StarMaster

0xeca0c0888e34df59589c67fbe53dc7f298b5e8f8

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All of this wallet's active positions are listed

Total Active Value
$100,519.96
Active Markets
208
Positions Listed
209

Last trade: Reduces its Yes position — $187.06 on — US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,421.63 on — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$6,337.50 Size7,500.004 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $1,760.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.610
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,902.75 Size5,000.3183 Current Price0.780 Cash P&L $903.56 Market End2026-10-05 Avg Entry0.600
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3,499.97 Size3,999.9642 Current Price0.875 Cash P&L $87.18 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.853
Iran leadership change by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,654.95 Size2,999.9449 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $697.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.653
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$2,562.04 Size3,222.6962 Current Price0.795 Cash P&L $86.17 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.768
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2,058.15 Size3,004.6 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L $95.35 Market End2026-11-09 Avg Entry0.653
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,905.00 Size3,000.005 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L $1,653.75 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.084
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,830.00 Size2,000 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $830.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.500
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,420.23 Size1,498.92 Current Price0.948 Cash P&L -$1.40 Market End2026-10-23 Avg Entry0.948
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,372.50 Size1,500 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $112.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.840
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,328.21 Size1,609.95 Current Price0.825 Cash P&L $243.85 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.673
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,297.51 Size1,500.0084 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$8.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.871
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1,253.75 Size2,500 Current Price0.501 Cash P&L -$4.85 Market End2026-06-03 Avg Entry0.503
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,156.33 Size1,250.09 Current Price0.925 Cash P&L $53.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.882
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,072.50 Size1,500 Current Price0.715 Cash P&L $7.50 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.710
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,027.00 Size1,300 Current Price0.790 Cash P&L $76.71 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.731
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,023.14 Size1,196.66 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L $314.72 Market End2027-10-01 Avg Entry0.592
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$987.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.988 Cash P&L $77.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.910
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$983.83 Size1,000.3333 Current Price0.984 Cash P&L $380.29 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.603
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$977.49 Size999.9861 Current Price0.978 Cash P&L $29.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.948
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$975.36 Size1,000.8851 Current Price0.975 Cash P&L $553.69 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.421
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$967.50 Size1,500.0033 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $341.67 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.417
Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$967.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $32.65 Market End2026-09-21 Avg Entry0.934
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$956.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.956 Cash P&L $136.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.820
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$946.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.947 Cash P&L $30.37 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.916
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$945.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.945 Cash P&L $25.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.920
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$930.50 Size999.9948 Current Price0.930 Cash P&L $18.10 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.912
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$895.10 Size1,000.11 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $42.43 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.853
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$887.50 Size1,250.0061 Current Price0.710 Cash P&L $237.32 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.520
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$884.97 Size999.9685 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $25.00 Market End2027-06-15 Avg Entry0.860
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$880.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.880 Cash P&L $254.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.626
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$864.99 Size999.9876 Current Price0.865 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.870
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$855.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L $145.00 Market End2026-10-29 Avg Entry0.710
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$799.99 Size999.99 Current Price0.800 Cash P&L $100.35 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.700
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$775.00 Size1,250 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $217.73 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.446
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$765.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $65.59 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.699
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$765.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $158.53 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.606
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$755.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.755 Cash P&L -$22.73 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.778
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$744.99 Size999.9918 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $106.92 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.638
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$739.97 Size1,049.5975 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L -$1.14 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.706
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$736.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.737 Cash P&L $473.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.263
Kash Patel out by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$735.38 Size925 Current Price0.795 Cash P&L $4.40 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.790
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$725.84 Size750.6107 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $127.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.796
GTA 6 launch postponed again? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$723.38 Size750.0079 Current Price0.965 Cash P&L $49.98 Market End2026-11-20 Avg Entry0.898
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$715.78 Size749.5035 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $169.43 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.729
Greenland snap election called by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$711.00 Size750 Current Price0.948 Cash P&L $43.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.890
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$700.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.700 Cash P&L -$48.01 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.748
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$695.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.695 Cash P&L -$15.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.710
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$686.43 Size750.1924 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $125.90 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.747
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$686.25 Size750 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $108.75 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.770
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$685.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.685 Cash P&L -$20.00 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.705
Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$672.64 Size755.77 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $67.16 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.801
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$669.99 Size999.9875 Current Price0.670 Cash P&L $85.00 Market End2027-06-15 Avg Entry0.585
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$654.98 Size999.9648 Current Price0.655 Cash P&L -$79.83 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.735
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$654.75 Size1,349.99 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L -$185.60 Market End2026-11-08 Avg Entry0.622
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$645.01 Size1,000.0099 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $140.98 Market End2030-01-01 Avg Entry0.504
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$626.25 Size750 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $22.50 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.805
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$626.25 Size749.9975 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $3.56 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.830
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$622.50 Size1,500 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L -$82.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.470
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$588.75 Size750 Current Price0.785 Cash P&L $117.79 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.628
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$575.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.575 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.580
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$555.00 Size750 Current Price0.740 Cash P&L $479.38 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.101
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$542.51 Size960.19 Current Price0.565 Cash P&L $61.64 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.501
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$525.00 Size600 Current Price0.875 Cash P&L $34.65 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.817
ECB rate cut in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$516.68 Size541.0282 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $267.01 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.461
Natural Disaster in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$510.06 Size566.7318 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $265.64 Market End2027-03-01 Avg Entry0.431
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$497.30 Size920.9287 Current Price0.540 Cash P&L $21.14 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.517
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$493.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.493 Cash P&L $37.19 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.456
Will Markus Söder be the next Chancellor of Germany? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$483.37 Size503.51 Current Price0.960 Cash P&L $73.04 Market End2030-01-01 Avg Entry0.815
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$476.25 Size500 Current Price0.953 Cash P&L $100.22 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.752
Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$468.25 Size500 Current Price0.936 Cash P&L $36.25 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.864
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$467.85 Size500.37 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $76.81 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.781
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$465.55 Size495 Current Price0.941 Cash P&L $99.25 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.740
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$462.50 Size1,000 Current Price0.463 Cash P&L $91.00 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.371
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$457.60 Size500.1061 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $54.81 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.805
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$457.49 Size499.99 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $52.50 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.810
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$450.00 Size500 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $91.89 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.716
Modi out by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$447.50 Size500 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $39.39 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.816
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$435.00 Size500.0024 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L -$15.00 Market End2026-09-20 Avg Entry0.900
Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$435.00 Size500 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L $40.00 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.790
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$416.25 Size750 Current Price0.555 Cash P&L $30.29 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.515
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$415.00 Size500 Current Price0.830 Cash P&L $7.18 Market End2027-01-15 Avg Entry0.816
Will more than 550,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$397.20 Size400 Current Price0.993 Cash P&L $77.59 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.799
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$384.99 Size499.99 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $45.00 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.680
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$384.99 Size999.973 Current Price0.385 Cash P&L $95.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.290
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$382.50 Size500 Current Price0.765 Cash P&L $302.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.160
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$381.20 Size400 Current Price0.953 Cash P&L $79.28 Market End2026-11-16 Avg Entry0.755
Will Tommy Paul Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$379.20 Size400 Current Price0.948 Cash P&L $101.80 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.693
Denmark snap election called by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$377.06 Size382.8 Current Price0.985 Cash P&L $31.89 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.902
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$368.14 Size994.98 Current Price0.370 Cash P&L -$285.23 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.657
Will Jakub Mensik Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$368.00 Size400 Current Price0.920 Cash P&L $108.75 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.648
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$365.00 Size1,000.0135 Current Price0.365 Cash P&L -$60.00 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.425
Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$358.41 Size411.965 Current Price0.870 Cash P&L $133.73 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.545
Will 3jane launch a token by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$357.00 Size600 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L -$15.37 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.621
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$356.24 Size1,249.9809 Current Price0.285 Cash P&L -$108.03 Market End2026-10-25 Avg Entry0.371
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$337.50 Size500 Current Price0.675 Cash P&L $46.72 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.582
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$326.92 Size338.08 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $15.89 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.920
Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$326.00 Size400 Current Price0.815 Cash P&L $22.58 Market End2028-01-01 Avg Entry0.758
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$317.50 Size500 Current Price0.635 Cash P&L -$47.50 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.730
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$315.00 Size500 Current Price0.630 Cash P&L -$15.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.660
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$310.00 Size500 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L -$42.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.706
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$297.50 Size500 Current Price0.595 Cash P&L -$2.50 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.600
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation at the end of October? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$293.53 Size298 Current Price0.985 Cash P&L $31.35 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.880
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$291.67 Size666.6666 Current Price0.438 Cash P&L -$108.33 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.600
Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$274.18 Size299.65 Current Price0.915 Cash P&L $66.15 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.694
Critical Discord Incident by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$273.04 Size306.7841 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $54.18 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.713
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$268.40 Size305 Current Price0.880 Cash P&L $41.81 Market End2027-08-02 Avg Entry0.743
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$266.75 Size549.99 Current Price0.485 Cash P&L -$26.18 Market End2027-04-01 Avg Entry0.533
Saudi troops enter Taiz Governorate by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$263.78 Size306.72 Current Price0.860 Cash P&L $14.92 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.811
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$261.36 Size290.4 Current Price0.900 Cash P&L $30.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.793
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$259.90 Size351.22 Current Price0.740 Cash P&L $27.25 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.662
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$256.50 Size300 Current Price0.855 Cash P&L $7.21 Market End2026-12-21 Avg Entry0.831
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$255.00 Size999.9959 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L -$29.45 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.284
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$253.75 Size295.0584 Current Price0.860 Cash P&L $40.30 Market End2027-02-28 Avg Entry0.723
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$248.06 Size400.1 Current Price0.620 Cash P&L $18.14 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.575
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? ↗ OutcomeGirl Current Value$247.50 Size499.9962 Current Price0.495 Cash P&L $2.50 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.490
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$240.00 Size500 Current Price0.480 Cash P&L -$6.19 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.492
X banned in any European country by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$236.46 Size265.6881 Current Price0.890 Cash P&L $47.28 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.712
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$235.00 Size999.99 Current Price0.235 Cash P&L $65.00 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.170
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$230.00 Size2,000.0012 Current Price0.115 Cash P&L -$47.85 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.139
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$223.78 Size250.03 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $48.33 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.702
Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by December 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$221.25 Size250 Current Price0.885 Cash P&L $58.35 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.651
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$221.09 Size260.1 Current Price0.850 Cash P&L $28.81 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.739
Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$215.14 Size222.6 Current Price0.967 Cash P&L $28.22 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.840
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$212.10 Size400.19 Current Price0.530 Cash P&L $7.54 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.511
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$211.25 Size250 Current Price0.845 Cash P&L $36.27 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.700
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$207.00 Size300 Current Price0.690 Cash P&L $1.80 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.684
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$205.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.205 Cash P&L -$2.50 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.207
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$202.92 Size230.5913 Current Price0.880 Cash P&L $46.95 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.676
Ballon d'Or 2026: Erling Haaland or Jude Bellingham to finish higher? ↗ OutcomeHaaland Current Value$201.25 Size250 Current Price0.805 Cash P&L $29.29 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.688
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$198.75 Size750.0003 Current Price0.265 Cash P&L -$26.25 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.300
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$197.49 Size499.98 Current Price0.395 Cash P&L $5.79 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.383
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$195.04 Size750.15 Current Price0.260 Cash P&L -$44.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.320
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$193.10 Size200 Current Price0.966 Cash P&L $25.34 Market End2026-09-21 Avg Entry0.839
Will Erwin Wiens win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$187.50 Size300 Current Price0.625 Cash P&L $15.38 Market End2026-10-27 Avg Entry0.574
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$187.50 Size499.9893 Current Price0.375 Cash P&L $17.50 Market End2026-10-26 Avg Entry0.340
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$186.25 Size250 Current Price0.745 Cash P&L $9.25 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.708
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$185.00 Size1,000.0094 Current Price0.185 Cash P&L -$40.00 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.225
Rahul Gandhi arrested by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$183.75 Size250 Current Price0.735 Cash P&L $53.71 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.520
Will Daniil Medvedev Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$180.84 Size182.0263 Current Price0.994 Cash P&L $60.46 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.661
Will Kennedy Center demolition be announced by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$177.72 Size182.18 Current Price0.976 Cash P&L $41.31 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.749
Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$162.00 Size300 Current Price0.540 Cash P&L -$7.19 Market End2026-10-30 Avg Entry0.564
Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by April 30, 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$161.25 Size250 Current Price0.645 Cash P&L $41.25 Market End2027-05-01 Avg Entry0.480
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$155.00 Size999.99 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L $15.00 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.140
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$154.00 Size200 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $17.80 Market End2026-12-21 Avg Entry0.681
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$152.72 Size500.7084 Current Price0.305 Cash P&L $27.55 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.250
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$150.03 Size500.09 Current Price0.300 Cash P&L -$241.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.782
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$148.51 Size1,000.08 Current Price0.148 Cash P&L -$65.51 Market End2028-11-08 Avg Entry0.214
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$142.51 Size750.0661 Current Price0.190 Cash P&L -$69.36 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.282
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$135.78 Size310 Current Price0.438 Cash P&L -$80.17 Market End2027-02-01 Avg Entry0.697
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$135.00 Size999.99 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2027-06-20 Avg Entry0.140
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$135.00 Size999.99 Current Price0.135 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2027-06-20 Avg Entry0.140
Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$128.13 Size239.5042 Current Price0.535 Cash P&L -$28.63 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.654
Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$128.02 Size181.5911 Current Price0.705 Cash P&L $19.88 Market End2026-11-30 Avg Entry0.596
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$127.50 Size500 Current Price0.255 Cash P&L -$71.50 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.398
Hike 25 bps flips No change for October Fed by October 27? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$125.30 Size140 Current Price0.895 Cash P&L $15.97 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.781
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% in October? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$116.55 Size210 Current Price0.555 Cash P&L -$45.55 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.772
Will any contestant beat Luke Littler? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$108.65 Size205 Current Price0.530 Cash P&L -$53.30 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.790
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$106.50 Size300 Current Price0.355 Cash P&L -$72.30 Market End2028-01-02 Avg Entry0.596
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$105.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L -$15.00 Market End2027-04-19 Avg Entry0.120
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$104.00 Size400 Current Price0.260 Cash P&L -$36.95 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.352
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$95.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.095 Cash P&L -$25.00 Market End2027-05-30 Avg Entry0.120
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$90.10 Size500.5662 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$133.82 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.447
Will Caroline Graham Hansen finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$83.50 Size100 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $11.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.720
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$76.32 Size99.12 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L -$1.98 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.790
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$75.67 Size168.16 Current Price0.450 Cash P&L -$0.77 Market End2026-12-21 Avg Entry0.455
Will Alex de Minaur Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$73.95 Size510 Current Price0.145 Cash P&L -$158.23 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.455
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$73.00 Size100 Current Price0.730 Cash P&L $12.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.610
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$72.50 Size100 Current Price0.725 Cash P&L -$0.50 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.730
Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$66.75 Size150 Current Price0.445 Cash P&L -$22.05 Market End2026-12-01 Avg Entry0.592
Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$66.65 Size310 Current Price0.215 Cash P&L -$164.28 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.745
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$65.85 Size399.0978 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$116.38 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.457
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$65.00 Size999.99 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2027-06-20 Avg Entry0.070
Will Novak Djokovic Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$59.96 Size205 Current Price0.292 Cash P&L -$79.07 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.678
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$55.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$10.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.065
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$54.00 Size299.9836 Current Price0.180 Cash P&L -$17.78 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.239
Will Klara Buhl finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$50.15 Size170 Current Price0.295 Cash P&L -$36.15 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.508
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$47.72 Size251.1402 Current Price0.190 Cash P&L $15.07 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.130
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$45.69 Size304.58 Current Price0.150 Cash P&L -$3.65 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.162
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$45.00 Size1,000 Current Price0.045 Cash P&L $5.00 Market End2027-06-20 Avg Entry0.040
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$43.68 Size67.3541 Current Price0.648 Cash P&L -$3.60 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.702
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$41.50 Size100 Current Price0.415 Cash P&L $0.09 Market End2026-10-30 Avg Entry0.414
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$41.31 Size250.35 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L -$3.75 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.180
Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$39.00 Size750 Current Price0.052 Cash P&L -$35.01 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.099
Republican House odds dip to 5% by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$35.65 Size400.5102 Current Price0.089 Cash P&L -$28.44 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.160
Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$32.55 Size310 Current Price0.105 Cash P&L -$85.52 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.381
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$31.00 Size200 Current Price0.155 Cash P&L -$71.00 Market End2026-10-31 Avg Entry0.510
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$30.00 Size499.9818 Current Price0.060 Cash P&L -$5.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.070
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.95 Size430 Current Price0.065 Cash P&L -$16.52 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.103
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$27.94 Size133.05 Current Price0.210 Cash P&L -$9.99 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.285
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$24.00 Size200 Current Price0.120 Cash P&L -$56.00 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.400
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$22.88 Size750 Current Price0.030 Cash P&L -$28.88 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.069
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$20.60 Size124.87 Current Price0.165 Cash P&L $0.62 Market End2027-07-01 Avg Entry0.160
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$19.60 Size200 Current Price0.098 Cash P&L -$31.19 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.254
Will Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$18.61 Size365 Current Price0.051 Cash P&L -$258.26 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.758
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 0%-3%? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$16.63 Size133.05 Current Price0.125 Cash P&L -$12.64 Market End2026-11-04 Avg Entry0.220
Will Arthur Fils Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$13.95 Size449.99 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L -$275.30 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.643
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$13.75 Size250 Current Price0.055 Cash P&L -$142.76 Market End2026-10-10 Avg Entry0.626
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$12.61 Size764.41 Current Price0.017 Cash P&L -$358.54 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.485
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$11.98 Size15.5533 Current Price0.770 Cash P&L $0.16 Market End2026-12-31 Avg Entry0.760
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.45 Size300 Current Price0.032 Cash P&L -$112.55 Market End2026-09-14 Avg Entry0.407
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$9.26 Size285 Current Price0.033 Cash P&L -$203.03 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.745
Will Jiri Lehecka Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$7.44 Size240 Current Price0.031 Cash P&L -$30.96 Market End1970-01-01 Avg Entry0.160
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6.75 Size500 Current Price0.013 Cash P&L -$193.95 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.401
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.25 Size500 Current Price0.009 Cash P&L -$4.25 Market End2026-11-01 Avg Entry0.017
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4.12 Size750 Current Price0.005 Cash P&L -$6.14 Market End2026-10-28 Avg Entry0.014
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$3.05 Size1,017.9575 Current Price0.003 Cash P&L -$4.95 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.008
Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$2.40 Size400 Current Price0.006 Cash P&L -$75.10 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.194
Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$1.30 Size186.2767 Current Price0.007 Cash P&L -$2.08 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.018