Published artifact:
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Live trade history fetched live from Polymarket 2026-10-31 10:47 UTC — not part of the published run.
| Market | Outcome | State | Entry date | Avg Entry | Last trade / Close | Current / Close price | Current Value | Size | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-30 | 0.969 | 2026-09-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $9.08 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-08-04 | 0.965 | 2026-08-18 | 1.000 | — | — | $100.64 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-08-01 | 0.840 | 2026-08-12 | 0.000 | — | — | -$1,418.43 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.404 | 2026-08-06 | 0.419 | — | — | -$304.96 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.892 | 2026-08-06 | 0.935 | — | — | $62.37 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-08-05 | 0.024 | 2026-08-06 | 0.029 | — | — | -$30.04 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.476 | 2026-08-06 | 0.175 | — | — | -$242.39 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.027 | 2026-08-06 | 0.018 | — | — | $11.63 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.928 | 2026-08-06 | 1.000 | — | — | $39.52 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-24 | 0.300 | 2026-08-06 | 0.175 | — | — | -$260.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.845 | 2026-08-06 | 0.945 | — | — | $376.98 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.923 | 2026-08-06 | 0.920 | — | — | -$34.87 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.903 | 2026-08-06 | 0.980 | — | — | $28.90 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.130 | 2026-08-06 | 0.118 | — | — | -$37.10 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.024 | 2026-08-06 | 0.036 | — | — | $0.10 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.016 | 2026-08-06 | 0.018 | — | — | $28.87 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.008 | 2026-08-06 | 0.004 | — | — | -$39.64 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.147 | 2026-08-06 | 0.135 | — | — | -$16.35 |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.036 | 2026-08-06 | 0.009 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-08-01 | 0.700 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$80.96 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.197 | 2026-08-06 | 0.037 | — | — | -$18.68 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.931 | 2026-08-06 | 0.951 | — | — | -$2.08 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.964 | 2026-08-06 | 0.968 | — | — | -$0.49 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-08-05 | 0.098 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$223.34 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-29 | 0.077 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$36.53 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-03 | 0.004 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$30.98 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.028 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$4.11 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-29 | 0.007 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$5.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-29 | 0.025 | 2026-08-06 | 0.000 | — | — | -$14.74 |
| Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-30 | 0.984 | 2026-08-06 | 1.000 | — | — | -$0.43 |
| Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-01 | 0.940 | 2026-08-06 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.42 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-01 | 0.400 | 2026-08-06 | 0.235 | — | — | -$0.08 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-30 | 0.777 | 2026-08-06 | 0.835 | — | — | -$4.23 |
| Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-29 | 0.955 | 2026-08-05 | 1.000 | — | — | $46.44 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.981 | 2026-08-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $82.81 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-24 | 0.958 | 2026-07-28 | 1.000 | — | — | $31.40 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-24 | 0.914 | 2026-07-28 | 1.000 | — | — | $106.73 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.928 | 2026-07-20 | 1.000 | — | — | $50.33 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.374 | 2026-07-20 | 1.000 | — | — | $122.17 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-03 | 0.813 | 2026-07-20 | 1.000 | — | — | $183.18 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.983 | 2026-07-12 | 1.000 | — | — | $9.05 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-30 | 0.998 | 2026-07-12 | 1.000 | — | — | -$0.02 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-04 | 0.976 | 2026-07-12 | 1.000 | — | — | $2.75 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.584 | 2026-07-08 | 0.695 | — | — | $3.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.596 | 2026-07-07 | 0.695 | — | — | -$172.25 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.974 | 2026-07-07 | 1.000 | — | — | -$5.79 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-28 | 0.992 | 2026-07-06 | 1.000 | — | — | $48.72 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-07-02 | 0.927 | 2026-07-05 | 1.000 | — | — | $6.64 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.981 | 2026-07-05 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.51 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.999 | 2026-07-04 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.29 |
| Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-29 | 0.985 | 2026-07-02 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.47 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.999 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.03 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.999 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.31 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.998 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $3.86 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.999 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.48 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.999 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | -$0.04 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-27 | 0.995 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $3.01 |
| Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-06-30 | 0.846 | 2026-07-01 | 1.000 | — | — | $62.67 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.991 | — | 1.000 | $49,974.99 | 49,999.9939 | — |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.968 | — | 0.971 | $55.96 | 57.66 | — |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.958 | — | 0.967 | $20,897.33 | 21,621.6509 | — |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.984 | — | 1.000 | $49,974.99 | 49,999.99 | — |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.996 | — | 1.000 | $11,746.26 | 11,752.1333 | — |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.959 | — | 0.945 | $18,900.00 | 20,000 | — |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.976 | — | 0.975 | $28,292.38 | 29,032.71 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | — | 0.980 | — | 0.979 | $22,016.31 | 22,500.0662 | — |
Some rows predate the bounded trade scan, so their date cells show — — the exact date is older than the reachable window, and we never substitute a snapshot date for it.
Showing at most 100 rows, one per market and outcome, newest last trade first. Trade history is live Polymarket data, not part of the published run; the current values above belong to no published ranking. Methodology.