Published artifact:
· run #1
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
657 questions indexed · 0 failed
Live trade history fetched live from Polymarket 2026-10-28 04:27 UTC — not part of the published run.
| Market | Outcome | State | Entry date | Avg Entry | Last trade / Close | Current / Close price | Current Value | Size | Realized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.320 | 2026-10-28 | 0.315 | $731.24 | 2,321.3853 | — |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.662 | 2026-10-28 | 0.810 | $3,769.90 | 4,654.1944 | — |
| Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? ↗ | OutcomeOpp. | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.408 | 2026-10-28 | 0.015 | $165.42 | 11,408.6123 | — |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.083 | 2026-10-28 | 0.042 | $185.83 | 4,424.4759 | — |
| Blue wave in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.150 | 2026-10-28 | 0.145 | $1,033.66 | 7,128.6795 | — |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-28 | 0.041 | 2026-10-28 | 0.042 | $108.77 | 2,620.9773 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.080 | 2026-10-28 | 0.075 | $1,197.59 | 15,967.875 | — |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.052 | 2026-10-28 | 0.064 | $134.00 | 2,093.7294 | — |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.155 | 2026-10-28 | 0.155 | $436.69 | 2,808.2797 | — |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.067 | 2026-10-28 | 0.034 | $90.86 | 2,672.4744 | — |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.157 | 2026-10-28 | 0.177 | $409.57 | 2,313.9826 | — |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.418 | 2026-10-28 | 0.405 | $1,829.99 | 4,518.5014 | — |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.024 | 2026-10-28 | 0.018 | $122.59 | 6,626.2812 | — |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.930 | 2026-10-28 | 0.000 | — | — | -$0.09 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.038 | 2026-10-28 | 1.000 | — | — | $300.37 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.212 | 2026-10-28 | 0.195 | $1,333.69 | 6,839.4235 | — |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-28 | 0.480 | 2026-10-28 | 0.445 | — | — | $1.85 |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-28 | 0.755 | 2026-10-28 | 0.765 | $1,644.85 | 2,150.132 | — |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.203 | 2026-10-28 | 0.218 | $606.19 | 2,780.673 | — |
| Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.750 | 2026-10-28 | 0.765 | — | — | $0.11 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.339 | 2026-10-28 | 0.335 | $2,100.04 | 6,268.7661 | — |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-27 | 0.814 | 2026-10-28 | 0.000 | — | — | -$35.28 |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.246 | 2026-10-28 | 1.000 | — | — | $19.20 |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.167 | 2026-10-28 | 0.157 | $655.76 | 4,176.7986 | — |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.335 | 2026-10-28 | 0.375 | — | — | $1.49 |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.812 | 2026-10-28 | 0.780 | $1,616.88 | 2,072.9196 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.059 | 2026-10-28 | 0.042 | $581.87 | 13,854.1562 | — |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.057 | 2026-10-28 | 0.040 | $159.90 | 4,048.19 | — |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of November 7? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.680 | 2026-10-28 | 0.940 | $3,040.41 | 3,234.4767 | — |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.024 | 2026-10-28 | 0.010 | $46.17 | 4,617.2349 | — |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-28 | 0.022 | 2026-10-28 | 0.022 | $51.05 | 2,320.2801 | — |
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.100 | 2026-10-28 | 0.065 | $151.10 | 2,324.6197 | — |
| Will Robinhood say "Bitcoin" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-27 | 0.491 | 2026-10-28 | 1.000 | — | — | $52.66 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.345 | 2026-10-28 | 0.335 | $2,489.42 | 7,431.1011 | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.352 | 2026-10-27 | 0.345 | $1,404.76 | 4,071.76 | — |
| Will Robinhood say "Robinhood Chain" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-27 | 0.912 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $40.73 |
| Will "Animals" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.956 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $8.60 |
| Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.070 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$1.12 |
| Will Robinhood say "Perp" / "Perpetual" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.856 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $3.27 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.370 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$96.47 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.958 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $3.49 |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.602 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $2.28 |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.201 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$92.97 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.045 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$7.72 |
| Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.970 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.93 |
| Will "Animals" be the top US Netflix movie this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.943 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $24.38 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.864 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | -$0.30 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.073 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $23.42 |
| Will "Nobody Wants This: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.405 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$546.20 |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.957 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.75 |
| Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the top US Netflix show this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.093 | 2026-10-27 | 0.000 | — | — | -$35.17 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.556 | 2026-10-27 | 0.565 | $2,463.31 | 4,359.8476 | — |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.020 | 2026-10-27 | 0.019 | — | — | -$0.07 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.014 | 2026-10-27 | 0.018 | $42.29 | 2,416.8028 | — |
| Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of November 7? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.307 | 2026-10-27 | 0.360 | — | — | $299.49 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.938 | 2026-10-27 | 0.969 | — | — | $1.02 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.089 | 2026-10-27 | 0.085 | $4,247.64 | 49,972.2001 | — |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.030 | 2026-10-27 | 0.059 | — | — | $0.62 |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 26? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.913 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $5.46 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.140 | 2026-10-27 | 0.125 | $357.13 | 2,857.0463 | — |
| CISA emergency directive issued by March 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.320 | 2026-10-27 | 0.460 | — | — | $2.60 |
| Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-27 | 0.650 | 2026-10-27 | 0.660 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | 2026-10-27 | 0.639 | 2026-10-27 | 0.645 | — | — | -$0.09 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.323 | 2026-10-27 | 0.380 | — | — | $22.54 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Open | 2026-10-27 | 0.843 | 2026-10-27 | 0.860 | $4,363.95 | 5,074.3632 | — |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.022 | 2026-10-27 | 0.025 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will AP call US House control by December 31, 11:59 PM? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.940 | 2026-10-27 | 0.980 | — | — | $0.85 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.141 | 2026-10-27 | 0.135 | — | — | -$0.07 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.041 | 2026-10-27 | 0.049 | — | — | $0.53 |
| Will Noah Wyle be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.908 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $75.89 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.840 | 2026-10-27 | 0.840 | — | — | $6.17 |
| Will AP call US House control by November 10, 11:59 PM? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.822 | 2026-10-27 | 0.934 | — | — | $0.40 |
| Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.889 | 2026-10-27 | 0.947 | — | — | $0.44 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.898 | 2026-10-27 | 0.966 | — | — | $9.87 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mississippi in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.971 | 2026-10-27 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.30 |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.840 | 2026-10-27 | 0.910 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.094 | 2026-10-27 | 0.090 | — | — | $0.49 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.849 | 2026-10-26 | 0.835 | — | — | $0.63 |
| Will Kodak Black be featured on GTA VI: The Album? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.328 | 2026-10-26 | 0.285 | — | — | -$0.85 |
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.934 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $2.76 |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.039 | 2026-10-26 | 0.000 | — | — | $0.71 |
| Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.945 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.32 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.800 | 2026-10-26 | 0.835 | — | — | $5.04 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.925 | 2026-10-26 | 0.959 | — | — | $0.38 |
| Will "Animals" be the top global Netflix movie this week? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.948 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.17 |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 25? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.820 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $4.32 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.920 | 2026-10-26 | 0.962 | — | — | $0.84 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.538 | 2026-10-26 | 0.309 | — | — | -$147.56 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.090 | 2026-10-26 | 0.100 | — | — | -$0.46 |
| Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.150 | 2026-10-26 | 0.180 | — | — | $0.30 |
| Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.970 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.44 |
| Will Verizon say "5G" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.591 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $14.86 |
| Will Verizon say "5G" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.470 | 2026-10-26 | 0.000 | — | — | -$23.26 |
| Will it rain in Seattle, WA on October 26? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.160 | 2026-10-26 | 0.000 | — | — | $1.36 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.410 | 2026-10-26 | 0.535 | — | — | $1.04 |
| Will Verizon say "Satellite" during earnings call? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.800 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $0.50 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.670 | 2026-10-26 | 0.735 | — | — | $0.00 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.900 | 2026-10-26 | 0.925 | — | — | $0.60 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Closed / Settled | — | 0.795 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | $79.72 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Closed / Settled | — | 0.735 | 2026-10-26 | 1.000 | — | — | -$10.48 |
Some rows predate the bounded trade scan, so their date cells show — — the exact date is older than the reachable window, and we never substitute a snapshot date for it.
Showing at most 100 rows, one per market and outcome, newest last trade first. Trade history is live Polymarket data, not part of the published run; the current values above belong to no published ranking. Methodology.