groth
0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$84,940.61
Active Markets
65
Positions Listed
65
Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $27.00 on — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,290.00 on — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$22,561.51 | Size26,700.0131 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $278.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.835 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$18,194.29 | Size20,558.5171 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $1,562.41 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.809 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10,112.68 | Size10,204.5236 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L $1,062.62 | Market End2026-10-20 | Avg Entry0.887 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,358.24 | Size4,499.9907 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $458.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.867 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,942.99 | Size2,999.9898 | Current Price0.981 | Cash P&L $81.00 | Market End2026-10-22 | Avg Entry0.954 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,336.89 | Size4,721 | Current Price0.495 | Cash P&L $1,241.39 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.232 |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,195.51 | Size3,136.44 | Current Price0.700 | Cash P&L $1,706.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.156 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,541.45 | Size4,003.7754 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $716.98 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.206 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,312.50 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $22.50 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,269.45 | Size1,300 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $29.95 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.953 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,069.72 | Size1,103.9428 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $277.05 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.718 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,016.56 | Size3,332.9763 | Current Price0.305 | Cash P&L $389.57 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.188 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$986.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.986 | Cash P&L $58.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.928 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$937.50 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L -$22.50 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$931.05 | Size2,698.6952 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L $361.86 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.211 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$896.77 | Size2,388.21 | Current Price0.376 | Cash P&L -$505.69 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.587 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$849.34 | Size1,110.25 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L $282.22 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.511 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$825.14 | Size1,755.62 | Current Price0.470 | Cash P&L -$13.11 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.477 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$813.99 | Size2,199.9615 | Current Price0.370 | Cash P&L $86.00 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.331 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$768.20 | Size1,017.4825 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $287.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.472 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$745.25 | Size6,774.9978 | Current Price0.110 | Cash P&L -$2,385.88 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.462 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$677.95 | Size753.2799 | Current Price0.900 | Cash P&L $97.93 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$642.45 | Size8,566.0349 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$724.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.160 |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$614.17 | Size735.5358 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $160.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.617 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$530.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.265 | Cash P&L -$70.00 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.300 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$521.65 | Size848.21 | Current Price0.615 | Cash P&L $8.32 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.605 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$510.91 | Size5,109.0892 | Current Price0.100 | Cash P&L $5.08 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.099 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$462.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $72.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$386.20 | Size1,454.62 | Current Price0.266 | Cash P&L $140.59 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.169 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$317.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$284.10 | Size300 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L $119.10 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.550 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$270.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.270 | Cash P&L -$40.00 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.310 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$256.50 | Size410.4 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L $162.89 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.228 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$250.84 | Size2,280.3444 | Current Price0.110 | Cash P&L $2.95 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.109 |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$230.18 | Size270 | Current Price0.853 | Cash P&L $14.18 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.800 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$229.59 | Size18,367 | Current Price0.013 | Cash P&L -$40.83 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.015 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$182.93 | Size270 | Current Price0.677 | Cash P&L $174.02 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.033 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$155.00 | Size999.9866 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$70.00 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.225 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$151.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $109.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.210 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$133.80 | Size686.15 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$24.01 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$115.54 | Size135.1351 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $30.41 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.630 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$115.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$85.00 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$114.56 | Size2,727.706 | Current Price0.042 | Cash P&L -$122.42 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.087 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$113.86 | Size121 | Current Price0.941 | Cash P&L $1.81 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.926 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$108.99 | Size2,421.97 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L -$84.77 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.080 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$97.40 | Size236.41 | Current Price0.412 | Cash P&L $47.75 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.210 |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$96.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.240 | Cash P&L $8.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.220 |
| USMCA extended in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$75.91 | Size82.51 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L $11.55 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$63.77 | Size2,406.567 | Current Price0.026 | Cash P&L -$183.10 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.102 |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$62.17 | Size73.57 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $43.04 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.260 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$61.08 | Size763.5315 | Current Price0.080 | Cash P&L -$236.69 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.390 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$58.30 | Size1,100 | Current Price0.053 | Cash P&L -$138.70 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.179 |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$55.50 | Size299.9889 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L -$16.50 | Market End2026-12-10 | Avg Entry0.240 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$54.62 | Size1,149.9925 | Current Price0.048 | Cash P&L -$380.67 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.379 |
| Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$52.60 | Size657.5245 | Current Price0.080 | Cash P&L -$49.37 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.155 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$39.68 | Size944.7302 | Current Price0.042 | Cash P&L $16.06 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.025 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$36.66 | Size905.1327 | Current Price0.041 | Cash P&L $9.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.030 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$35.74 | Size246.4772 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$30.81 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.270 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$34.65 | Size41 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $22.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.290 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$27.05 | Size200.3739 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$41.08 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.340 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$23.25 | Size499.991 | Current Price0.046 | Cash P&L -$1.75 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.050 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.98 | Size17.489 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L -$0.09 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.690 |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$10.33 | Size12.1568 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $3.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.525 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.33 | Size517.1 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L $0.78 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.003 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.34 | Size65.53 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L $1.15 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.003 |