0xd361…4ccd

0xd361529b833f79206cea905500ddb56574144ccd

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$188,547.90
Active Markets
289
Positions Listed
289

Last trade: no recorded trades in this run's fetched window.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry Entry date Last trade date
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24,069.86 Size31,259.5642 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L -$727.55 Market End2026-12-10 Avg Entry0.793 Entry date— Last trade date—
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9,004.25 Size9,384.3141 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $2,361.19 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.708 Entry date— Last trade date—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8,636.52 Size8,728.1651 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $637.71 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.916 Entry date— Last trade date—
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8,312.91 Size9,955.5753 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $1,148.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.720 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,633.41 Size6,849.1626 Current Price0.969 Cash P&L $965.62 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.828 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,371.85 Size6,491.9547 Current Price0.982 Cash P&L $2,128.95 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.653 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,224.71 Size7,508.7017 Current Price0.829 Cash P&L $1,734.88 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.598 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,182.24 Size6,672.6837 Current Price0.926 Cash P&L $257.73 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.888 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,944.62 Size26,420.5239 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L $773.04 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.196 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5,172.82 Size6,717.9525 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $1,904.22 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.486 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$4,814.58 Size4,821.8129 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $3,098.63 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.356 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,857.65 Size4,071.3993 Current Price0.948 Cash P&L $107.29 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.921 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,812.03 Size3,819.6652 Current Price0.998 Cash P&L $912.45 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.759 Entry date— Last trade date—
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,615.56 Size2,658.0855 Current Price0.984 Cash P&L $81.73 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.953 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yashar win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,219.44 Size2,220.547 Current Price1.000 Cash P&L $20.67 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.990 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,081.06 Size2,097.8453 Current Price0.992 Cash P&L -$4.73 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.994 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,080.59 Size3,218.2306 Current Price0.646 Cash P&L $194.98 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.586 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Trump and Putin not meet? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,023.35 Size13,053.8904 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$1,235.38 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.250 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,950.05 Size3,971.5968 Current Price0.491 Cash P&L $727.06 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.308 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,824.94 Size8,110.8597 Current Price0.225 Cash P&L $686.01 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.140 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,759.83 Size1,829.3446 Current Price0.962 Cash P&L $18.11 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.952 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,701.64 Size2,632.0874 Current Price0.646 Cash P&L $179.18 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.578 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,586.28 Size2,558.5151 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $290.25 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.506 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,573.39 Size1,644.9418 Current Price0.957 Cash P&L $349.12 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.744 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,545.53 Size1,563.5151 Current Price0.989 Cash P&L $1,496.68 Market End2026-12-06 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,493.68 Size1,544.6506 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $80.15 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.915 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,479.48 Size1,815.3172 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $455.58 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.564 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,470.08 Size1,539.35 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $634.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.542 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,451.25 Size1,500 Current Price0.968 Cash P&L $31.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.947 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,448.35 Size1,565.7814 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $45.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.896 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,421.14 Size1,426.1326 Current Price0.997 Cash P&L $63.66 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.952 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,345.28 Size1,350.0098 Current Price0.997 Cash P&L $34.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.971 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,331.00 Size2,200 Current Price0.605 Cash P&L -$139.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.668 Entry date— Last trade date—
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,310.70 Size1,317.289 Current Price0.995 Cash P&L $349.08 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.730 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,303.31 Size1,319.8065 Current Price0.988 Cash P&L $416.01 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.672 Entry date— Last trade date—
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,285.10 Size2,274.5104 Current Price0.565 Cash P&L $229.19 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.464 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,225.82 Size1,227.044 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $58.15 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.952 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,221.61 Size1,254.216 Current Price0.974 Cash P&L $992.25 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.183 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,201.48 Size1,892.089 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $75.63 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.595 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,200.37 Size4,707.327 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L $649.86 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.117 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,175.99 Size1,599.9893 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $1,125.99 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,123.82 Size1,812.6068 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $825.07 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.165 Entry date— Last trade date—
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,089.06 Size2,475.1407 Current Price0.440 Cash P&L -$848.59 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.783 Entry date— Last trade date—
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,073.22 Size13,415.2883 Current Price0.080 Cash P&L -$2,369.88 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.257 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,062.01 Size1,101.6667 Current Price0.964 Cash P&L $951.84 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,034.36 Size1,062.5213 Current Price0.974 Cash P&L $239.02 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.749 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,033.60 Size4,218.7586 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L $104.62 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.220 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,009.77 Size4,674.8758 Current Price0.216 Cash P&L $210.94 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.171 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$996.53 Size1,030.0033 Current Price0.968 Cash P&L $945.03 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.050 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$989.01 Size990 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $19.33 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.979 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$961.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.962 Cash P&L $181.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.780 Entry date— Last trade date—
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$950.77 Size2,044.6711 Current Price0.465 Cash P&L -$69.39 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.499 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$940.89 Size1,029.9839 Current Price0.913 Cash P&L $4.65 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.909 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$885.14 Size2,855.2775 Current Price0.310 Cash P&L $409.93 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.166 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$880.65 Size890 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $14.88 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.973 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic not IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$871.34 Size2,766.1536 Current Price0.315 Cash P&L $553.79 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.115 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$845.08 Size1,000.09 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L -$33.18 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.878 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$841.70 Size854.9553 Current Price0.985 Cash P&L $72.81 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.899 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$835.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $115.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.720 Entry date— Last trade date—
OpenAI IPO before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$821.67 Size849.2694 Current Price0.968 Cash P&L $32.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.929 Entry date— Last trade date—
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$800.64 Size1,819.6405 Current Price0.440 Cash P&L $15.41 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.431 Entry date— Last trade date—
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$799.16 Size807.6364 Current Price0.990 Cash P&L $271.43 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.653 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$777.68 Size1,296.1298 Current Price0.600 Cash P&L -$145.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.712 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$767.96 Size814.3795 Current Price0.943 Cash P&L $204.02 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.692 Entry date— Last trade date—
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$763.13 Size764.2725 Current Price0.999 Cash P&L $125.39 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.834 Entry date— Last trade date—
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$748.61 Size765.8414 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $270.40 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.624 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$730.00 Size1,035.4554 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L -$5.36 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.710 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$712.91 Size1,284.5205 Current Price0.555 Cash P&L -$71.67 Market End2026-11-21 Avg Entry0.611 Entry date— Last trade date—
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$693.24 Size820.4016 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $3.72 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.840 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$692.30 Size860 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $245.10 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.520 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$691.63 Size2,981.1794 Current Price0.232 Cash P&L -$202.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.300 Entry date— Last trade date—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$683.61 Size1,051.7037 Current Price0.650 Cash P&L $259.65 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.403 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$652.16 Size790.5009 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L -$4.74 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.831 Entry date— Last trade date—
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$649.93 Size3,938.99 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$1,390.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.518 Entry date— Last trade date—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$646.10 Size13,746.8139 Current Price0.047 Cash P&L -$644.70 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.094 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$630.50 Size1,300 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L $562.08 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$609.99 Size762.4867 Current Price0.800 Cash P&L $519.12 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.119 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $CGPT? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$580.10 Size1,296.3211 Current Price0.448 Cash P&L $511.88 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$577.92 Size6,051.5632 Current Price0.096 Cash P&L -$205.27 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.129 Entry date— Last trade date—
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$552.16 Size1,051.7241 Current Price0.525 Cash P&L -$64.57 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.586 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$527.10 Size783.7874 Current Price0.672 Cash P&L $15.39 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.653 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$485.34 Size1,453.1205 Current Price0.334 Cash P&L $76.01 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.282 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$454.98 Size4,136.1941 Current Price0.110 Cash P&L -$56.97 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.124 Entry date— Last trade date—
Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$420.77 Size2,901.8329 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$161.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.201 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$395.20 Size1,600 Current Price0.247 Cash P&L $345.20 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OA? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$390.00 Size1,300 Current Price0.300 Cash P&L $321.58 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$379.48 Size4,464.5053 Current Price0.085 Cash P&L -$61.18 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.099 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$365.00 Size999.9875 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L $181.06 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.184 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$364.00 Size1,300 Current Price0.280 Cash P&L $295.58 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$363.43 Size908.5638 Current Price0.400 Cash P&L $145.06 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.240 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$335.36 Size1,783.8178 Current Price0.188 Cash P&L -$420.66 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.424 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$333.61 Size823.7219 Current Price0.405 Cash P&L -$93.82 Market End2026-11-20 Avg Entry0.519 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AAGI? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$311.35 Size1,300.005 Current Price0.239 Cash P&L $242.93 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIX? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$304.20 Size1,300.0042 Current Price0.234 Cash P&L $235.78 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$294.79 Size1,203.2307 Current Price0.245 Cash P&L -$28.05 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.268 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by at least 20%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$292.98 Size2,381.9386 Current Price0.123 Cash P&L $12.32 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.118 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 18, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$281.55 Size1,443.8227 Current Price0.195 Cash P&L $127.08 Market End2026-11-19 Avg Entry0.107 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$255.21 Size787.6921 Current Price0.324 Cash P&L $11.70 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.309 Entry date— Last trade date—
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$249.09 Size4,117.2478 Current Price0.060 Cash P&L -$120.57 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.090 Entry date— Last trade date—
Anthropic IPO before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$244.00 Size4,066.613 Current Price0.060 Cash P&L -$457.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.173 Entry date— Last trade date—
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$237.19 Size1,581.2365 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$169.69 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.257 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$234.66 Size1,235.0445 Current Price0.190 Cash P&L $46.89 Market End2026-11-26 Avg Entry0.152 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$205.20 Size4,104.0733 Current Price0.050 Cash P&L -$52.61 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.063 Entry date— Last trade date—
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$185.58 Size3,906.9836 Current Price0.048 Cash P&L $62.25 Market End2027-01-29 Avg Entry0.032 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$184.19 Size4,283.5531 Current Price0.043 Cash P&L -$43.38 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$178.05 Size809.3093 Current Price0.220 Cash P&L -$34.55 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.263 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$175.92 Size39,093.6347 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$983.96 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.030 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$166.51 Size900.0769 Current Price0.185 Cash P&L $69.96 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.107 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$165.51 Size1,103.4265 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$36.74 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.183 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$156.06 Size9,179.826 Current Price0.017 Cash P&L -$1,553.46 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.186 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$144.55 Size5,353.5484 Current Price0.027 Cash P&L $107.93 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.007 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$137.85 Size3,580.5203 Current Price0.038 Cash P&L -$122.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.073 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$133.70 Size2,305.2419 Current Price0.058 Cash P&L -$104.69 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.103 Entry date— Last trade date—
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$133.54 Size2,568.1565 Current Price0.052 Cash P&L $46.66 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.034 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$131.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.131 Cash P&L -$39.73 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.171 Entry date— Last trade date—
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$130.90 Size790.9454 Current Price0.166 Cash P&L $15.51 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.146 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$125.91 Size2,767.2017 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L $82.68 Market End2027-10-25 Avg Entry0.016 Entry date— Last trade date—
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$120.81 Size779.4103 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L $13.59 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.138 Entry date— Last trade date—
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$120.57 Size4,549.6968 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$1,494.52 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.355 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$114.00 Size4,851.1313 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L -$262.01 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.077 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$113.25 Size1,510 Current Price0.075 Cash P&L -$22.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.090 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$108.62 Size1,562.9335 Current Price0.070 Cash P&L -$15.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.080 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$107.53 Size1,194.7459 Current Price0.090 Cash P&L -$131.88 Market End2026-12-16 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$101.42 Size3,977.1625 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L -$155.61 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.065 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$99.71 Size1,749.24 Current Price0.057 Cash P&L $40.69 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.034 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$98.76 Size39,504.0008 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$930.85 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.026 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$98.75 Size2,500 Current Price0.040 Cash P&L -$227.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.130 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$87.38 Size4,854.4254 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$3,114.51 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.659 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$83.88 Size4,659.9153 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$318.72 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.086 Entry date— Last trade date—
Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$82.75 Size840.1465 Current Price0.099 Cash P&L $65.61 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Dejan Bodiroga be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$78.54 Size3,414.6017 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L $14.11 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.019 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 24, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$75.50 Size1,198.3456 Current Price0.063 Cash P&L -$24.02 Market End2026-11-25 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$69.47 Size1,323.2045 Current Price0.052 Cash P&L -$337.74 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.308 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$69.30 Size3,960.2245 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$32.33 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.026 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$65.66 Size4,863.8945 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$208.80 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.056 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$59.29 Size1,363.0093 Current Price0.043 Cash P&L -$258.94 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.233 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$57.11 Size3,684.7938 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$10.72 Market End2026-12-09 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$55.80 Size1,924.1067 Current Price0.029 Cash P&L -$171.64 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.118 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 25, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$50.84 Size1,105.1283 Current Price0.046 Cash P&L -$36.88 Market End2026-11-26 Avg Entry0.079 Entry date— Last trade date—
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$48.68 Size1,738.3999 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L -$165.90 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.123 Entry date— Last trade date—
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$47.52 Size1,357.7547 Current Price0.035 Cash P&L -$48.27 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.070 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Zoran Stojiljković be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$46.10 Size3,414.6017 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$18.33 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.019 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$45.22 Size5,320.0761 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$248.12 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.055 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$41.26 Size1,100.3296 Current Price0.037 Cash P&L -$23.57 Market End2027-01-05 Avg Entry0.059 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 17, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.89 Size896.4938 Current Price0.044 Cash P&L -$30.44 Market End2026-11-18 Avg Entry0.078 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 23, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.55 Size869.1208 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L -$32.88 Market End2026-11-24 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$37.61 Size2,033.188 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$121.23 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.078 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.78 Size11,927.1842 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$2,349.64 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.06 Size1,252.1558 Current Price0.028 Cash P&L $0.28 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.028 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$34.59 Size2,767.2017 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$8.64 Market End2027-10-25 Avg Entry0.016 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$32.31 Size1,318.6442 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L -$835.82 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.658 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.66 Size3,015.6047 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$37.52 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than 0.6T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.64 Size3,013.814 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$242.03 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.091 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.53 Size1,212.7343 Current Price0.026 Cash P&L -$72.36 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.086 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.28 Size1,360.0942 Current Price0.023 Cash P&L -$325.20 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.262 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $LLM? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.20 Size1,300 Current Price0.024 Cash P&L -$37.22 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.50 Size1,452.5804 Current Price0.021 Cash P&L -$48.30 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.054 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.98 Size3,331.5644 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$130.85 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.048 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$29.19 Size2,537.9266 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$109.60 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.055 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$23.65 Size1,099.9999 Current Price0.021 Cash P&L -$86.35 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.89 Size3,815.3749 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$740.18 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Vox win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.49 Size1,551.1806 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$24.51 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.030 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.11 Size2,106.1342 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$36.39 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.028 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.82 Size2,086.7409 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L $5.47 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.007 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthony Ippolito win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.20 Size767.9322 Current Price0.025 Cash P&L $1.75 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.07 Size1,030.7535 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$32.47 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.050 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$18.76 Size1,786.9442 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$212.93 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.130 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.40 Size900 Current Price0.016 Cash P&L $10.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.004 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$14.33 Size818.6717 Current Price0.018 Cash P&L -$26.61 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.050 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.93 Size5,573.4324 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$216.19 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.041 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$13.79 Size890 Current Price0.015 Cash P&L -$0.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.016 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.80 Size1,599.9893 Current Price0.008 Cash P&L -$37.20 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.80 Size1,599.9909 Current Price0.008 Cash P&L -$37.20 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.90 Size1,400.0151 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L $2.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.007 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.87 Size2,374.909 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$225.62 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.40 Size3,257.2017 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$39.49 Market End2027-10-24 Avg Entry0.016 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.08 Size1,303.4106 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$175.12 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.143 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Dominique de Villepin win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$10.14 Size779.7876 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$8.00 Market End2027-04-18 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.90 Size1,100.1838 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$100.12 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.56 Size3,187.2017 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$40.23 Market End2027-10-24 Avg Entry0.016 Entry date— Last trade date—
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.50 Size999.9806 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$264.88 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.274 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.41 Size784.319 Current Price0.012 Cash P&L -$23.63 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.58 Size779.7876 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$9.56 Market End2027-04-18 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.26 Size786.8507 Current Price0.011 Cash P&L -$149.11 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.09 Size1,155.989 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$44.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.045 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.04 Size1,787.0393 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$222.96 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.129 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$8.00 Size1,776.6887 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$221.96 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.129 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.99 Size1,775.5997 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$222.22 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.130 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.21 Size1,803.64 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$250.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.143 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.56 Size4,373.8744 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$149.64 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.44 Size804.6822 Current Price0.008 Cash P&L -$7.68 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.19 Size3,094.909 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$303.30 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$5.99 Size998.2011 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L $2.99 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.003 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yura Borisov win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.39 Size979.1122 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$16.87 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.38 Size828.2516 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$36.03 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.050 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.16 Size793.3157 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$26.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.040 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.14 Size791.0098 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$23.11 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$5.06 Size1,012.5978 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$79.32 Market End2026-11-14 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 2.0% and 3.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.85 Size2,424.9395 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$237.64 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will there be a Hormuz agreement, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.64 Size772.7893 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$20.35 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.032 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.62 Size2,307.909 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$226.17 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will The Debut win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.47 Size993.8586 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$17.13 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.29 Size1,226.4473 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$29.77 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.028 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.12 Size2,058.916 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$34.73 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.019 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.01 Size801.3978 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$156.27 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will François Hollande win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.90 Size779.7876 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$14.23 Market End2027-04-18 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.90 Size779.7876 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$14.23 Market End2027-04-18 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.81 Size762.5063 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$45.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.064 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.68 Size817.0783 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$132.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.167 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.59 Size1,198.3096 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$59.90 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.53 Size881.9586 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$33.22 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $AIGI? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.25 Size1,300 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$65.17 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.053 Entry date— Last trade date—
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.23 Size923.3957 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$181.45 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.20 Size1,281.1962 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$42.55 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.17 Size2,110.8987 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$33.87 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.13 Size893.5195 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$71.33 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.90 Size968.3631 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$10.97 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.014 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.90 Size1,933.7616 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$66.16 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.81 Size1,876.6119 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$372.51 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.80 Size799.5451 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$14.58 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.80 Size799.277 Current Price0.004 Cash P&L -$37.16 Market End2026-11-29 Avg Entry0.050 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.54 Size1,694.4887 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$27.18 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.52 Size1,680.3797 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$44.15 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.028 Entry date— Last trade date—
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.49 Size1,245.1678 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$22.92 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.46 Size1,228.7439 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$35.94 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.031 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.44 Size813.8655 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$5.70 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.010 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.42 Size1,610.9873 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$43.61 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.40 Size959.8442 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$41.23 Market End2027-06-15 Avg Entry0.045 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.33 Size930.8973 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$24.27 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.32 Size1,544.8672 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$40.59 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.028 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.21 Size1,475.9969 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$9.78 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.008 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.21 Size1,470.3507 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$8.95 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.007 Entry date— Last trade date—
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.20 Size1,099.3639 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.24 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.19 Size1,094.9426 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.13 Size1,418.0688 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$116.04 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.10 Size1,399.7668 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$47.89 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.09 Size1,394.6392 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$22.37 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.06 Size1,371.0916 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$50.67 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.038 Entry date— Last trade date—
Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.00 Size1,332.009 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$25.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.98 Size793.8425 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$26.37 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.97 Size788.7659 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$26.20 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.97 Size787.357 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$50.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.067 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.94 Size1,292.3728 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.34 Market End2028-04-01 Avg Entry0.017 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.93 Size1,284.0706 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$47.46 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.038 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.90 Size1,264.1006 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$8.38 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.008 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.89 Size1,259.1094 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$50.57 Market End2027-06-15 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.87 Size1,244.6907 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$42.58 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.036 Entry date— Last trade date—
Theo James announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.84 Size1,225.2001 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$23.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.83 Size1,218.0073 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$99.67 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.80 Size1,199.5634 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$44.33 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.038 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.78 Size1,187.517 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$24.03 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.77 Size1,179.7201 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$116.20 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.100 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Mihael Jarc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.77 Size1,179.224 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$31.92 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.73 Size1,155.4023 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$31.28 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.73 Size865.1536 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$14.59 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.019 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.71 Size1,137.459 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$50.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.045 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will "Obsession" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.70 Size1,131.037 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$22.89 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will "I Play Rocky" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.70 Size1,131.037 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$22.89 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will voter turnout be between 66% and 68% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.70 Size1,130.832 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$186.78 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.167 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Behemoth! win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.62 Size1,077.5626 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$21.81 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Jasmin Feratović win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.61 Size1,076.6888 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$29.15 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.59 Size1,060.3973 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$28.70 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.59 Size1,059.1104 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$42.54 Market End2027-06-15 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.58 Size1,052.459 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$46.26 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.045 Entry date— Last trade date—
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.57 Size1,047.6942 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$19.81 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.020 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.55 Size1,036.1673 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$28.05 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Fjord win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.53 Size1,017.6062 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.59 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.50 Size999.3634 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$36.94 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.038 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.50 Size998.9075 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.21 Market End2027-03-14 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.49 Size991.407 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$43.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.045 Entry date— Last trade date—
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.48 Size984.0701 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$195.34 Market End2026-11-05 Avg Entry0.200 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Nicola Willis be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.46 Size970.1746 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$27.08 Market End2026-11-08 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.46 Size970.1814 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$27.08 Market End2026-11-08 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.46 Size970.108 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$27.08 Market End2026-11-08 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.45 Size967.6263 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$15.23 Market End2028-04-01 Avg Entry0.017 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.44 Size959.1122 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$20.36 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.41 Size942.352 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$25.51 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.029 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Javier Bardem win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.38 Size919.1424 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$19.51 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Josh O'Connor win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.38 Size919.1425 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$19.51 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Pedro Pascal win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.35 Size899.1223 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$19.08 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.35 Size897.4206 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$14.40 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.018 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.32 Size882.3335 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$18.73 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.023 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.24 Size827.4813 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$33.24 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.24 Size825.9758 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$62.30 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.077 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.23 Size817.4185 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$135.01 Market End2027-03-02 Avg Entry0.167 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.22 Size811.4195 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$16.42 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.022 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.21 Size807.9467 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$25.72 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.033 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.20 Size801.329 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$65.58 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.083 Entry date— Last trade date—
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.19 Size792.0232 Current Price0.002 Cash P&L -$31.81 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.042 Entry date— Last trade date—

Entry date and Last trade date are fetched live from Polymarket for this wallet — not part of the published run. A miss renders — until the live history loads.