D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935
0xd8d5289c35124b5353f5a10a28b8cc29aec38935
View on Polymarket ↗All of this wallet's active positions are listed
Total Active Value
$172,494.26
Active Markets
294
Positions Listed
294
Last trade: Adds its No position — $90.86 on — Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?. Last big trade: Adds its Yes position — $1,888.00 on — US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?.
| Market | Outcome | Current Value | Size | Current Price | Cash P&L | Market End | Avg Entry |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$8,268.93 | Size8,778.0553 | Current Price0.942 | Cash P&L $421.69 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.894 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7,814.92 | Size12,306.9542 | Current Price0.635 | Cash P&L $105.40 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.626 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7,014.83 | Size8,999.1376 | Current Price0.779 | Cash P&L -$482.91 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.833 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5,578.06 | Size6,129.7346 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $397.36 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.845 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,899.50 | Size6,665.9814 | Current Price0.735 | Cash P&L $263.33 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.695 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$4,543.63 | Size4,710.8617 | Current Price0.965 | Cash P&L $319.71 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.897 |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$4,091.45 | Size4,204.9805 | Current Price0.973 | Cash P&L $237.91 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.916 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$3,607.99 | Size4,099.9837 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $1,080.51 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.616 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,431.73 | Size4,013.7241 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $866.28 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.639 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3,075.71 | Size3,893.3087 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $493.23 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.663 |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,962.13 | Size3,185.0892 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $224.56 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.859 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,775.00 | Size5,999.9905 | Current Price0.463 | Cash P&L -$46.69 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.470 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,579.99 | Size3,999.9804 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $285.18 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.574 |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,458.24 | Size3,255.95 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $169.43 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.703 |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,408.99 | Size3,299.9888 | Current Price0.730 | Cash P&L $355.86 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.622 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,368.29 | Size2,802.7147 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$14.01 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$2,325.28 | Size3,207.2875 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $475.82 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.577 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$2,297.45 | Size2,427.3144 | Current Price0.947 | Cash P&L $11.57 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.942 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,935.00 | Size9,000.0045 | Current Price0.215 | Cash P&L $873.00 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.118 |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,921.52 | Size2,579.2266 | Current Price0.745 | Cash P&L -$12.90 | Market End2029-01-01 | Avg Entry0.750 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,904.99 | Size1,999.9915 | Current Price0.953 | Cash P&L $7.08 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.949 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,895.01 | Size2,000.0059 | Current Price0.948 | Cash P&L $7.00 | Market End2026-10-23 | Avg Entry0.944 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,835.85 | Size2,061.5954 | Current Price0.890 | Cash P&L -$36.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.908 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,749.96 | Size1,999.9562 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $74.75 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.838 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,744.74 | Size3,499.9823 | Current Price0.498 | Cash P&L $243.81 | Market End2026-06-03 | Avg Entry0.429 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,716.41 | Size2,031.2578 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $23.91 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.833 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,701.01 | Size2,100.017 | Current Price0.810 | Cash P&L $438.55 | Market End2027-03-02 | Avg Entry0.601 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,694.97 | Size2,005.88 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $247.74 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.721 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,690.01 | Size2,000.0087 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$113.33 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.902 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,689.99 | Size1,999.9871 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L -$30.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,625.48 | Size2,057.5667 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $54.26 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.764 |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,612.03 | Size1,965.8958 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L $122.21 | Market End2028-04-01 | Avg Entry0.758 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,590.85 | Size4,132.0772 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $149.21 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.349 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,589.56 | Size1,903.67 | Current Price0.835 | Cash P&L $215.51 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.722 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,494.11 | Size2,316.45 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $176.93 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.569 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,390.00 | Size2,000.0028 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $186.81 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.602 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,320.00 | Size1,500 | Current Price0.880 | Cash P&L $25.00 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.863 |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,315.88 | Size1,566.5258 | Current Price0.840 | Cash P&L $93.99 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,211.12 | Size1,504.5019 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L -$7.52 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,188.54 | Size1,239.9977 | Current Price0.959 | Cash P&L $119.14 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.862 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,162.50 | Size1,500.0005 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L $102.51 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.707 |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,118.39 | Size1,599.9919 | Current Price0.699 | Cash P&L $106.00 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.633 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$1,100.41 | Size1,170.65 | Current Price0.940 | Cash P&L $140.48 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1,040.00 | Size1,999.997 | Current Price0.520 | Cash P&L $90.02 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.475 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$976.51 | Size1,000.0099 | Current Price0.977 | Cash P&L $39.36 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.937 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$967.00 | Size1,000.0021 | Current Price0.967 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.964 |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$950.09 | Size1,473 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$316.12 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$926.32 | Size1,332.84 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L $116.67 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.607 |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$879.84 | Size921.7861 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $22.58 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.930 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NM-03 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$869.34 | Size894.84 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $67.96 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.895 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$787.50 | Size900 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L $139.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$775.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L $86.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.689 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$754.90 | Size2,156.8462 | Current Price0.350 | Cash P&L -$6.43 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.353 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$753.50 | Size1,099.9974 | Current Price0.685 | Cash P&L -$14.50 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.698 |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$743.40 | Size2,799.988 | Current Price0.266 | Cash P&L $7.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.263 |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$720.54 | Size833 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L $4.17 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$715.00 | Size1,000.0056 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $25.77 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.689 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$714.99 | Size999.9928 | Current Price0.715 | Cash P&L $65.00 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.650 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$708.00 | Size800 | Current Price0.885 | Cash P&L $8.00 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.875 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$705.00 | Size1,499.9917 | Current Price0.470 | Cash P&L -$275.99 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.654 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$645.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $105.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.540 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$644.99 | Size999.9896 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L $35.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.610 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$617.98 | Size1,199.9526 | Current Price0.515 | Cash P&L $29.85 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.490 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$591.05 | Size660.3922 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $16.51 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$589.62 | Size1,531.4937 | Current Price0.385 | Cash P&L $38.29 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$581.75 | Size650.0011 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $131.74 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.692 |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$577.49 | Size599.9899 | Current Price0.963 | Cash P&L $197.50 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.633 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$577.26 | Size601 | Current Price0.961 | Cash P&L $28.11 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.914 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$576.37 | Size707.2 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $128.75 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.633 |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$573.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $12.00 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.935 |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$564.02 | Size713.9496 | Current Price0.790 | Cash P&L $48.04 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.723 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$560.51 | Size651.76 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L $14.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.838 |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$557.59 | Size1,093.32 | Current Price0.510 | Cash P&L $16.73 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.495 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$555.00 | Size600.0003 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$547.54 | Size593.22 | Current Price0.923 | Cash P&L $7.42 | Market End2026-11-08 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$543.81 | Size600.9 | Current Price0.905 | Cash P&L $27.04 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.860 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$537.36 | Size2,149.43 | Current Price0.250 | Cash P&L -$491.50 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.479 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$535.50 | Size2,100 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L $11.18 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.250 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$529.99 | Size999.9755 | Current Price0.530 | Cash P&L -$79.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.609 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$519.38 | Size567.631 | Current Price0.915 | Cash P&L $220.39 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.527 |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$516.00 | Size800 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$26.00 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.677 |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$515.03 | Size652.35 | Current Price0.789 | Cash P&L $89.99 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.651 |
| Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$513.36 | Size793.44 | Current Price0.647 | Cash P&L $5.26 | Market End1970-01-01 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$510.00 | Size1,700.0027 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L $179.35 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.194 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$506.80 | Size699.9996 | Current Price0.724 | Cash P&L -$36.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.776 |
| Will His & Hers be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$501.19 | Size531.77 | Current Price0.943 | Cash P&L $22.60 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.900 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$497.53 | Size5,528.0935 | Current Price0.090 | Cash P&L -$366.07 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.156 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$491.26 | Size599.0979 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L -$6.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.831 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$483.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.805 | Cash P&L $83.00 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.667 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$479.75 | Size500 | Current Price0.960 | Cash P&L $24.75 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$478.50 | Size3,300.02 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$224.84 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.213 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$469.75 | Size576.38 | Current Price0.815 | Cash P&L $104.58 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.633 |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$448.00 | Size472.82 | Current Price0.948 | Cash P&L $150.12 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.630 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$446.60 | Size1,654.0831 | Current Price0.270 | Cash P&L $170.41 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.167 |
| Will Garba Yakubu Lado win the 2027 Katsina State gubernatorial election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$437.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.875 | Cash P&L -$7.50 | Market End2027-02-07 | Avg Entry0.890 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$435.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $93.00 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.570 |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$427.26 | Size444.83 | Current Price0.961 | Cash P&L $0.29 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.960 |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$423.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.705 | Cash P&L -$63.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$420.80 | Size433.81 | Current Price0.970 | Cash P&L $29.82 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.901 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$418.67 | Size2,800.4943 | Current Price0.149 | Cash P&L $233.84 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.066 |
| Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$392.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.785 | Cash P&L -$22.50 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.830 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$389.99 | Size1,499.9613 | Current Price0.260 | Cash P&L -$52.98 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.295 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$389.52 | Size460.975 | Current Price0.845 | Cash P&L $2.30 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$389.47 | Size2,605.13 | Current Price0.149 | Cash P&L -$11.72 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.154 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$387.79 | Size399.9911 | Current Price0.970 | Cash P&L $23.80 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$378.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.630 | Cash P&L $90.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.480 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$368.00 | Size3,200 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$383.08 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.235 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$366.79 | Size1,880.9928 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L $0.01 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.195 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$365.85 | Size2,710 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$1,198.85 | Market End2026-10-29 | Avg Entry0.577 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$362.37 | Size371.4664 | Current Price0.976 | Cash P&L $4.77 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.963 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$354.75 | Size2,150 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$974.36 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.618 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$332.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.665 | Cash P&L $130.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.404 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$318.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.795 | Cash P&L $14.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$310.22 | Size1,320.0763 | Current Price0.235 | Cash P&L -$121.76 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.327 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$310.01 | Size400.0081 | Current Price0.775 | Cash P&L -$14.00 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MO-08 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$305.86 | Size313.3772 | Current Price0.976 | Cash P&L $11.28 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.940 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$305.51 | Size332.0713 | Current Price0.920 | Cash P&L $91.17 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.645 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$305.18 | Size374 | Current Price0.816 | Cash P&L $7.43 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.796 |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$295.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.295 | Cash P&L $115.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.180 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$292.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.585 | Cash P&L $15.00 | Market End2027-01-28 | Avg Entry0.555 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$292.50 | Size499.9937 | Current Price0.585 | Cash P&L $7.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.570 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$291.44 | Size299.9944 | Current Price0.972 | Cash P&L $18.45 | Market End2026-10-30 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$282.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.565 | Cash P&L -$107.50 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$281.01 | Size299.11 | Current Price0.940 | Cash P&L $85.63 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.653 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$279.44 | Size681.55 | Current Price0.410 | Cash P&L -$167.89 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.656 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$278.99 | Size299.9907 | Current Price0.930 | Cash P&L $18.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.870 |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$277.05 | Size300 | Current Price0.923 | Cash P&L $49.05 | Market End2026-09-14 | Avg Entry0.760 |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$276.71 | Size309.17 | Current Price0.895 | Cash P&L $72.76 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.660 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$273.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.910 | Cash P&L $132.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.470 |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$270.57 | Size721.5122 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$49.25 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.443 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$267.99 | Size363.87 | Current Price0.737 | Cash P&L $18.32 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.686 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$264.00 | Size320 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $1.60 | Market End2027-04-01 | Avg Entry0.820 |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$259.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L -$13.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.910 |
| Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$256.48 | Size299.98 | Current Price0.855 | Cash P&L $1.50 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.850 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$255.11 | Size311.1111 | Current Price0.820 | Cash P&L $0.22 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.819 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$255.00 | Size1,000.007 | Current Price0.255 | Cash P&L $35.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.220 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$255.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.425 | Cash P&L $33.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.370 |
| Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$255.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.850 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$250.05 | Size403.3 | Current Price0.620 | Cash P&L $0.28 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.619 |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$247.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.825 | Cash P&L $13.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.780 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$245.00 | Size1,400 | Current Price0.175 | Cash P&L -$101.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.247 |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$240.36 | Size372.65 | Current Price0.645 | Cash P&L -$71.18 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.836 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$231.74 | Size899.9718 | Current Price0.258 | Cash P&L $137.95 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.104 |
| Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$229.84 | Size330 | Current Price0.697 | Cash P&L -$6.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.715 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$228.50 | Size1,196.339 | Current Price0.191 | Cash P&L $11.41 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.181 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$227.50 | Size1,300 | Current Price0.175 | Cash P&L -$9.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.182 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$225.30 | Size600 | Current Price0.376 | Cash P&L -$146.10 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.619 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$225.00 | Size299.9934 | Current Price0.750 | Cash P&L $72.00 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.510 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$217.99 | Size399.9907 | Current Price0.545 | Cash P&L $34.00 | Market End2026-08-19 | Avg Entry0.460 |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$215.05 | Size256.01 | Current Price0.840 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.840 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$212.50 | Size2,499.987 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$173.41 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.154 |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$211.80 | Size299.9934 | Current Price0.706 | Cash P&L -$2.70 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.715 |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$210.00 | Size500 | Current Price0.420 | Cash P&L -$95.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.610 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$208.51 | Size300.008 | Current Price0.695 | Cash P&L -$36.00 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.815 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$206.50 | Size700 | Current Price0.295 | Cash P&L $73.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.190 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$195.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$20.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.215 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$195.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$5.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$195.00 | Size999.9837 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L -$10.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.205 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$192.29 | Size299.992 | Current Price0.641 | Cash P&L -$25.80 | Market End2026-11-29 | Avg Entry0.727 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$189.98 | Size1,809.33 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$45.23 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$187.92 | Size196.77 | Current Price0.955 | Cash P&L $6.89 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$186.51 | Size867.468 | Current Price0.215 | Cash P&L $39.04 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.170 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$186.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.620 | Cash P&L $45.00 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.470 |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$185.28 | Size194.5234 | Current Price0.953 | Cash P&L $26.36 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.817 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$182.46 | Size1,105.81 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$352.66 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.484 |
| Will Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$181.40 | Size196 | Current Price0.925 | Cash P&L $4.61 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.902 |
| Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$180.49 | Size234.4 | Current Price0.770 | Cash P&L $32.82 | Market End2027-04-16 | Avg Entry0.630 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$179.39 | Size317.5 | Current Price0.565 | Cash P&L $26.99 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.480 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$174.70 | Size203.14 | Current Price0.860 | Cash P&L -$12.19 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.920 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$172.88 | Size199.9778 | Current Price0.865 | Cash P&L -$15.95 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.944 |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$172.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L $107.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$170.00 | Size999.9927 | Current Price0.170 | Cash P&L -$470.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.640 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$162.11 | Size195.31 | Current Price0.830 | Cash P&L $0.86 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.826 |
| Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$159.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.795 | Cash P&L $85.00 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.370 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$157.50 | Size899.9905 | Current Price0.175 | Cash P&L $34.50 | Market End2026-12-09 | Avg Entry0.137 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$156.00 | Size599.9904 | Current Price0.260 | Cash P&L -$21.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.295 |
| Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$155.42 | Size357.29 | Current Price0.435 | Cash P&L -$5.26 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.450 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$154.00 | Size459.7 | Current Price0.335 | Cash P&L $11.49 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.310 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$153.86 | Size207.92 | Current Price0.740 | Cash P&L $32.23 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.585 |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$151.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.755 | Cash P&L $39.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.560 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$145.00 | Size200.0021 | Current Price0.725 | Cash P&L $7.86 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.686 |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$138.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.460 | Cash P&L -$45.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.610 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$132.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.440 | Cash P&L -$78.00 | Market End2027-02-01 | Avg Entry0.700 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$123.71 | Size668.69 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L $40.15 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.125 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$123.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.410 | Cash P&L -$75.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.660 |
| Will Trevor Giertuga win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$119.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.595 | Cash P&L -$25.00 | Market End2026-10-27 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$110.50 | Size1,299.994 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$486.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.459 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$107.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.215 | Cash P&L -$252.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.720 |
| Will Tucker Wetmore win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$106.09 | Size208.01 | Current Price0.510 | Cash P&L -$15.41 | Market End2026-11-19 | Avg Entry0.584 |
| Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$105.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.525 | Cash P&L -$31.00 | Market End2026-11-19 | Avg Entry0.680 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$103.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.345 | Cash P&L -$4.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$102.00 | Size600.0016 | Current Price0.170 | Cash P&L -$93.00 | Market End2027-03-02 | Avg Entry0.325 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$100.67 | Size649.49 | Current Price0.155 | Cash P&L -$194.68 | Market End2027-01-05 | Avg Entry0.455 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$100.00 | Size800 | Current Price0.125 | Cash P&L -$210.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.387 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$97.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.195 | Cash P&L $2.50 | Market End2026-12-09 | Avg Entry0.190 |
| Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$97.50 | Size299.999 | Current Price0.325 | Cash P&L -$16.50 | Market End2027-06-07 | Avg Entry0.380 |
| Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$96.65 | Size1,288.6468 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L $22.22 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.058 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$95.00 | Size999.9788 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L -$449.99 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.545 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$94.74 | Size574.1563 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$155.51 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.436 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$93.75 | Size390.62 | Current Price0.240 | Cash P&L -$33.20 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.325 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$92.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L $32.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$92.50 | Size499.9935 | Current Price0.185 | Cash P&L $17.50 | Market End2026-11-16 | Avg Entry0.150 |
| Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$92.00 | Size400 | Current Price0.230 | Cash P&L $20.00 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.180 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$90.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L $6.00 | Market End2027-01-17 | Avg Entry0.280 |
| Will the Republicans win Collin County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$90.00 | Size299.9995 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L -$9.00 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.330 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$87.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.290 | Cash P&L $36.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.170 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$85.00 | Size1,000.0412 | Current Price0.085 | Cash P&L -$107.83 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.193 |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$83.65 | Size249.71 | Current Price0.335 | Cash P&L -$6.24 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.360 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$81.00 | Size600 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L $3.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Will Princess Faku be the next mayor of Buffalo City? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$79.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.265 | Cash P&L -$37.50 | Market End2026-11-05 | Avg Entry0.390 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$79.28 | Size191.0296 | Current Price0.415 | Cash P&L -$27.70 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.560 |
| Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$78.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.260 | Cash P&L -$33.00 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.370 |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$77.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.038 | Cash P&L -$23.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.050 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$75.00 | Size499.9989 | Current Price0.150 | Cash P&L -$83.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.316 |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$75.00 | Size999.9863 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$255.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.330 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$75.00 | Size199.9922 | Current Price0.375 | Cash P&L -$27.00 | Market End2026-10-26 | Avg Entry0.510 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$74.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.037 | Cash P&L -$26.00 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.050 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$73.50 | Size699.9897 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$119.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.276 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$70.00 | Size999.9844 | Current Price0.070 | Cash P&L -$30.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.100 |
| Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$69.92 | Size233.06 | Current Price0.300 | Cash P&L -$44.28 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.490 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$65.22 | Size501.7 | Current Price0.130 | Cash P&L -$221.53 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.572 |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$64.99 | Size684.1539 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L -$135.90 | Market End2026-09-20 | Avg Entry0.294 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$63.40 | Size400 | Current Price0.159 | Cash P&L $0.70 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.157 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$58.78 | Size587.7916 | Current Price0.100 | Cash P&L -$265.97 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.552 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$58.37 | Size265.32 | Current Price0.220 | Cash P&L $29.19 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.110 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$57.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.115 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$55.19 | Size1,780.31 | Current Price0.031 | Cash P&L -$59.43 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.064 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$54.00 | Size399.9811 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$47.00 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.252 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$52.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$98.27 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.301 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$50.00 | Size999.9138 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L $12.00 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.038 |
| Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$49.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.165 | Cash P&L -$76.50 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.420 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$49.25 | Size500 | Current Price0.099 | Cash P&L -$80.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.260 |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$48.90 | Size600 | Current Price0.082 | Cash P&L -$8.40 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.095 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$47.50 | Size500.0094 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L $5.84 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.083 |
| Will iShowSpeed Win the 2026 Streamer of the Year Award? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$47.50 | Size499.9967 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L -$97.50 | Market End1970-01-01 | Avg Entry0.290 |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$46.06 | Size484.8173 | Current Price0.095 | Cash P&L -$16.97 | Market End2026-08-19 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$45.35 | Size566.9 | Current Price0.080 | Cash P&L -$19.90 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.115 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$45.00 | Size2,000 | Current Price0.022 | Cash P&L -$135.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.090 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$45.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.045 | Cash P&L $5.00 | Market End2027-01-08 | Avg Entry0.040 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$45.00 | Size200 | Current Price0.225 | Cash P&L -$3.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.240 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$44.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.089 | Cash P&L $0.00 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.089 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$43.00 | Size1,999.97 | Current Price0.021 | Cash P&L -$34.91 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.039 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$41.25 | Size300 | Current Price0.138 | Cash P&L -$103.95 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.484 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$40.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$43.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.280 |
| Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$40.01 | Size275.9325 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$60.36 | Market End2026-10-25 | Avg Entry0.364 |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$39.00 | Size300 | Current Price0.130 | Cash P&L -$120.00 | Market End2026-09-20 | Avg Entry0.530 |
| Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$39.00 | Size299.9915 | Current Price0.130 | Cash P&L -$45.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.280 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$37.50 | Size500 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$12.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.100 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$37.00 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.037 | Cash P&L -$123.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.160 |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$35.00 | Size500.0026 | Current Price0.070 | Cash P&L -$13.48 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.097 |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$31.95 | Size300 | Current Price0.106 | Cash P&L -$61.35 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.311 |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$31.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$31.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.210 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$30.65 | Size227.0638 | Current Price0.135 | Cash P&L -$76.45 | Market End2026-10-31 | Avg Entry0.472 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$30.00 | Size399.9927 | Current Price0.075 | Cash P&L -$62.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.230 |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$29.29 | Size202 | Current Price0.145 | Cash P&L -$35.35 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.320 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$28.58 | Size204.1666 | Current Price0.140 | Cash P&L -$75.58 | Market End2027-01-02 | Avg Entry0.510 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$28.50 | Size3,000 | Current Price0.009 | Cash P&L $4.50 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.008 |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26.50 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.026 | Cash P&L -$43.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.070 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$26.00 | Size4,000 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L $16.01 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.002 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$25.20 | Size199.9979 | Current Price0.126 | Cash P&L -$19.20 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.222 |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$24.81 | Size972.9 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L -$101.67 | Market End2026-08-13 | Avg Entry0.130 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$24.76 | Size619 | Current Price0.040 | Cash P&L $8.05 | Market End2026-12-31 | Avg Entry0.027 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$24.39 | Size492.77 | Current Price0.050 | Cash P&L $2.22 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.045 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$24.00 | Size500 | Current Price0.048 | Cash P&L -$36.00 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$22.68 | Size360 | Current Price0.063 | Cash P&L -$1.08 | Market End2026-11-03 | Avg Entry0.066 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$21.25 | Size500 | Current Price0.043 | Cash P&L -$13.75 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.070 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$21.00 | Size199.9976 | Current Price0.105 | Cash P&L -$9.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.150 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$20.22 | Size475.7995 | Current Price0.043 | Cash P&L $1.19 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.040 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$19.50 | Size300 | Current Price0.065 | Cash P&L -$223.50 | Market End2026-11-04 | Avg Entry0.810 |
| Will Ken Welch win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$18.16 | Size271.03 | Current Price0.067 | Cash P&L -$16.52 | Market End2026-08-19 | Avg Entry0.128 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$17.50 | Size4,999.8645 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.004 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? ↗ | OutcomeOpenAI | Current Value$16.65 | Size300 | Current Price0.056 | Cash P&L -$19.35 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$12.00 | Size7,999.7216 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$8.99 | Market End2026-10-28 | Avg Entry0.003 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.54 | Size2,099 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$79.86 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.043 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.10 | Size600 | Current Price0.018 | Cash P&L -$93.90 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.175 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.00 | Size200.0007 | Current Price0.055 | Cash P&L -$25.00 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.180 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$11.00 | Size1,999.9721 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$13.00 | Market End2028-11-08 | Avg Entry0.012 |
| Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$10.65 | Size300 | Current Price0.035 | Cash P&L -$49.35 | Market End2027-03-14 | Avg Entry0.200 |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$10.17 | Size415 | Current Price0.025 | Cash P&L -$122.63 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.320 |
| Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.80 | Size199.9905 | Current Price0.049 | Cash P&L -$52.20 | Market End2027-03-31 | Avg Entry0.310 |
| Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$9.40 | Size400 | Current Price0.024 | Cash P&L -$14.60 | Market End2027-07-01 | Avg Entry0.060 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$8.10 | Size300 | Current Price0.027 | Cash P&L -$54.90 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.210 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.50 | Size999.9968 | Current Price0.007 | Cash P&L -$112.50 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.120 |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$7.20 | Size399.993 | Current Price0.018 | Cash P&L -$20.80 | Market End2027-03-14 | Avg Entry0.070 |
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.50 | Size1,000 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L -$4.50 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.011 |
| Is Earth flat? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.35 | Size1,269.6012 | Current Price0.005 | Cash P&L -$2.54 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.007 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$6.04 | Size1,342.0059 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$192.26 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.148 |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? ↗ | OutcomeNo | Current Value$5.95 | Size312.9473 | Current Price0.019 | Cash P&L -$0.94 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.022 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$5.40 | Size1,200 | Current Price0.004 | Cash P&L -$76.60 | Market End2027-01-01 | Avg Entry0.068 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.64 | Size291.26 | Current Price0.013 | Cash P&L -$37.14 | Market End2026-11-01 | Avg Entry0.140 |
| Will Alan Rick win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.60 | Size300 | Current Price0.012 | Cash P&L -$152.40 | Market End2026-10-05 | Avg Entry0.520 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$3.25 | Size499.9975 | Current Price0.006 | Cash P&L -$6.25 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.019 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.50 | Size999.9552 | Current Price0.002 | Cash P&L -$2.50 | Market End2028-01-01 | Avg Entry0.004 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? ↗ | OutcomeYes | Current Value$1.25 | Size2,501.73 | Current Price0.001 | Cash P&L -$33.33 | Market End2027-04-19 | Avg Entry0.014 |