
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$639.00 Size1,800 Current Price0.355 Cash P&L $63.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.320
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$637.50 Size7,500 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$217.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.114
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$591.40 Size632.5179 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $96.61 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.782
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$580.13 Size1,397.8928 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L -$39.53 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.443
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$562.52 Size2,205.9422 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $77.34 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.220
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$561.92 Size845 Current Price0.665 Cash P&L -$4.22 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.670
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$560.72 Size561 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $23.56 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.958
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$545.68 Size12,839.49 Current Price0.043 Cash P&L -$341.31 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.069
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$540.57 Size1,481.0229 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L -$140.70 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.460
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$528.77 Size3,185.358 Current Price0.166 Cash P&L -$179.52 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.222
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$520.80 Size560 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $43.55 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.852
Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$518.35 Size12,341.78 Current Price0.042 Cash P&L -$157.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.055
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$485.26 Size647.0106 Current Price0.750 Cash P&L -$34.28 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.803
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$454.72 Size614.49 Current Price0.740 Cash P&L $12.29 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.720
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$445.76 Size768.56 Current Price0.580 Cash P&L $22.62 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.550
Will at least 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$380.88 Size414 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $28.23 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.852
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$371.66 Size1,516.98 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L -$67.49 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.289
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$369.39 Size16,417.26 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L -$327.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.042
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$366.22 Size567.79 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L -$7.72 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.658
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$353.05 Size449.7389 Current Price0.785 Cash P&L $4.17 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.776
Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$347.54 Size426.4328 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L -$18.74 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.859
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$335.06 Size1,155.3792 Current Price0.290 Cash P&L -$386.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.625
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$326.45 Size2,126.73 Current Price0.153 Cash P&L $89.36 Market End2026-12-19 Avg Entry0.111
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$319.59 Size7,794.76 Current Price0.041 Cash P&L -$173.43 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.063
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$315.33 Size457 Current Price0.690 Cash P&L $61.44 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.555
West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$309.11 Size325.89 Current Price0.949 Cash P&L $10.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.916
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$306.71 Size322.3483 Current Price0.952 Cash P&L $21.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.885
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$304.25 Size395.1236 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L -$27.31 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.839
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$301.36 Size2,410.89 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$12.05 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.130
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$285.03 Size2,111.34 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L $67.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.103
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$270.30 Size557.32 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L $46.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.402
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$269.92 Size751.8671 Current Price0.359 Cash P&L $16.68 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.337
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$253.98 Size352.75 Current Price0.720 Cash P&L $9.79 Market End2026-11-06 Avg Entry0.692
Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$232.18 Size603.0606 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $33.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.330
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$227.21 Size248.3165 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $59.60 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.675
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.0%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$225.86 Size240.53 Current Price0.939 Cash P&L $0.12 Market End2026-11-06 Avg Entry0.938
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$221.72 Size245 Current Price0.905 Cash P&L $6.12 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.880
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$203.92 Size2,755.68 Current Price0.074 Cash P&L $60.42 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.052
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$198.65 Size274 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $4.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.710
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$194.33 Size303.4092 Current Price0.640 Cash P&L $26.50 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.553
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$193.55 Size330.86 Current Price0.585 Cash P&L -$2.80 Market End2026-11-06 Avg Entry0.593
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$178.31 Size869.8 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L $61.47 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.134
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$178.26 Size185.1044 Current Price0.963 Cash P&L $48.78 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.699
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$170.03 Size1,478.56 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L $10.64 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.108
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.08% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$163.49 Size247.7173 Current Price0.660 Cash P&L $107.96 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.224
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$163.02 Size1,164.3981 Current Price0.140 Cash P&L $19.08 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.124
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$160.63 Size167.3257 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $31.10 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.774
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$159.32 Size601.19 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L $19.48 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.233
GTA VI released by November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$153.89 Size6,155.64 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L -$121.55 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.045
Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$151.14 Size161.65 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $8.30 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.884
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$145.06 Size557.9227 Current Price0.260 Cash P&L -$12.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.283
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$143.45 Size950.03 Current Price0.151 Cash P&L -$3.45 Market End2026-12-19 Avg Entry0.155
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$141.82 Size388.54 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L $36.91 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.270
Will three people dissent the October Fed decision? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$140.28 Size170.0374 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $5.47 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.793
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$139.19 Size220.93 Current Price0.630 Cash P&L -$8.84 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.670
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$126.35 Size1,805 Current Price0.070 Cash P&L -$102.84 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.127
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$125.48 Size1,003.86 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L $25.10 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.100
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$121.80 Size427.3752 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L $16.24 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.247
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$121.42 Size5,396.5152 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L -$96.14 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.040
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$121.31 Size970.45 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L $52.43 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.071
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$116.76 Size278 Current Price0.420 Cash P&L $5.56 Market End2026-11-03 Avg Entry0.400
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$116.51 Size189.4545 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L $17.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.523
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$113.53 Size152.39 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $0.76 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.740
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$112.43 Size832.79 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$9.28 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.146
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$111.66 Size638.0563 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$5.26 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.183
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$105.95 Size130 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $0.65 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.810
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$101.47 Size349.8836 Current Price0.290 Cash P&L -$54.57 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.446
Will Ferran Torres finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$98.78 Size101 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $6.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.918
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$94.66 Size387.1774 Current Price0.244 Cash P&L $34.46 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.155
Will Roberto Cidade win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$92.33 Size92.38 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $1.23 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.986
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$87.86 Size3,138 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$6.27 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.030
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$81.25 Size86.8994 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $23.96 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.659
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$77.98 Size145.75 Current Price0.535 Cash P&L -$21.13 Market End2026-11-17 Avg Entry0.680
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$76.80 Size80 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $3.44 Market End2026-11-17 Avg Entry0.917
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$76.42 Size899 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$31.46 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.120
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$73.33 Size79.7113 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $34.56 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.486
Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$72.93 Size540.2 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L $25.52 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.088
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$70.84 Size262.37 Current Price0.270 Cash P&L $10.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.230
Will "Sicko Mode" by Travis Scott be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$70.20 Size90 Current Price0.780 Cash P&L $19.60 Market End2026-12-04 Avg Entry0.562
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$69.94 Size133.22 Current Price0.525 Cash P&L -$4.17 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.556
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$66.92 Size239 Current Price0.280 Cash P&L -$14.34 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.340
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$66.60 Size70.0688 Current Price0.951 Cash P&L $6.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.859
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$64.75 Size775.4454 Current Price0.084 Cash P&L $18.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.060
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$63.77 Size66.57 Current Price0.958 Cash P&L $4.53 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.890
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$63.65 Size148.03 Current Price0.430 Cash P&L -$15.96 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.538
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$62.99 Size65.6522 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $9.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.815
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$62.30 Size140 Current Price0.445 Cash P&L -$4.43 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.477
Will Ciara Miller win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$59.91 Size60 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $4.71 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.920
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$59.63 Size795.05 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$20.80 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.101
Will Republicans win the Georgia Governor election and Democrats win the Georgia Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$58.75 Size125 Current Price0.470 Cash P&L $6.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.419
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$58.40 Size59.0166 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $1.47 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.965
Will David Makhura be the next mayor of Johannesburg? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$52.56 Size211.9208 Current Price0.248 Cash P&L $30.75 Market End2026-11-17 Avg Entry0.103
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$51.48 Size160.87 Current Price0.320 Cash P&L -$35.21 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.539
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$51.46 Size63.5306 Current Price0.810 Cash P&L $20.33 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.490
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$51.00 Size60 Current Price0.850 Cash P&L $1.20 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.830
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$50.00 Size62.5 Current Price0.800 Cash P&L $11.21 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.621
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$49.66 Size894.76 Current Price0.056 Cash P&L -$3.99 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.060
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$43.17 Size47.1802 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $17.61 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.542
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$42.00 Size60 Current Price0.700 Cash P&L $0.70 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.688
Will Republicans win the Kansas Governor election and Democrats win the Kansas Senate election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$40.17 Size50 Current Price0.803 Cash P&L $2.52 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.753
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$38.68 Size40 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $2.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.903
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$38.48 Size104 Current Price0.370 Cash P&L -$3.31 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.402
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$38.00 Size40 Current Price0.950 Cash P&L $4.20 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.845
Will Democrats win the Minnesota Governor election and Republicans win the Minnesota Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$37.87 Size347.3913 Current Price0.109 Cash P&L $13.58 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.070
Will “If I Don't Leave I'm Gonna Stay” by Carly Pearce and Riley Green win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$37.86 Size40 Current Price0.947 Cash P&L $3.06 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.870
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.98 Size946.816 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L $14.16 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.023
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.45 Size4,726.8 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$7.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.009
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$34.64 Size46.81 Current Price0.740 Cash P&L $1.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.710
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$32.85 Size364.9966 Current Price0.090 Cash P&L -$43.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.210
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.59 Size162 Current Price0.195 Cash P&L $11.89 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.122
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.41 Size483.17 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$4.73 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.075
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.94 Size213.3857 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$16.84 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.224
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.11% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.56 Size122.2481 Current Price0.250 Cash P&L -$55.79 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.706
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.37 Size216.93 Current Price0.140 Cash P&L $2.02 Market End2026-12-04 Avg Entry0.131
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.89 Size314.61 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L -$4.72 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.110
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.27 Size84.39 Current Price0.335 Cash P&L $2.67 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.303
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$26.91 Size656.41 Current Price0.041 Cash P&L $4.40 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.034
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$25.66 Size28.0434 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $12.68 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.463
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24.60 Size5,467.27 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$46.74 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.013
Will Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23.52 Size29.05 Current Price0.809 Cash P&L $0.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.806
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.09% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23.51 Size54.041 Current Price0.435 Cash P&L -$14.38 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.701
Will Democrats sweep the Georgia Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23.40 Size48.24 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L -$1.15 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.509
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.46 Size25.984 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$0.89 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.898
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$22.39 Size66.824 Current Price0.335 Cash P&L -$9.95 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.484
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$21.05 Size168.41 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L $5.89 Market End2026-12-04 Avg Entry0.090
Will Freddie Freeman win the 2026 World Series MVP? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$19.90 Size20 Current Price0.995 Cash P&L $2.90 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.850
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$19.48 Size410.17 Current Price0.048 Cash P&L -$2.10 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.053
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.90 Size20 Current Price0.945 Cash P&L -$0.22 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.956
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.80 Size80 Current Price0.235 Cash P&L -$2.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.270
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.57 Size47 Current Price0.395 Cash P&L $3.25 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.326
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.00 Size25 Current Price0.720 Cash P&L $1.15 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.674
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$17.73 Size20 Current Price0.886 Cash P&L $8.53 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.460
Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$17.59 Size23 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $2.56 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.654
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$17.16 Size58.16 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L -$5.98 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.398
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$17.12 Size137 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$38.09 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.403
Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$16.80 Size80 Current Price0.210 Cash P&L -$1.35 Market End2026-10-24 Avg Entry0.227
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$16.77 Size310.59 Current Price0.054 Cash P&L $1.90 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.048
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.56 Size689.95 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L $4.23 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.018
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.46 Size58.49 Current Price0.281 Cash P&L $0.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.278
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$15.09 Size76 Current Price0.199 Cash P&L -$19.73 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.458
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$14.30 Size260 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L $2.34 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.046
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.30 Size81.6944 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L $0.97 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.163
Will "Mask Off" by Future be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$13.53 Size19.47 Current Price0.695 Cash P&L $2.35 Market End2026-12-04 Avg Entry0.574
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.91 Size93.9057 Current Price0.138 Cash P&L $7.21 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.061
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.41 Size63.6334 Current Price0.195 Cash P&L -$7.19 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.308
Will Vitinha finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.32 Size155 Current Price0.080 Cash P&L -$5.73 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.116
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.30 Size232 Current Price0.053 Cash P&L -$1.44 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.059
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.93 Size215.0029 Current Price0.056 Cash P&L $1.27 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.050
Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11.68 Size14.1515 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $1.75 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.701
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11.60 Size12 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $0.32 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.940
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$11.38 Size65 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$3.58 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.230
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.74 Size71.6271 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$49.38 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.839
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.40 Size20 Current Price0.520 Cash P&L $4.00 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.320
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$10.34 Size11 Current Price0.940 Cash P&L $3.96 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.580
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.43% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.99 Size10 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $4.89 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.510
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.57 Size18.4 Current Price0.520 Cash P&L $0.00 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.520
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9.42 Size16.9656 Current Price0.555 Cash P&L -$0.84 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.605
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.38 Size25 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L $2.62 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.270
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.36 Size22.0312 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L $3.16 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.281
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.22 Size41 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L -$11.98 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.517
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.83% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$8.77 Size14.2545 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L $0.93 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.550
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.66 Size293.6465 Current Price0.029 Cash P&L $0.35 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.028
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.19 Size11.62 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L -$0.06 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.710
Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.88 Size15 Current Price0.525 Cash P&L $3.08 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.320
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7.88 Size63 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$0.31 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.130
Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.86 Size9.8807 Current Price0.795 Cash P&L $2.82 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.510
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.85 Size11.98 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L -$0.06 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.660
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7.49 Size208 Current Price0.036 Cash P&L -$2.60 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.048
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7.40 Size10.3561 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L -$0.14 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.728
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6.45 Size20.17 Current Price0.320 Cash P&L $0.61 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.290
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6.29 Size233 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L -$5.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.050
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.68 Size366.35 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$4.83 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.029
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5.62 Size41.64 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$5.62 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.270
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.05 Size68.1925 Current Price0.074 Cash P&L $1.54 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.051
Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.87 Size120.35 Current Price0.041 Cash P&L -$1.27 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.051
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.18 Size12.3 Current Price0.340 Cash P&L $0.61 Market End2026-11-11 Avg Entry0.290
Will an independent win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.13 Size156 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L $1.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.019
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4.06 Size52.3809 Current Price0.077 Cash P&L $2.96 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.021
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.63 Size405 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$0.49 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.008
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.00 Size20 Current Price0.100 Cash P&L $0.80 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.060
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.38 Size12.5476 Current Price0.110 Cash P&L -$9.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.867
Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.17 Size211.89 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L $0.67 Market End2026-09-07 Avg Entry0.002