cambridgeisaac
0xb51b3beffd13cde071ed799e70a7b0b598e8b4d9
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$105,922.20
Active Markets
132
Positions Listed
138
Last trade: Adds its No position — $300.00 on — US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?. Last big trade: Reduces its Yes position — $1,245.25 on — Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$22,292.95 | Size28,580.7053 | Current Price0.780 | Cash P&L $1,784.01 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.718 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$16,772.91 | Size24,133.6897 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $439.16 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.677 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9,467.30 | Size12,375.5543 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L -$980.27 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.844 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5,169.93 | Size7,659.1589 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L $350.30 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.629 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,850.69 | Size6,526.5982 | Current Price0.590 | Cash P&L -$1,187.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.772 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,588.85 | Size4,444.3984 | Current Price0.807 | Cash P&L $734.12 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.642 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,185.58 | Size3,873.0472 | Current Price0.823 | Cash P&L $43.10 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.811 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,713.69 | Size3,032.0509 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $150.69 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.845 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,641.48 | Size3,643.4246 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $176.56 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.676 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,387.95 | Size3,205.3018 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$53.04 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.761 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,094.53 | Size5,818.1479 | Current Price0.360 | Cash P&L $503.03 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.274 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,922.05 | Size2,544.0721 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $28.92 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.744 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,751.55 | Size2,304.6724 | Current Price0.760 | Cash P&L $83.02 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.724 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,570.26 | Size1,950.6321 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L -$29.26 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,504.43 | Size1,629.9393 | Current Price0.923 | Cash P&L $104.44 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.859 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,372.55 | Size3,660.1233 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$1,127.45 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.683 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,253.04 | Size1,556.57 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L -$103.15 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.871 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? ↗ | OutcomeMbappé | Current Value$1,180.71 | Size1,628.5701 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $36.43 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.703 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,164.82 | Size8,628.2756 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$32.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.139 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,104.86 | Size4,017.6738 | Current Price0.275 | Cash P&L -$995.13 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.523 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$909.67 | Size1,070.1976 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $9.67 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.841 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$854.04 | Size2,549.3834 | Current Price0.335 | Cash P&L -$539.43 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.546 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$803.69 | Size2,819.974 | Current Price0.285 | Cash P&L -$155.66 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.340 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$740.53 | Size1,742.4242 | Current Price0.425 | Cash P&L $340.53 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$722.41 | Size4,982.1305 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$263.57 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.198 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$716.40 | Size1,477.1114 | Current Price0.485 | Cash P&L -$71.65 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.533 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$678.02 | Size4,109.1957 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$792.08 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.358 |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$490.80 | Size811.2437 | Current Price0.605 | Cash P&L $24.30 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.575 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? ↗ | OutcomeRodri | Current Value$462.44 | Size612.5 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $3.19 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$443.85 | Size1,095.9356 | Current Price0.405 | Cash P&L $32.95 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.375 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$437.26 | Size901.5769 | Current Price0.485 | Cash P&L -$219.24 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.728 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$433.49 | Size509.99 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $93.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.667 |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$413.78 | Size1,799.0299 | Current Price0.230 | Cash P&L -$274.25 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.382 |
| Will AI solve the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$406.51 | Size472.6849 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L $92.94 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.663 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$372.10 | Size1,066.1954 | Current Price0.349 | Cash P&L -$79.89 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.424 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$352.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$17.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.740 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$325.66 | Size468.5714 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $1.66 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.691 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$306.02 | Size3,600.277 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$1,995.33 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.639 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$301.62 | Size346.6875 | Current Price0.870 | Cash P&L $98.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.585 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$298.06 | Size387.0891 | Current Price0.770 | Cash P&L $15.12 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.731 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$297.20 | Size400 | Current Price0.743 | Cash P&L $0.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.741 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$295.62 | Size579.6456 | Current Price0.510 | Cash P&L -$4.38 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.517 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$256.76 | Size410.8108 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L $106.76 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.365 |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$254.52 | Size361.0238 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$45.48 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.831 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$245.00 | Size500 | Current Price0.490 | Cash P&L -$130.00 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$239.90 | Size371.94 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $9.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.620 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$239.35 | Size2,081.2846 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$640.40 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.423 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$232.43 | Size1,549.506 | Current Price0.150 | Cash P&L -$207.57 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.284 |
| California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$224.74 | Size262.85 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $19.35 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.781 |
| Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to no prison time? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$218.82 | Size235.6707 | Current Price0.928 | Cash P&L $7.33 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.897 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$214.58 | Size357.6381 | Current Price0.600 | Cash P&L $33.91 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.505 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$211.60 | Size274.7993 | Current Price0.770 | Cash P&L $79.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.480 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$211.25 | Size250 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$11.25 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$204.99 | Size999.9694 | Current Price0.205 | Cash P&L -$184.99 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.390 |
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$198.53 | Size294.1176 | Current Price0.675 | Cash P&L -$1.47 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.680 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$195.55 | Size310.15 | Current Price0.630 | Cash P&L $141.51 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.174 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$193.99 | Size399.9895 | Current Price0.485 | Cash P&L $38.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.390 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$192.31 | Size512.8205 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$7.69 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.390 |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$190.24 | Size290.4375 | Current Price0.655 | Cash P&L $10.17 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.620 |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$188.65 | Size5,988.8677 | Current Price0.032 | Cash P&L -$139.96 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.055 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$187.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $13.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$172.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L -$27.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.400 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$170.45 | Size2,272.7272 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$79.54 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.110 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$169.68 | Size1,615.9975 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$171.94 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.211 |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$138.25 | Size389.43 | Current Price0.355 | Cash P&L -$57.30 | Market End2029-01-01 | Avg Entry0.502 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$136.46 | Size208.3366 | Current Price0.655 | Cash P&L -$13.54 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$135.28 | Size2,081.2825 | Current Price0.065 | Cash P&L -$144.72 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.135 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$129.75 | Size300.0001 | Current Price0.432 | Cash P&L -$56.25 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.620 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$122.67 | Size4,906.8976 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L -$6.70 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$119.97 | Size499.8947 | Current Price0.240 | Cash P&L $5.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$119.44 | Size219.16 | Current Price0.545 | Cash P&L $27.20 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.421 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$117.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$135.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.420 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$116.29 | Size1,011.1857 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L $31.49 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.084 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$115.19 | Size133.9421 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L $15.19 | Market End2027-02-28 | Avg Entry0.747 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$105.00 | Size149.9965 | Current Price0.700 | Cash P&L $16.50 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.590 |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$104.76 | Size148.59 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $6.69 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.660 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$95.77 | Size1,741.24 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$130.48 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$86.25 | Size250 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L -$21.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.430 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$77.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$22.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$77.10 | Size300 | Current Price0.257 | Cash P&L -$28.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.353 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$74.42 | Size265.7981 | Current Price0.280 | Cash P&L -$23.92 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.370 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$70.49 | Size99.9922 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L $1.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.690 |
| Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$61.60 | Size70 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $0.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.876 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$58.33 | Size185.1851 | Current Price0.315 | Cash P&L -$41.67 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.540 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$58.28 | Size58.48 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $16.75 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.710 |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$52.86 | Size142.8571 | Current Price0.370 | Cash P&L $2.86 | Market End2027-03-01 | Avg Entry0.350 |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$51.60 | Size92.14 | Current Price0.560 | Cash P&L $10.14 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.450 |
| Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$50.41 | Size60.01 | Current Price0.840 | Cash P&L $5.40 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$47.40 | Size400 | Current Price0.118 | Cash P&L -$10.60 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.145 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$44.50 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.044 | Cash P&L -$30.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.075 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$42.75 | Size150 | Current Price0.285 | Cash P&L -$26.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.460 |
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$42.75 | Size150 | Current Price0.285 | Cash P&L $8.25 | Market End2027-06-30 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$42.50 | Size999.9921 | Current Price0.043 | Cash P&L -$858.49 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.901 |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$42.38 | Size282.53 | Current Price0.150 | Cash P&L -$96.06 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.490 |
| Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$41.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.205 | Cash P&L -$31.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$37.60 | Size472.9645 | Current Price0.080 | Cash P&L -$11.87 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.104 |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$37.50 | Size100 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L $14.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$37.25 | Size50 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L $0.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.730 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$35.59 | Size323.5572 | Current Price0.110 | Cash P&L -$164.41 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.618 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$34.90 | Size3,877.2604 | Current Price0.009 | Cash P&L -$269.15 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.078 |
| Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$32.77 | Size36.2048 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $2.77 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.829 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$29.26 | Size106.3859 | Current Price0.275 | Cash P&L -$20.75 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.470 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$28.64 | Size520.8051 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$171.36 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.384 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$28.57 | Size190.4761 | Current Price0.150 | Cash P&L -$31.43 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.315 |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26.51 | Size407.8947 | Current Price0.065 | Cash P&L -$48.49 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.184 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26.25 | Size250 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$143.75 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.680 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$24.38 | Size375 | Current Price0.065 | Cash P&L -$5.62 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.080 |
| Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$23.95 | Size439.44 | Current Price0.054 | Cash P&L $11.65 | Market End2027-02-15 | Avg Entry0.028 |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$23.80 | Size40 | Current Price0.595 | Cash P&L $0.20 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.590 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$22.65 | Size299.9979 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$28.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.170 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$22.21 | Size23.2558 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $2.21 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$21.59 | Size216.9399 | Current Price0.100 | Cash P&L -$118.41 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.645 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$20.65 | Size144.9275 | Current Price0.142 | Cash P&L $10.65 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.069 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$16.50 | Size333.3333 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L -$23.50 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$15.32 | Size315.7894 | Current Price0.049 | Cash P&L -$44.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.190 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$15.00 | Size769.2307 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L $5.00 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.013 |
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$12.80 | Size533.3333 | Current Price0.024 | Cash P&L -$33.20 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.086 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$11.70 | Size151.9495 | Current Price0.077 | Cash P&L -$38.30 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.329 |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.40 | Size100 | Current Price0.094 | Cash P&L $6.40 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.030 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8.53 | Size588.2352 | Current Price0.015 | Cash P&L -$1.47 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.017 |
| Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.60 | Size422.25 | Current Price0.018 | Cash P&L -$0.97 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.020 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.75 | Size150 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L -$8.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.100 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.68 | Size30.3507 | Current Price0.220 | Cash P&L -$16.45 | Market End2026-11-11 | Avg Entry0.762 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.53 | Size483.9017 | Current Price0.013 | Cash P&L -$19.11 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.053 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.26 | Size8.6956 | Current Price0.720 | Cash P&L -$0.43 | Market End2026-12-01 | Avg Entry0.770 |
| OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize Solution? ↗ | OutcomeAnthropic | Current Value$5.88 | Size14 | Current Price0.420 | Cash P&L $3.92 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.140 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5.42 | Size833.3333 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L $0.42 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.006 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4.41 | Size80.241 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$59.19 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.793 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4.30 | Size138.7751 | Current Price0.031 | Cash P&L -$0.42 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.034 |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4.29 | Size71.52 | Current Price0.060 | Cash P&L -$1.43 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.080 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.44 | Size22.2222 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$6.56 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.450 |
| Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.17 | Size66.6666 | Current Price0.048 | Cash P&L -$16.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.300 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.92 | Size834.6666 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$7.08 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.012 |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.58 | Size119.9418 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L -$97.42 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.834 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2.27 | Size909.0909 | Current Price0.003 | Cash P&L -$7.73 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.011 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.37 | Size18.3215 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$5.63 | Market End2027-01-04 | Avg Entry0.382 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.33 | Size127.0825 | Current Price0.011 | Cash P&L -$8.67 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.079 |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.09 | Size75 | Current Price0.015 | Cash P&L -$16.91 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.240 |