WhoseHouseRamsHouse
0x3825180182703613f3619d4611890c5b655504e8
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$81,690.95
Active Markets
141
Positions Listed
145
Last trade: Adds its No position — $1.77 on — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?. No fill of $1,000.00 among the newest 500 fills (back to 2026-10-09 17:40 UTC)
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,047.71 | Size9,523.915 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $1,606.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.676 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,031.90 | Size2,039.04 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $34.43 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.980 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,012.26 | Size2,028.49 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $12.26 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.986 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,010.01 | Size2,065.7833 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L $9.97 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.968 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,006.90 | Size2,018 | Current Price0.995 | Cash P&L $6.85 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,936.95 | Size2,299.0542 | Current Price0.843 | Cash P&L -$63.40 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,893.16 | Size2,147.6537 | Current Price0.881 | Cash P&L -$106.83 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.931 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,884.19 | Size2,024.9275 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $101.24 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.880 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,696.63 | Size1,709.4554 | Current Price0.993 | Cash P&L $217.46 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.865 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,693.52 | Size1,699.465 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $201.89 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.878 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,658.34 | Size1,699.9923 | Current Price0.976 | Cash P&L $166.29 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.878 |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,647.61 | Size1,676.9533 | Current Price0.983 | Cash P&L $42.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.957 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,639.83 | Size1,659.7449 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $29.32 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.970 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,638.36 | Size2,580.0901 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L -$361.80 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.775 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,576.66 | Size1,704.4949 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $576.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.587 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,456.64 | Size1,503.2402 | Current Price0.969 | Cash P&L $93.58 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.907 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,431.12 | Size1,436.1485 | Current Price0.997 | Cash P&L $7.57 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,292.55 | Size1,301.011 | Current Price0.994 | Cash P&L $12.57 | Market End2026-12-09 | Avg Entry0.984 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,273.22 | Size1,369.05 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $95.33 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,210.01 | Size1,216.7055 | Current Price0.995 | Cash P&L $5.12 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.990 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,204.25 | Size1,495.9638 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L $145.24 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.708 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,126.34 | Size1,169.006 | Current Price0.964 | Cash P&L $252.02 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.748 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,096.93 | Size1,198.8333 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $36.97 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.884 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,044.12 | Size1,670.5872 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L -$147.10 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.713 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$982.57 | Size983.06 | Current Price1.000 | Cash P&L $5.97 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.993 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$867.82 | Size897.44 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $22.56 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.942 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$859.88 | Size1,068.1726 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L $29.48 | Market End2026-12-09 | Avg Entry0.777 |
| Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$802.44 | Size802.8442 | Current Price1.000 | Cash P&L $15.01 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.981 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$764.45 | Size986.3923 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$80.00 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.856 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$728.51 | Size745.28 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $14.81 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.958 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$720.39 | Size824.7183 | Current Price0.874 | Cash P&L $227.53 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.598 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$715.54 | Size935.3518 | Current Price0.765 | Cash P&L $229.29 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.520 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$698.50 | Size714.58 | Current Price0.978 | Cash P&L $20.77 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.948 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$698.32 | Size728.5594 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L $38.02 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.906 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$688.05 | Size743.8414 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $5.26 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.918 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$648.75 | Size750 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $168.75 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$646.75 | Size879.9259 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $90.01 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.633 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$636.00 | Size1,742.4651 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L $165.31 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.270 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$635.69 | Size779.9863 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $26.70 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.781 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$587.06 | Size592.09 | Current Price0.992 | Cash P&L $0.45 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.991 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$584.62 | Size920.6672 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L $77.82 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.550 |
| US recession by end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$582.75 | Size630 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $34.25 | Market End2027-01-31 | Avg Entry0.871 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$563.64 | Size1,048.6404 | Current Price0.537 | Cash P&L -$101.27 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.634 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$559.78 | Size817.1941 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L -$23.98 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.714 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$528.17 | Size553.6408 | Current Price0.954 | Cash P&L $8.99 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.938 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$509.97 | Size599.9687 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $52.74 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.762 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$507.99 | Size799.9893 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L $46.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.577 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$479.30 | Size503.1975 | Current Price0.953 | Cash P&L $56.38 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$474.89 | Size513.394 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $167.32 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.599 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$466.10 | Size1,635.4265 | Current Price0.285 | Cash P&L -$189.82 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.401 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$460.59 | Size473.86 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $3.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.964 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$453.16 | Size893.8117 | Current Price0.507 | Cash P&L -$164.48 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.691 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$448.24 | Size1,499.1277 | Current Price0.299 | Cash P&L $49.31 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.266 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$445.25 | Size445.4702 | Current Price1.000 | Cash P&L $268.80 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.396 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$432.48 | Size499.98 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $66.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.731 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$425.90 | Size470.6088 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $122.23 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.645 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$425.69 | Size431.08 | Current Price0.988 | Cash P&L $28.26 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.922 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$422.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $32.52 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$422.33 | Size430.73 | Current Price0.981 | Cash P&L $2.18 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.975 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$418.86 | Size1,899.6035 | Current Price0.221 | Cash P&L -$1,038.89 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.767 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$414.80 | Size429.3949 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L $96.85 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.740 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$411.97 | Size499.3609 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L -$33.97 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.893 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$404.17 | Size544.33 | Current Price0.743 | Cash P&L -$62.58 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.857 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$384.06 | Size549.4375 | Current Price0.699 | Cash P&L $17.77 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.667 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$380.50 | Size535.92 | Current Price0.710 | Cash P&L -$9.92 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.729 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$370.45 | Size413.9066 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $3.26 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.887 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$369.84 | Size373.1944 | Current Price0.991 | Cash P&L $31.09 | Market End2026-10-20 | Avg Entry0.908 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$367.07 | Size379.9912 | Current Price0.966 | Cash P&L $227.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.366 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$363.76 | Size403.51 | Current Price0.901 | Cash P&L $52.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.772 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$359.28 | Size711.446 | Current Price0.505 | Cash P&L $116.04 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.342 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$357.54 | Size1,402.1139 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L $23.61 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.238 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$329.39 | Size359.99 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $27.40 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.839 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$326.38 | Size435.1724 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L $24.91 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.693 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$320.25 | Size350 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $3.75 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.904 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$316.79 | Size359.9899 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $121.01 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.544 |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$305.27 | Size315.52 | Current Price0.968 | Cash P&L $6.84 | Market End2027-03-01 | Avg Entry0.946 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$296.15 | Size305.4711 | Current Price0.970 | Cash P&L $17.88 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.911 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$295.51 | Size349.7173 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $44.64 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.717 |
| Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$288.82 | Size372.6749 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L $88.70 | Market End2026-10-24 | Avg Entry0.537 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$263.48 | Size2,291.091 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$537.47 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.349 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$263.36 | Size353.5093 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$26.18 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.819 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$250.31 | Size253.09 | Current Price0.989 | Cash P&L $2.89 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.978 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$248.81 | Size347.9911 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $56.67 | Market End2027-08-01 | Avg Entry0.552 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$243.62 | Size250 | Current Price0.975 | Cash P&L $4.38 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.957 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$240.15 | Size280.8809 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $67.85 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.613 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$238.50 | Size250 | Current Price0.954 | Cash P&L $0.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.952 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$235.73 | Size252.119 | Current Price0.935 | Cash P&L $30.48 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.814 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$234.00 | Size537.923 | Current Price0.435 | Cash P&L -$8.42 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.451 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$231.48 | Size240 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $15.48 | Market End2026-11-20 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$230.74 | Size649.9847 | Current Price0.355 | Cash P&L $6.25 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.345 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$229.20 | Size240 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $9.30 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.916 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$217.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $88.06 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.431 |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$216.00 | Size237.36 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $17.98 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.834 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$215.56 | Size226.91 | Current Price0.950 | Cash P&L $43.11 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$210.40 | Size210.7188 | Current Price0.999 | Cash P&L $128.02 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.391 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$210.23 | Size257.95 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $52.30 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.612 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$208.37 | Size1,811.8761 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$557.68 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.423 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$200.87 | Size207.73 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $1.08 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.962 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$199.10 | Size200 | Current Price0.996 | Cash P&L $9.06 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.950 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$192.49 | Size499.9775 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $14.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.357 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$191.70 | Size200 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L $4.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.936 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$189.16 | Size307.5817 | Current Price0.615 | Cash P&L -$13.92 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.660 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$185.38 | Size194.12 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $6.99 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.919 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$181.46 | Size205.0377 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $51.03 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.636 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$171.18 | Size185.06 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $11.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.861 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$168.15 | Size1,978.2729 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$192.97 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.182 |
| Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$166.99 | Size199.9917 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$164.00 | Size199.9957 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L $40.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.620 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$156.25 | Size250 | Current Price0.625 | Cash P&L -$2.75 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.636 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$155.25 | Size1,149.998 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$311.24 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.406 |
| Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$151.77 | Size155.34 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L -$2.43 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.993 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$149.99 | Size499.9669 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L $67.20 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.166 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$149.62 | Size150 | Current Price0.998 | Cash P&L $0.68 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.993 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$144.68 | Size150 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $2.62 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.947 |
| New pandemic in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$144.15 | Size150 | Current Price0.961 | Cash P&L $2.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.943 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$137.07 | Size176.87 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L $9.30 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.722 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$132.00 | Size1,199.9889 | Current Price0.110 | Cash P&L -$691.35 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.686 |
| Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$119.77 | Size140 | Current Price0.856 | Cash P&L $1.45 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.845 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$117.00 | Size899.9701 | Current Price0.130 | Cash P&L -$66.99 | Market End2026-09-20 | Avg Entry0.204 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$112.42 | Size150 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L -$0.10 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$111.67 | Size138.29 | Current Price0.807 | Cash P&L -$3.73 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.834 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$106.09 | Size211.5462 | Current Price0.501 | Cash P&L $26.10 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.378 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$105.00 | Size499.9922 | Current Price0.210 | Cash P&L -$101.16 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.412 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$98.55 | Size270 | Current Price0.365 | Cash P&L -$23.55 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.452 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$94.33 | Size135.729 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $15.42 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.581 |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$93.98 | Size1,105.5894 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$113.93 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.188 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$92.68 | Size308.9289 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L $2.15 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.293 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$87.99 | Size199.9862 | Current Price0.440 | Cash P&L -$25.00 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.565 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$83.00 | Size199.9971 | Current Price0.415 | Cash P&L -$5.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.442 |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$77.51 | Size469.78 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$10.24 | Market End2026-11-30 | Avg Entry0.187 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$61.55 | Size341.9491 | Current Price0.180 | Cash P&L -$84.15 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.426 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$55.20 | Size200 | Current Price0.276 | Cash P&L -$3.65 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.294 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$47.20 | Size799.9985 | Current Price0.059 | Cash P&L -$297.29 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.431 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$45.94 | Size367.5268 | Current Price0.125 | Cash P&L -$34.17 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.218 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$40.49 | Size642.6235 | Current Price0.063 | Cash P&L -$25.87 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.103 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$32.21 | Size146.397 | Current Price0.220 | Cash P&L $9.80 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.153 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$31.62 | Size249.9981 | Current Price0.127 | Cash P&L -$6.82 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.154 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$21.45 | Size912.6 | Current Price0.024 | Cash P&L -$115.41 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.150 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$20.65 | Size349.9774 | Current Price0.059 | Cash P&L -$77.32 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.280 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$16.14 | Size134.4827 | Current Price0.120 | Cash P&L -$1.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.134 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.70 | Size300 | Current Price0.039 | Cash P&L -$22.80 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.115 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$11.02 | Size380 | Current Price0.029 | Cash P&L -$29.98 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.108 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8.65 | Size157.35 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$17.03 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.163 |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.15 | Size150 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L -$8.35 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.077 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.10 | Size2,204.9657 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$295.16 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.134 |