Elias.Thornwell

0xa66790e2b0075e73c3781ddaf1d0b875a3aaceb3

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Active positions across indexed markets

Total Active Value
$189,579.77
Active Markets
343
Positions Listed
12

Whale positions only — this table lists positions at or above the whale bar of their category (default $2,500.00, lower in a category that steps its bar down — see the methodology). 331 smaller active positions ($53,018.36) are not listed. The total above and every ranking count all active positions. Methodology.

Market Outcome Current Value Size Current Price Cash P&L Market End Avg Entry
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$31,446.29 Size32,137.24 Current Price0.979 Cash P&L $916.30 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.950
Xi Jinping out before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$23,686.07 Size24,406.05 Current Price0.971 Cash P&L $453.59 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.952
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$15,447.50 Size18,499.9964 Current Price0.835 Cash P&L $375.79 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.815
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$15,236.60 Size15,715.9366 Current Price0.970 Cash P&L $798.70 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.919
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$10,969.76 Size11,291.5707 Current Price0.972 Cash P&L $991.99 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.884
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$9,452.00 Size9,576.4961 Current Price0.987 Cash P&L $532.09 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.931
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,205.63 Size7,545.1646 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $740.62 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.857
US recession by end of 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$7,029.77 Size7,518.4728 Current Price0.935 Cash P&L $185.72 Market End2027-01-31 Avg Entry0.910
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$6,654.90 Size6,964.8312 Current Price0.956 Cash P&L $1,899.80 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.683
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? ↗ OutcomeYes Current Value$4,154.37 Size4,363.8321 Current Price0.952 Cash P&L $1,213.18 Market End2026-12-06 Avg Entry0.674
New pandemic in 2026? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$3,503.67 Size3,668.768 Current Price0.955 Cash P&L $161.18 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.911
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? ↗ OutcomeNo Current Value$1,774.85 Size1,813.85 Current Price0.979 Cash P&L $30.87 Market End2027-01-01 Avg Entry0.961