aenews2

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$292,198.87
Active Markets
76
Positions Listed
77

Last trade: Reduces its No position — $316.32 on — Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?. Last big trade: Reduces its Yes position — $6,249.80 on — Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$167,251.43 Size193,354.259 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L $23,872.59 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.742
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$21,791.57 Size28,118.16 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $984.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.740
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$21,755.41 Size85,315.3317 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $2,822.91 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.222
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$18,592.29 Size375,601.8613 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$28,568.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.126
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,361.50 Size14,767.3043 Current Price0.498 Cash P&L $1,195.34 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.417
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,276.05 Size8,374.68 Current Price0.630 Cash P&L $969.88 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.514
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,219.36 Size61,404.1902 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$3,889.65 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.148
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,864.81 Size5,102.0537 Current Price0.954 Cash P&L $40.12 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.946
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,671.45 Size19,067.16 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L -$762.74 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.285
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,311.92 Size7,699.85 Current Price0.560 Cash P&L $956.08 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.436
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,218.73 Size4,992.58 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L -$49.62 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.855
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,816.15 Size4,773.13 Current Price0.590 Cash P&L $800.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.422
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,150.32 Size7,289.23 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L $546.70 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.220
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,975.55 Size3,183.8112 Current Price0.621 Cash P&L $103.32 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.588
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,702.12 Size1,734.2 Current Price0.982 Cash P&L $65.53 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.944
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,581.99 Size8,788.84 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$1,481.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.349
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,447.37 Size28,947.3914 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$5,409.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.237
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,132.34 Size37,126.0343 Current Price0.030 Cash P&L -$1,348.27 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.067
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,097.56 Size4,221.39 Current Price0.260 Cash P&L -$327.29 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.338
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,080.65 Size1,532.8377 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L $99.64 Market End2027-12-31 Avg Entry0.640
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$945.48 Size1,512.7655 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L $59.22 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.586
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$943.39 Size1,065.98 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $90.61 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.800
US strike on Cuba by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$930.48 Size12,406.3356 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$4,081.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.404
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$900.69 Size947.592 Current Price0.951 Cash P&L $17.69 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.932
Kash Patel out by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$892.00 Size4,351.2436 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L -$1,577.68 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.568
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$761.80 Size4,353.17 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$1,011.60 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.407
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$750.06 Size909.72 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L -$4.94 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.830
China x Japan military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$705.75 Size16,605.85 Current Price0.043 Cash P&L -$555.02 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.076
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$511.04 Size6,387.96 Current Price0.080 Cash P&L -$1,996.05 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.392
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$380.76 Size2,456.52 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$109.23 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.199
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$329.60 Size12,207.5788 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L -$669.20 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.082
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$313.53 Size793.7388 Current Price0.395 Cash P&L $179.82 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.168
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$311.64 Size2,043.57 Current Price0.152 Cash P&L -$351.17 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.324
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$289.93 Size2,943.43 Current Price0.099 Cash P&L -$1,688.83 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.672
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$250.53 Size1,855.7857 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$320.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.308
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$217.65 Size5,962.95 Current Price0.036 Cash P&L -$1,113.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.223
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$210.19 Size3,002.76 Current Price0.070 Cash P&L -$183.70 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.131
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$156.61 Size639.22 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L -$26.86 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.287
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$154.94 Size885.39 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L $15.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.158
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$132.47 Size206.98 Current Price0.640 Cash P&L -$49.34 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.878
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$124.75 Size997.98 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$173.13 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.298
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$122.80 Size138.76 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $11.79 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.800
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$118.25 Size815.51 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$115.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.286
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$105.41 Size124.75 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L -$14.21 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.959
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$104.91 Size3,746.82 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$583.66 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.184
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$90.93 Size866 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L -$85.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.204
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$88.35 Size3,334.043 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$190.94 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.084
X banned in any European country by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$85.09 Size773.54 Current Price0.110 Cash P&L -$144.03 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.296
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$84.20 Size2,673.1347 Current Price0.032 Cash P&L -$249.64 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.125
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$82.55 Size1,500.83 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$170.34 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.168
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$81.88 Size88.04 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $12.12 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.792
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$79.88 Size665.66 Current Price0.120 Cash P&L -$93.19 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.260
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$75.25 Size100 Current Price0.752 Cash P&L $34.75 Market End2027-01-02 Avg Entry0.405
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$66.41 Size2,656.28 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L -$111.69 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.067
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$65.64 Size364.64 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$96.33 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.444
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$63.30 Size145.51 Current Price0.435 Cash P&L -$10.91 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.510
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$43.36 Size43.82 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $2.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.940
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.66 Size264.41 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$74.39 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.431
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$36.00 Size75 Current Price0.480 Cash P&L -$32.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.910
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$34.07 Size272.58 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$132.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.612
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.80 Size40 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L -$0.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.790
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.60 Size572 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$54.45 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.145
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.26 Size973.63 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$31.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.060
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23.41 Size30.2101 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $5.56 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.591
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$20.37 Size21.9 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $4.82 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.710
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.00 Size499.997 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L -$88.17 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.214
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.41 Size252.49 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$159.20 Market End2027-01-04 Avg Entry0.696
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.04 Size17.77 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L -$1.42 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.870
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.36 Size160 Current Price0.059 Cash P&L -$14.91 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.152
Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.52 Size100.2999 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$7.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.150
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.25 Size30 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$8.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.450
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.91 Size42 Current Price0.117 Cash P&L -$1.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.143
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.27 Size5 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L -$0.42 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.740
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.79 Size26.6 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L -$2.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.210
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.62 Size23.78 Current Price0.110 Cash P&L -$1.43 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.170
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.36 Size8 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L $1.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.150
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.08 Size12 Current Price0.090 Cash P&L -$1.08 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.180