Zaratustra

0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$109,486.40
Active Markets
88
Positions Listed
88

Last trade: Adds its Yes position — $104.00 on — Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?. Last big trade: Adds its No position — $1,359.99 on — Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$24,622.35 Size33,499.7978 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $1,625.01 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.686
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$8,526.05 Size10,090.0018 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $72.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.838
Modi out by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,426.63 Size7,699.9805 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $324.55 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.922
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,897.29 Size5,010.0128 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $77.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.962
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,897.74 Size5,000.3022 Current Price0.779 Cash P&L $748.99 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.630
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,679.86 Size9,799.8854 Current Price0.376 Cash P&L -$3,357.64 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.718
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,378.47 Size4,659.958 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $671.21 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.581
Xi Jinping out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,923.50 Size3,000 Current Price0.975 Cash P&L $82.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.947
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,902.50 Size4,500 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $147.51 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.612
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,685.00 Size3,000 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $95.74 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.863
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,406.62 Size4,113.88 Current Price0.585 Cash P&L $298.89 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.512
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,278.04 Size3,142.1188 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $507.11 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.564
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,912.50 Size8,500.0111 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L $350.51 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.184
Yoon out of custody before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,886.35 Size2,000.37 Current Price0.943 Cash P&L $78.54 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.904
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,850.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $170.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.840
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,670.13 Size1,790.0612 Current Price0.933 Cash P&L -$16.83 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.942
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,618.66 Size1,999.5779 Current Price0.809 Cash P&L $177.40 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.721
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,586.70 Size1,800 Current Price0.881 Cash P&L $39.70 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.859
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,580.99 Size1,699.9922 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $44.00 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.904
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,562.45 Size2,016.0624 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L -$197.99 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.873
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,475.99 Size2,399.9902 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L -$154.79 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.679
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,432.50 Size1,500.0034 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $82.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.900
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,413.23 Size1,456.1842 Current Price0.971 Cash P&L $8.14 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.965
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,315.87 Size1,814.9991 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L $51.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.697
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,308.99 Size2,029.4373 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $271.64 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.511
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$979.11 Size1,518 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $68.31 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.600
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$968.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.969 Cash P&L -$1.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.970
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$930.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $18.50 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.912
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$928.06 Size1,586.4266 Current Price0.585 Cash P&L $178.65 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.472
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$920.65 Size1,497 Current Price0.615 Cash P&L -$101.76 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.683
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$890.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $20.00 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.870
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$774.97 Size999.9566 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L -$39.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.815
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$646.28 Size856 Current Price0.755 Cash P&L -$25.96 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.785
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$632.00 Size799.9939 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $15.00 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.771
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$612.50 Size3,500 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$57.48 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.191
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$602.17 Size777 Current Price0.775 Cash P&L $19.43 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.750
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$601.73 Size1,301.0393 Current Price0.463 Cash P&L $81.32 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.400
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$601.21 Size840.8555 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $4.61 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.710
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$580.68 Size606.1357 Current Price0.958 Cash P&L $12.73 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.937
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$563.70 Size585.0566 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $13.75 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.940
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$477.24 Size499.993 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $8.75 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.937
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$472.75 Size500 Current Price0.946 Cash P&L -$1.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.948
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$442.49 Size1,499.9614 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L -$7.49 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.300
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$419.99 Size499.9881 Current Price0.840 Cash P&L $30.00 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.780
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$411.24 Size697.0197 Current Price0.590 Cash P&L $14.19 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.570
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$380.01 Size394 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $70.73 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.785
AI bubble burst in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$339.74 Size381.3 Current Price0.891 Cash P&L $16.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.848
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$334.00 Size399.9998 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $48.20 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.714
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$327.34 Size3,678 Current Price0.089 Cash P&L -$321.34 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.176
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$286.80 Size300 Current Price0.956 Cash P&L $28.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.860
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$264.52 Size2,300.2149 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$812.38 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.468
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$263.75 Size269 Current Price0.981 Cash P&L $43.27 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.820
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$255.15 Size271 Current Price0.942 Cash P&L $11.25 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.900
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$239.80 Size266 Current Price0.901 Cash P&L $7.83 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.872
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$232.37 Size274.9915 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $9.62 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.810
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$226.57 Size235.15 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $14.97 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.900
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$216.72 Size509.9364 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L $17.89 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.390
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$201.25 Size250 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $11.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.760
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$192.22 Size275 Current Price0.699 Cash P&L $48.67 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.522
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$191.00 Size200 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $11.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.900
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$181.55 Size224.1372 Current Price0.810 Cash P&L $29.83 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.677
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$175.41 Size412.7386 Current Price0.425 Cash P&L -$2.54 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.431
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$175.00 Size999.9957 Current Price0.175 Cash P&L -$69.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.244
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$156.00 Size300 Current Price0.520 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.537
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$144.10 Size523.9933 Current Price0.275 Cash P&L -$2.62 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.280
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$115.00 Size10,000 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2027-06-20 Avg Entry0.012
Will Sharafadeen Abiodun Alli win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$93.75 Size250 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L -$11.25 Market End2027-02-07 Avg Entry0.420
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$89.70 Size600 Current Price0.149 Cash P&L $0.30 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.149
Kash Patel out by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$88.16 Size430.0328 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L -$209.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.692
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$83.20 Size160 Current Price0.520 Cash P&L -$8.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.570
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$81.50 Size100 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $24.50 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.570
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$74.00 Size400 Current Price0.185 Cash P&L -$10.00 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.210
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$67.50 Size2,999.9932 Current Price0.022 Cash P&L -$31.49 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$66.35 Size68.23 Current Price0.973 Cash P&L $1.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.951
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$48.93 Size50.7322 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $2.76 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.910
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$41.41 Size250.9905 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$113.12 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.616
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.96 Size190.2833 Current Price0.210 Cash P&L -$78.24 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.621
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$28.23 Size29.19 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $0.38 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.954
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$28.00 Size7,999.9764 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$127.92 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.019
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$22.94 Size24.02 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $1.56 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.890
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$18.31 Size1,262.5 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$20.83 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.031
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.52 Size3,010.9851 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$460.91 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.154
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.75 Size500 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$41.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.090
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.50 Size6,999.9219 Current Price0.001 Cash P&L -$17.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.003
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3.45 Size5 Current Price0.690 Cash P&L $2.70 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.150
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.17 Size5 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $0.97 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.440
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.96 Size651.74 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$406.64 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.627
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1.63 Size1.6725 Current Price0.973 Cash P&L $0.41 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.729